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      • 동태 CGE 모형을 이용한 한국의 정부정책 평가 분석 : 조세특례제도, 사회보장정책, R&D 투자 정책을 중심으로

        김명규 청주대학교 대학원 2016 국내박사

        RANK : 247647

        본 논문은 혼합경제체제 하에서 정부정책이 경제에 미치는 파급효과를 평가하는 방법으로 미시적 모의실험 모형의 약점을 보완할 수 있는 동태 계산가능 일반균형모형을 이용하여 세 가지 정부 정책에 대한 평가를 수행하였다. 첫 번째 주제는 사회·경제학적으로 저출산·고령화 문제가 경제 성장 잠재력을 저해하는 요인으로 지속해서 제기되고 있는 상황에서 정부의 법인세 조세특례제도의 투자세액공제 제도가 성장잠재력 확보를 위한 정책인가를 동태 CGE 모형을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과 투자세액공제 제도가 기업의 투자를 유인하는 정책 목표를 달성하고 있으며, 일몰법 특성상 단기에 국한하는 경우 제한적 효과로 예상된다. 따라서 기한을 연장하는 방안을 고려할 필요가 있을 것이다. 두 번째 주제는 정부의 사회복지지출 수요가 지속적으로 확대되고 있는 가운데 사회보장제도 수급자에게 급여를 지급하는 방법에 따른 효과가 다를 수 있다는 가정 하에서 소득보전 방법과 소비보전 방법의 효과성을 동태 CGE 모형으로 분석하였다. 분석결과 사회보장정책의 확대는 수급자 급여의 증가를 통해 수여자의 후생을 증대시킬 뿐만 아니라 GDP를 증가시키고, 소득재분배를 개선해 경제에 긍정적인 순효과가 발생하였다. 또한, 이론모형과 같이 현금급여 정책이 현물급여 정책보다 효율적임을 확인하였다. 이러한 연구를 통해 우리나라 사회복지지출 프로그램을 검토할 필요가 있음을 시사한다. 세 번째 주제는 우리나라 R&D 투자 정책의 기본방향에 대한 분석인데, 정부주도형 R&D 투자 전략과 민간주도형 R&D 투자 전략에 대한 효과성을 분석하였다. 분석결과, R&D 투자는 지식자본의 축적을 통해 총요소생산성과 함께 요소생산성을 향상시키는 과정을 통해 GDP를 증가시키고, 경제를 활성화하는데 기여하는 것으로 분석되었다. 특히 정부주도형 R&D 투자정책이 더 효과적이 었는데 이는 누적효과와 지연효과가 더 크게 발생하기 때문이었다. 재원별 R&D 투자는 산업별로 미치는 효과가 다르게 나타나기 때문에 향후 R&D 투자정책도 산업별로 차별화된 전략이 필요함이 분석결과를 통해 입증되었다. 본 논문에서는 정부정책을 이론적으로 먼저 검토하고, 우리나라 현실 경제를 반영한 동태 CGE 모형을 이용하여 정책의 파급효과를 정책 모의실험을 통해 분석하였다. 본 논문에서 세 가지 정부정책의 경제적 파급효과를 분석한 결과로부터 동태 CGE모형의 유용성은 첫째로 이론적으로 정부정책의 효과가 다양한 경로를 통해 영향을 미치므로 순 효과의 방향이 모호한 경우가 많은데 그 효과를 밝힌다는 점에 있다. 둘째, 많은 정부정책은 단기간에 그 효과가 실현되기보다는 장기간에 걸쳐 그 효과가 실현되므로 동태 CGE모형은 정부정책의 장기간에 걸친 효과를 분석하는 데 매우 유용한 것이 입증되었다. This study focused on analyzing economic effect of three government policy agenda using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model (hereafter, dynamic CGE model). The dynamic CGE model is a very useful tool to evaluate government policies, because the model has the following merits. First, CGE model can measure both microeconomic effect and macroeconomic effect of policy simulations. Second, it can analyze the time effect of the lagged effect and the cumulative effect. In this study, I try to do policy simulations for three different topics of the government policies, i.e., a special tax treatment, social welfare program, R&D investment. Korean government has the special tax treatment to give an incentive to help firms increase investments as physical capital stocks. This scheme aims to promote economy growth during its implementation. First objective of this study is to find the macroeconomic effect of special tax treatment in Korean economy using the dynamic CGE model. The main findings are as follows. First, the special tax treatment has a role in an increasing corporate investment as the government is expected. Second, the special tax treatment is more effective in the long run. So I suggest an extension of the special tax treatment for investment increase. Next, social welfare government expenditure keeps growing as the welfare needs increases rapidly. I am interested in finding how an in-cash vs. an in-kind schemes is different in a social welfare government expenditure effect, using the dynamic CGE model. The main findings are as follows. First, expansion policy in social welfare program has a positive effect on GDP, but the level of the effect reduces slowly as time goes by. Second, in-cash social welfare policy is more effective than in-kind system. It conforms to the partial equilibrium approach. The third subject is on a R&D investment effect. R&D investment is a way to improve total factor productivity and the technological progress in an economy. I divided R&D investment into two sectors, as it were, the government sector and the private sector, 28 industries to derive the empirical results. So I compare government R&D investment effect with the private R&D investment effect. As a result, the government R&D investment is more effective than private sector. It is because the R&D investment of the government focuses the basic research and the applied research its portfolios and it leads to more a lagged effect and an accumulative effect. Another finding is that the effect of R&D investment differs by industry. For example, the government sector has more effective in precision instruments, textile and leather products, while electronic and electrical equipment, transportation equipment and machinery and equipment are more effective in the private sector than the public sector.

      • 일반적인 회전체-베어링 시스템에서 5자유도를 고려한 유체 동압 베어링으로 지지되는 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성 해석

        김명규 한양대학교 대학원 2010 국내박사

        RANK : 247631

        본 연구에서는 회전체-베어링 시스템의 정확한 동적 성능을 판단할 수 있는 중요한 동역학적 기준으로 5자유도를 고려한 유체 동압 베어링으로 지지되는 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성 해석 방법을 제시했다. 우선 유체 동압 베어링의 동특성 계수를 해석하기 위하여 레이놀즈 방정식에서 5자유도 섭동 방정식을 유도한 다음 저널과 스러스트가 연성된 유체 동압 베어링을 해석할 수 있도록 유한 요소법을 사용하여 각 섭동에 대한 행렬 방정식을 구성하고 타당한 경계 조건과 구속 조건을 설정하였다. 그리고 5자유도를 고려한 유체 동압 베어링으로 지지되는 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성 해석은 선형 운동 방정식에 회전 반경을 도입하여 회전체의 설계 변수와 유체 동압 베어링의 동특성 계수를 모두 고려할 수 있는 단일의 포괄적인 매개 변수로 안정성을 정의한 다음 선형 고유치 해석에 기반하여 수행했다. 유체 동압 베어링 내에서 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 회전체가 다양한 자세를 유지할 경우 그에 따른 저널과 스러스트가 연성된 유체 동압 베어링의 동특성 계수를 구하고, 이를 이용하여 회전체의 자세 변화에 따른 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성 변화를 해석하였다. 그리고 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성 선도와 직접 적분법을 이용하여 운동 방정식으로부터 구한 훨 반경의 시간 응답을 비교하여 본 연구의 타당성을 해석적으로 검증하였다. 또한 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성과 동특성 사이의 상관 관계를 분석하고, 디스크-스핀들 시스템을 지지하는 유체 동압 베어링의 설계 변수가 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성과 동특성에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 그리고 앞서의 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 안정성과 동특성 해석에 기초하여 디스크-스핀들 시스템을 지지하는 유체 동압 베어링의 강건 설계 모델을 제안했다. 그리고 기존의 디스크-스핀들 시스템과 강건 설계된 디스크-스핀들 시스템의 충격에 따른 동적 거동 분석하여, 유체 동압 베어링의 설계가 half-speed whirl 진동 등 시스템의 동적 성능 변화에 미치는 영향을 고찰하였다.

      • 陸軍 戰鬪裝備의 性能 發揮 保障을 위한 品質管理 發展方案에 관한 硏究

        김명규 慶南大學校 2017 국내박사

        RANK : 247631

        육군은 미래의 무기체계가 급속도로 첨단화ㆍ정밀화ㆍ복잡화되어 고도의 정비기술이 필요하게 되었으며 미래전에서 군수품에 대한 품질보증은 전투력 향상과 직결된다. 그러나 군수품에 대한 품질보증 활동은 다양한 검사품목과 외주업체와의 접촉 등으로 인하여 사용자불만, 외주업체의 민원 발생 등 위험요인은 더욱 악화되었다. 이렇듯 군수품에 대한 품질검사의 질적ㆍ양적 요구 수준은 증가하고 있으나 품질검사 조직과 관련제도 및 업무방식은 과거의 형태를 크게 벗어나지 못하였다. 따라서 품질검사 업무의 비효율분야를 도출하여 과감하게 혁신하여 미래의 환경변화에 부응하는 전문화된 조직이 필요하며, 군 최고 단계의 창정비를 실행하는 육군종합정비창의 품질관리 체계를 획기적으로 개선 할 필요성이 제기 되었다. 이를 위하여 육군의 미래 군수환경에 부합되는 품질검사 조직으로 탈바꿈하기 위한 방안과 이를 실행하는 육군종합정비창의 품질관리 향상 방안을 제시하였다. 현재 육군 품질검사 조직의 실태는 전국에 산재해 있어 장거리 출장검사 소요가 증가하고 있으며 개인별 업무부하량은 출장소요와 함께 증가하여 근무여건은 더욱 악화되고 있는 실정이다. 따라서 미래 군수환경의 품질검사 조직으로서의 재탄생을 위해서는 Control Tower을 중심으로 외주업체와 검사업무량(조달ㆍ정비)을 고려하여 전국에 흩어져 있는 품검조직을 1개의 조직으로 재편하고, 직무 분석을 통한 업무분장을 최적화하며, 비효율 요소 진단을 통한 업무환경을 개선하고, 특히 검사 개선방안에 의한 보강된 검사인력을 활용하여 외주검사를 강화시킬 필요가 있다. 또한 창정비 활동하는 육군종합정비창에서는 현재 품질관리 활동에 대한 현상 진단을 통하여 군직 창정비에 대한 품질보증 발전을 위해 수기 및 전산화 등 2중으로 관리하고 있는 공정검사표를 전산화 운용으로 단일화하고, 조별 공정검사표 검사항목 중 주요 항목을 공정검사표에 추가 반영하도록 하며, 형식적 공정검사가 되지 않도록 전산 시스템을 구축하고 검사책임을 명확히 설정하여 보다 철저한 품질관리 활동을 하여야 한다. 또한 창 정비품 결함관리를 위해 「결함항목 검사표」를 작성하고 결함사례를 야전전파사항에 입력함으로 자동적으로 데이터베이스를 구축하고 정기적인「결함사례집」을 발간하여 종합정비창과 야전부대가 공유함으로 결함사례에 대한 정비능력의 향상을 기할 필요가 있으며, 효율적인 창 정비지원(AS) 및 예방관리(BS) 위해 「전문기술 지원팀」을 신설하고 AS 및 BS 수리부속에 대하여 시스템을 개선하여 애로부속을 방지하고 창정비 대상장비의 선정 임무를 추가로 부여하여 주요 전투장비에 대한 야전 이력관리를 동시에 수행하며, 창 정비기술 축적 체계 구축을 위해 계급별 진급을 위한 중복이수의 불필요한 교육 소요를 방지하고 자체 전문 정비기술 교육을 실시하고 교육 점수를 반영하며 교육 이수자에 대하여 신규 전력화장비의 정비 인력으로 우선 선발하고, 최대 10년간 장기 보직을 보장해야 한다. 본 연구를 통하여 미래 환경변화에 부합하는 군수품 전문 품질검사 조직으로 거듭나고 이를 통해 야전 정비실무자와 상호 의사소통을 활성화한다면 육군의 전투장비의 전투력 강화는 물론 정비신뢰도를 높이는데 크게 기여할 것으로 판단된다. 그러나 군 특성상 보안 등의 폐쇄성으로 인한 자료 획득의 제한 등으로 품질관리 하부조직의 세밀한 조직편성과 직무분석 등이 제한되어 보다 면밀한 발전방안을 제시하지 못한 점은 아쉬움으로 남기에 차후 군 내부적으로 추가 발전시킬 것을 기대해 본다. Republic of Korea army finds itself in need of high-degree of maintenance technology as the future weapon system has rapidly become high-tech, precise, and complex. Thus, in the future war, quality assurance of munitions and supplies directly leads to improvement in combat strength. However, previous quality assurance activities for munitions led to an increase in user complaints, civil complaints by outsourcing enterprises. Like this way, required quality and quantity level of quality inspection on munitions has been increasing, but the organization itself and the related institution and the work methods have not been so different from those forms in the past. Accordingly, it is necessary to figure out the inefficient areas of quality inspection tasks and innovatively construct a specialized organization that can adjust to the future environment change. In order to transform itself into a quality inspection organization that can adapt well to the future logistic environment, republic of Korea army proposed few solutions. Currently, quality inspection organization covers most of areas scattered all over the country, but such organization has increased the long distance outside-the-office quality inspections. Individual workloads have increased along with the demand for business-trip and as a result, work environment for an individual only became more aggravated. Therefore, for the rebirth of future-oriented quality inspection organization, republic of Korea army decided to form a control tower which enabled reorganization of dispersed subordinate departments into one as well as progress the optimized separation of work for those who carry out the best quality of work at the current environment, and improve work environment by eliminating inefficient factors. Moreover, by conducting the phenomenon diagnosis of the current quality management activities, it was confirmed that the methods for improving army maintenance are completely computerizing process inspection chart that had formerly been managed by both handwriting and computer and setting standards for individual inspection responsibilities to prevent the quality inspection from being a mere formality test. The suggested direction of improvement for defect management is to document “Inspection card of defective items” and insert “defect” cases in practice into field bulletin board which automatically builds a database. Publishing periodic “casebook of defects” that allows army consolidated maintenance depot share common thoughts about defective items with the field units would realize the enhancement in maintenance abilities. The suggested direction of improvement for depot after service and before service is to establish ”technical support team“ and improve allocation system for AS and BS repair parts. The accumulation of depot maintenance skills can be improved by preventing one from participating in unnecessary and duplicate training for an attempt to get promotion. Thus, one is offered a internally-created training for maintenance work which involve grading and those who receive such training are selected to maintain newly engaged field equipments, and guaranteed at least 10years of employment. Some of the methods for improvement suggested above were tested and showed satisfying results. Through this study, the quality assurance organization for munitions will find itself capable of following the future trend and the effort to actively communicate with the field staff will guarantee best performance of army weaponry.

      • 청소년 여가문화의 문제점과 개선방안에 관한 연구

        김명규 조선대학교 교육대학원 2000 국내석사

        RANK : 247631

        We usually call today 'the age of leisure'. In these times, matter of making good use of leisure may be not only limited to leisure itself but related to basic matter of human and society. Specially this tendency is shown in the youths' leisure the same. But in spite of it's importance, our youths' leisure can't be making wholesome leisure culture due to many problems, and usually is shown the form of distorted use of leisure. Here it brings a need that we grasp the realities and problems about the youths' leisure culture, so we must find out the method of improvement about the youths' leisure culture. So, this thesis can be divided into two parts. The first, the realities and problems of youths' leisure culture. (with home, school and social side in the center) The second, discussion about the method of improvement to overcome problems. The basic purpose of study about youths' use of leisure is that by presenting right method of using leisure, it gives the youths' life vitality and act as the mainspring of creative activity and education and upbringing as the member of society who decides destiny and development of an individual, home and nation. But many elements as deficiency of understanding to leisure life, indifference of home, education only running for an entrance examination, excessive competition for employment and so on make valuable youths' leisure life meaningless waste of time, in the end cause social problems as deviation, misdeed and so on. In this viewpoint, this study is an endeavor to offer basic data that make desirable leisure activity of youths' period be attained.

      • 크레인 운전패턴에 따른 에너지 효율 분석에 관한 연구

        김명규 韓國海洋大學校 2010 국내박사

        RANK : 247631

        Abstract Container terminals of each country are currently faced with many difficulties such as the increase in marine transportation cost triggered by bigger ship size and changes in distribution environment resulting from specialization, the worsening of the management finance from high oil price and the international environmental regulations according to United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCC). Accordingly, container terminals of each country are now in a desperately need for early response to overcome such difficulties and establish advanced harbor with international competitiveness. As a part of such measure, most of container terminals including Busan Port have introduced and are operating automatic terminal as a part of their various efforts to increase the operational efficiency, and are seeking to improve their productivity through specialization upon establishing complete automation for the trucks within the terminal and partial automation for the trucks from outside by using Automatic Rail Mounted Crane at the yard. Along with this, they are introducing new mechanisms to improve productivity or actively conducting research and development for port yard equipment to accelerate the process. Therefore, this study focused on the energy efficiency analysis according to the changes in driving pattern of the automatic cranes being operated at container terminal as one of the plans to assure port competitiveness by establishing environmentally friendly container terminal and reducing energy cost from such perspective. First of all, as the basic study to improve the energy efficiency of automatic crane, a mathematical modeling was conducted using Lagrange's equation of movement for transfer crane. In addition, it was confirmed that the acceleration value was eco-driving mode in the section of 1∼2.5[m/s²] by conducting the characteristic analysis of the average energy consumption according to acceleration change while changing the value of acceleration in the section of 1∼5[m/s²] based on the induced model. Next, as the result of analyzing through simulation the efficiency of the energy consumed in three types of fixed driving patterns such as trapezoid type control input, notch type control input and stair type control input determined by the trace of movement of crane, the container terminal that handles 1 million[TEU] annually showed that the eco-driving mode through which the minium of over 850 million won of energy cost could be saved is possible simply by changing the driving pattern. Along with this, an optimal control method was proposed as the eco-driving method for low-cost, high-energy efficiency driving of crane. In the proposed method, the optimal path is calculated for each section divided upon dividing the path of movement of crane through the same section. Also, it showed that the minimum of over 260 million won of energy cost could be saved through the two methods of the identical partition method that adopts the method of summing the each calculated value and the limited pole point partition method that calculated the optimal path by dividing the movement path curve through limited points. Therefore, the eco-driving effect was verified through which the total of 1.11 billion won could be saved according to the cost reduction from fixed type driving pattern and optimal control type driving pattern. It is expected that the eco-driver policy for high-efficiency could be introduced in the future when the energy reduction measure is established according to the waiting time of crane by examining the driving pattern that considers the waiting time and work schedule within the container terminal.

      • 초등학교의 협동적 학교조직문화 측정 도구 개발과 형성에 관한 연구

        김명규 대구가톨릭대학교 2013 국내박사

        RANK : 247631

        The purpose of the study was to design a scale to measure the formation status of the collaborative school organization culture in elementary schools with, to verify what differences exist according to the school types, locations, teaching profession careers, school size, genders and positions in order to understand the perception level on the formation status of the collaborative school organizational culture for the improvement of elementary schools. A tool of 50 questions were developed with 6 subfactors of collaborative leadership, teacher collaboration, professional development, unity of purpose, collegial support and learning partnership of the collaborative school organizational culture for the improvement of elementary schools. The data from 106 schools and 1,522 respondents of Daegu metropolitan city education office and Gyeongsangbuk-do education office were used to achieve the purpose of the study. As the main statistics technique, the descriptive statistics and Cronbach α were calculated using Mplus 5 and SPSS 19.0 and the construct validity was tested through confirmatory factor analysis and the multivariate analysis of variance(MANOVA) was performed. The results of the study can be summarized as follows; First, the reliability on the total questions showed .974 which is very acceptable and the subfactors showed in the range of .871~.962. As the results of confirmatory factor analysis using correlation analysis and structural equation model(SEM) among the subfactors and between the subfactors and total score, the correlation between the total score and each subfactor of the collaborative school organizational culture showed very highly meaningful correlation statistically. Second, the average score of collaborative school organizational culture was 3.92. For the subfactors, it showed comparably high scores as 4.13 for collegial support which is the highest and 4.04 for unity of purpose, 3.95 for learning partnership, 3.88 for professional development, 3.87 for collaborative leadership. The subfactor of teacher collaboration scored average 3.62 which is relatively the lowest. Generally it proved that collaboration school organization culture has beed formed in elementary schools. Third, the average score of the collaborative school organizational culture of creative schools and open recruitment principal schools was high but the average of the collaborative school organizational culture of general schools was relatively low. The subfactors score of creative schools and open recruitment principal schools was also higher than general schools. Fourth, the highest score of collaborative school organizational culture was from Daegu metropolitan city elementary schools and the lowest was from Gyeongsangbuk-do mid-small size town elementary schools. The biggest gap came from the subfactors of unity of purpose and learning partnership and teacher collaboration showed similar level which is generally low between Daegu metropolitan city and Gyeongsangbuk-do mid-small size town. Fifth, the more teaching profession career the teachers had, the higher the average of the collaborative school organizational culture was and the less teaching profession career the teachers had, the lower the average of the collaborative school organizational culture was. The biggest gap came from the subfactor of collaborative leadership and professional development showed relatively small gap between high teaching profession career teachers and low teaching profession career teachers. Sixth, the collaborative school organizational culture of 6 and under class size schools showed the highest scores and the collaborative school organizational culture of 25 and more class size schools showed the lowest. The subfactor of collaborative leadership showed big difference between small scale schools and big scale schools and teacher collaboration and professional development didn't show big difference but they're generally low. Seventh, the average score of collaborative school organizational culture showed almost same excluding collaborative leadership between male teachers and female teachers. Eighth, the higher positioned teachers showed higher scores of collaborative school organizational culture and the lower positioned teachers showed lower scores of collaborative school organizational culture. The subfactor of collaborative leadership showed big difference between principals/assistant principals group and teachers group and teacher collaboration is very low in department manager teachers and teachers group. This study was performed with lack of previous studies while most of the previous studies were focused on school organizational culture and organization effectiveness and there is limitation to generalize the results of this study since this study researched for collaborative school organizational culture formation with very limited participants of elementary school teachers in Daegu metropolitan city and Gyeongsangbuk-do. So, it is in need to research for more segmentations of various school types with country level participants and test the results of this study. In addition, the interview was made only with a few participants while this study is a very fragmentary research with the limitation of quantity approach by survey questionnaire but it will be possible to collect more data and various opinions more easily if survey and interview can be made with the teachers in collective training course or workshop course of educational training institute of local education office such as quantity approach and quality approach. Finally, there should be follow-up studies continuously since this is an experimentative study on the collaborative school organizational culture, and furthermore, it will be meaningful to determine what differences are there in middle school and high school through the same study.

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