위계로짓모형을 활용한 비수도권 청년층의 이주유형별 결정요인 비교분석

우한성 한국경제지리학회 2023 한국경제지리학회지 Vol.26 No.4

본 연구는 비수도권 청년층의 이주유형 특성이 지역별로 상이하게 나타난다는 점에 주목하여 이주유형별결정요인의 차이를 비교 분석하는 데 주요 목적을 두었다. 먼저 비수도권 청년층의 이주 실태 및 특성을 탐색적으로 분석한 후 위계로짓모형을 활용하여 이주유형별 결정요인을 각각 추정하였다. 분석 결과 이주유형별 특성이 지역별로 상이하게 관찰되었고, 각각의 이주유형별 결정요인 또한 서로 다른 변수(개인 및 지역수준)들의묶음(bundle)으로 구성되어 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 향후 비수도권의 청년인력 확보 정책은 다양한 이주선택의 결정요인을 충분히 고려하고 지역적 맥락이 반영될 때 정책의 효과를 배가시킬 수 있을 것이다. This research focuses on the fact that the characteristics of migration types of the youth in non-metropolitan areas vary by region and has the primary objective of comparing and analyzing the differences in determinants of each migration type. First, An exploratory analysis of the migration status and characteristics of the youth in non-metropolitan areas was conducted, and then a hierarchical logit model was used to estimate the determinants of migration types separately. The results showed that the characteristics of migration types vary by region, and each determinant of migration types is composed of different bundles of variables(individual and regional levels). In the future, policies aimed at securing young workforce in non-metropolitan areas will be more effective when they take into account various determinants of migration choices and reflect the regional context.

도로기하구조가 기상상태에 따라 고속도로 교통사고 심각도에 미치는 영향 분석

박수진,고승영,박호철 한국ITS학회 2019 한국ITS학회논문지 Vol.18 No.2

청년층 교육-일자리 매치의 공간적 특성과 결정요인에 관한 연구: 개인 특성 및 지역 환경 요인을 중심으로

사호석(Hoseok Sa),우한성(Hansoun Woo) 대한지리학회 2020 대한지리학회지 Vol.55 No.5

과잉학력으로 인한 교육-일자리 미스매치의 확대는 국가적, 지역적 차원에서 다양한 경제・사회 문제를 야기한다. 이로 인해 교육-일자리 매치 논의가 더욱 중요해지고 있는 실정이다. 본 논문은 청년층 교육-일자리 매치의 공간적 특성과 결정요인을 분석하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 먼저, 학교와 직장소재지를 기반으로 한 지역 간 이동과 교육-일자리 매치 간 연관성을 파악하였다. 수도권-수도권 유형의 교육-일자리 매치율이 가장 낮았으며, 비수도권-비수도권 유형의 교육-일자리 매치율이 가장 높았다. 수도권-비수도권 유형의 경우 수도권-수도권 유형에 비해 교육-일자리 매치율이 향상된 반면, 비수도권-수도권 유형은 비수도권-비수도권 유형에 비해 교육-일자리 매치율이 개선되지 않았다. 다음으로 1수준(개인수준) 변수와 2수준(지역수준) 변수를 투입한 위계로짓모형을 토대로 교육-일자리 매치에 대한 결정요인을 분석한 결과, 개인수준에서는 교육・의약・공학 전공, 대학원 졸업, 지식기반서비스업, 임금수준 등이 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, 비수도권-비수도권 유형에 비해 3가지 유형 모두 교육-일자리 매치에 부정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 지역수준 변수들에서는 지식기반서비스업 특화도, 지식기반제조업 특화도, 문화시설, 병원 등이 교육-일자리 매치 향상에 기여하는 것으로 파악되었다. 이에 본 논문은 청년층의 교육-일자리 미스매치 해소를 위해서는 개인・직업적 요인 외에도 지역 산업 및 지역 환경 또한 중요한 요소로 고려되어야 한다는 정책적 시사점을 제공하였다. As the degree of education-job mismatch is increased by over-education, which causes a diversity of social and economic problems at both national and regional level, education-job match is getting more important. The purpose of this study is to figure out the spatial characteristics and the determinants on education-job match in Korea. First, correlation between migration patterns and education-job match is analyzed. Compared with the rate of education-job match for each type, the match rate of SMA-SMA type is the lowest, and the rate of nonSMA-nonSMA type is the highest. Meanwhile, the rate of education-job match for SMA-nonSMA type is improved than the one for SMA-SMA type, whereas nonSMA-SMA type is not higher than the one for nonSMA-nonSMA type. Next, in order to analyze the determinants on education-job match, hierarchical logit model with two level data consisting of personal variables and regional variables is adopted. For the individual level, education, medicine, engineering in the major field, the graduation of graduate school, jobs in knowledge-service industry sector, and wage have positive effect on the match. On the other hand, three types have negative impact on the match in comparison with nonSMA-nonSMA type. For the regional level, the specialization of knowledge-based industries, the number of cultural facilities and hospitals have been positively significant variables. Based on these results, regional factors as well as individual elements need to be considered as important elements to relieve education-job mismatch of the youth.

고속철도가 서울인구의 분산에 미치는 영향

이성우(Lee, Seong Woo),정진규(Chung, Jin Kyu),지우석(Zhee, Woo Suk),조중구(Cho, Joong Koo) 한국지역개발학회 2004 韓國地域開發學會誌 Vol.16 No.1

우리나라 숙박관광수요의 결정요인 분석

권영현(Kwon, Younghyun),김의준(Kim, Euijune) 한국도시행정학회 2013 도시 행정 학보 Vol.26 No.4

This paper identifies determinants on tourist demand of accommodation in Korea with the 2011 Korea National Tourism Survey. The methodologies are Travel Cost Model and Nested Logit Model to find out significant variables and critical range of travel time-distance for tourist demand on accommodation. This paper found that an increase in the travelling expenses and tourist income level by 1% could have a positive effect on the accommodation demand by 0.93% and 0.46% respectively in the Travel Cost Model. The number of one-day trip tourists could decreases by 1.86% with the increase in the travel time-distance by 1%, but the tourist demand on accommodation could be expanded by 0.37%. In addition, the accommodation probability of male tourist is less than that of female on the average travel time-distance with the exception for above 150 minutes of travel time-distance. At the age of thirties and sixties, both are not likely to travel longer distances than other age cohorts on account of caring babies or a physical health problem respectively.

농산물 직거래 결정 요인 및 농산물 매출액 증대 효과 분석

이다예,이희연 한국농촌경제연구원 2016 농촌경제 Vol.39 No.1

Farm-to-consumer direct marketing increasingly has been recognized as an attractive marketing alternative by farm operators, since producers can receive a better price by selling products directly to consumers. The purpose of this study is twofold. Using the census of agriculture of 2010, we first estimated a hierarchical logit model to identify factors affecting farmer-to-consumer direct marketing chosen by farmers. Then we used an ordinal logit model to estimate the relationship between the farmer-to-comsumer direct marketing business and the increase in sales of agricultural products. The results show that socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of individual as well as various regional environments influence farmers` choices of direct marketing. 16.7% of total variances were explained by regional environments such as accessibility, the number of various distributional facilities, and exchanges between cities and rural areas in farmers` choice of direct marketing. Also, a farmer who runs a farmer-to-consumer directing marketing business has almost 1.3 times higher odds of increasing agricultural sale revenue than one who does not run the direct marketing business.

지역의 교육환경이 인구이동 시 비동거가족 형성에 미치는 영향

이희연(Lee Hee-Yeon),노승철(Noh Seung-Chul) 대한국토·도시계획학회 2011 국토계획 Vol.46 No.4

읽기 성취수준 향상의 교육맥락변인 분석

박혜영 ( Hye Young Park ),임현정 ( Hyunjung Im ) 한국독서학회 2015 독서연구 Vol.0 No.36

By using two-level hierarchical general linear Model(HGLM), this study is to identify what/how differently contextual variables affect the ratio of reaching upper achievement levels. Students` gender, tardiness, value of their study, and openness to problem-solving were effective on reaching upper achievement level both students in below baseline and intermediate one. Only for students in the below baseline, contextual factors such as absence or missing classes, parents` educational expectation to their children, students` circumstance to study in school, and offering creative activities by school were effective on reaching upper achievement levels in reading. Meanwhile, in order to reach the level of top performer, for students in the baseline and intermediate one, students` ESCS, parents` satisfaction to school, school mean in ESCS, the ratio of students per a teacher, relationship between student and teacher worked for effective variable. Finally, this study suggested that the ways the ratio of students` participation in school learning increases should be considered as much important as providing educational intervention to struggling readers. In order to carry out educational equity, government should support school systems by funding and providing good quality programs for low ESCS school.

지역 및 주택 특성에 따른 고위험전세 발생 위험 분석

김정한 ( Kim Jeong Han ),이정란 ( Lee Jeong-ran ) 한국부동산분석학회 2024 부동산학연구 Vol.30 No.4

This study focused on the current situation where incidents of non-return of deposits due to high-risk Jeonse are rapidly increasing, and attempted to identify the causes of high-risk Jeonse due to the regional and housing characteristics. For this purpose, we used the Korea Center for City and Environment Research’s data on Jeonse-to-Price ratio for each apartment complex across the country to examine the impact of regional characteristics on the rate of high-risk Jeonse complexes in each city, country, and district. Furthermore, we divided individual housing complexes into metropolitan and non-metropolitan groups and empirically analyzed the impact of regional characteristics and individual housing characteristics on the probability of high-risk Jeonse occurrence. The analysis results show that there is a difference in the background of high-risk Jeonse occurring in metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas. First, the ratio of high-risk Jeonse complexes with a Jeonse-to-Price ratio of 80% or more was high in non-metropolitan areas, while the ratio of ultra-high-risk Jeonse complexes with a Jeonse-to-Price ratio of 100% or more was high in the metropolitan area. Second, in the metropolitan area, where Jeonse demand is abundant, the risk of high-risk and ultra-high-risk Jeonse occurs centered on non-apartments, which are substitutes, in a market where there is a shortage of quality apartment Jeonse supply compared to Jeonse demand. Third, in non-metropolitan areas where housing prices are low, when high-quality Jeonse households are supplied in a market with a shortage of Jeonse supply, high-risk Jeonse rentals with a Jeonse-to-Price ratio over 80% easily occur regardless of the housing type. These results demonstrate the need for differentiated response strategies tailored to the characteristics of metropolitan and non-metropolitan areas, and may provide implications when establishing policies to improve the government’s Jeonse system, such as establishing a non-apartment price information disclosure system and implementing a Jeonse-to-Price ratio cap system.

친환경농업의 결정요인과 지역간 차이

이성우,조중구,임형백 한국농촌경제연구원 2004 농촌경제 Vol.27 No.1

The major purposes of this paper are 1) to explore the major determinants that affect the adoption of environmental agriculture in farming households, and 2) to investigate the regional differences for this indicator. We utilized Korea Agricultural Survey Data, which has not been fully utilized before. The present study pay particular attention to the hierarchical structure of the data and spatial units when applying our statistical models in our empirical settings. The present study apply multi-level logit models that can incorporates diverse spatial heterogeneities as well as individual differences. We found that there are big differences among regions that apply environmental agriculture. The present study also found that while education is positively associated with the adoption of environmental agriculture at the individual level, farm households with higher level education are less likely to adopt environmental agriculture at the regional level. Based on the findings of this study, the present study concludes with introducing several policy implications and future studies for the prosperity of Korean farming households and rural societies.