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박용배,윤여창 한국산림과학회 2009 한국산림과학회지 Vol.98 No.2
The objective of this study is to know market structures of softwood logs being imported to South Korea from log producing countries. Import demand of softwood logs imported to South Korea from America, New Zealand and Chile is fixed as a function of log prices, the lagged dependent variable and output. On the basis of the adaptive expectations model, linear regression models that the explanatory variables included and the lagged dependent variable were estimated by Seemingly Unrelated Regression Equations (SURE). The short-run and long-run own price elasticity of America's softwood log import demand is -1.738 and -4.250 respectively. Then long-run elasticity is much higher than short-run elasticity. Short-run and long-run cross-elasticity of New Zealand's softwood log import demand with respect to American's softwood log import price are inelastic at 0.505 and 0.883 respectively. Short-run and long-run cross-elasticity of Chile's softwood log import demands with respect to American's softwood log import prices were highly elastic at 2.442 and 4.462 respectively. Long-run elasticity was almost twice as high as short-run elasticity.
박용배,이호상,전철현 韓國林學會 2013 한국산림과학회지 Vol.102 No.1
본 연구의 목적은 옻나무를 재배하고자 하는 사람들이나 재배면적을 늘이고자 하는 사람들에게 옻나무의 경영실태 및 소득과 투자 수익성을 분석하여 옻나무 재배 투자에 대한 정보를 제공하고자 하는 것이다. 수익성 분석기법은 IRR, B/C Ratio, NPV를 이용하였다. 옻나무 주산단지인 강원 원주, 충북 옥천, 경남 함양지역의 51가구의 옻나무 재배농가를 대상으로 2011년 5월부터 11월까지 작업공정별 투입노동 및 자재비 등에 관한 면접방문조사를 실시하였다. 그 결과 현지판매가격과 투자수익성의 판단기준이 되는 가격을 기준으로 IRR, B/C Ratio, NPV, 조수익, 소득, 순수익, 소득율 등을 구하였다. 할인율 3%를 적용하였다. 옻나무와 옻칠의 최근 5년간 옻나무와 옻칠의 각각의 농가평균판매가격인 20,000원/주, 2,200,000원/관을 적용한 결과 IRR 27.76%, B/C Ratio가 2.5가 되어 투자수익성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. The purpose of the study is to give ROI information about management status and investment returns to someone who will newly cultivate Rhus verniciflura and expand area of Rhus verniciflura cultivation. In this study, IRR (Internal Rate of Returns), B/C Ratio and NPV are applied for ROI analysis. We basically surveyed thirty household among Rhus verniciflura cultivation farmhouses in chief producing districts Won-ju in Gang- Won, Ok-Cheon in Chung-Buk, Ham-Yang in Gyeong-Nam in Korea from May until October in 2011. Hence, the research surveyed these farmers about production cost, management cost, input labors and materials, land price and etc. by working process to calculate production and operation cost. As the result of farm survey, the result of the analysis shows income rate 27.76%, B/C Ratio 2.5, and NPV 121,830,831 won in 16,500 m2 with 10 years period when local price of Rhus verniciflura is 2,200,000 won/3.75 kg at locals with 3% discount rate is applied. Therefore, starting open field cultivation of Rhus verniciflura, which requires intensive labor or expanding the cultivation area needs more labor force.