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韓載禧 高麗大學校 倂設 保健大學 保健科學硏究所 1970 保健科學論集 Vol.1 No.1
This study is aimed to estimate the future Korean population by sex and age. The data of 1955 and 1960 government-census and of 1965 population estimate have been analyzed by the three-point method of the simple logistic curve, and future population is estimated. The result is as follows; 1. The total Korean population will reach 39,789,000 by 1980 and 52,459,000 by the year 2000. 2. In the logistic curve the increasing pattern of male is slower than that of female, thus predicting the number of male as 19,234,000 and female as 20,552,000 by the end of 1980. 3. It is found that the future age distribution is unable to be directly estimated from that of the 1955-, 1960- and 1965-population due to in correct data.