도시화에 따른 수해 취약성에 관한 실증분석- 경기도 패널데이터를 활용하여 -

최충익 국토연구원 2004 국토연구 Vol.42 No.-

This Study aims to demonstrate urban flood vulnerability by urbanization using panel model in case of Kyonggi Province. The results of this research verify that for the past 32 years(1971-2002) the flood damages in Kyonggi province are primarily influenced by natural factors. At the same time, it is proved that urban flood damages have been increased with urbanization. On the other hand, the embankment, which was built to control flood in urban areas, have little effect on reducing urban flood damages. These results suggest that urbanization not be controlled, but the paradigm shift in flood control policy be necessary. Considering that urbanization has a negative effect on urban flood damages, hereafter urban areas should be developed in environmentally friendly ways. In conclusion, flood control policy should be executed being compatible with nature.

지역연구개발사업의 성과평가 방법론 개발과 적용

최충익,김철민 한국지역학회 2015 지역연구 Vol.31 No.4

This article aims to explore the performance evaluation framework for assessing the contribution of national research and development(R&D) program to productivity growth. The key idea starts with the development of methodology for evaluating the returns to R&D. The method of this study is based on the comparison of productivity growth between different periods, not cross-sectional approach with one period. In this context, backward effect and forward effect are operationally defined as a measurement for contributions of R&D in this paper. The analysis results gives that the backward effect of R&D is greater than the forward effect, while the difference was especially evident with the case of sales variable, not operating profit variable. 본 연구는 R&D 사업의 효과분석을 위해서는 기간별 성과를 비교하며 분석하는 것이 당해 연도 성과만을 분석하며 비교하는 것보다 타당하다는 연구문제에서 출발한다. 이에 개별 기업이 지니는 성과 특성을 시계열 자료의 종적 비교 분석을 통해 기간에 따라 파악함으로써 지역연구개발사업의 효과 를 입체적으로 파악하고 있다. 기업의 성과에 대한 객관적인 평가를 위해서 해당 R&D 사업 참여 기업 의 매출액과 영업이익을 핵심변수로 하여 R&D 예산 투자의 경제적 성과를 중심으로 파악하고자 하였 다. 경제적 성과에 대한 분석을 위해 Within 분석을 ‘기업 내 효과 분석’으로 조작적 정의(operational definition)하였으며 이를 토대로 국가 R&D 투자효과를 측정을 위한 방법론을 설정하였다. 분석결과 전 기효과가 후기효과에 비해 큰 것으로 나타났으며 이는 지역R&D투자에 따른 성과가 지원기간 이후까지 지속되기보다 지원기간에 한시적으로 나타남을 의미한다.

재해의연금 배분원칙과 모델링

최충익,임의영 한국행정학회 2012 韓國行政學報 Vol.46 No.2

모아진 의연금을 어떻게 배분하는 가의 문제는 어떻게 모금할 것인 가의 문제보다 더욱 민감한 사항이기도 하다. 합리적인 의연금 배분 원칙하에 배분되지 않을 경우 피해자들은 재해 피해로 인한 고통에 더하여 다시 한 번 정신적 고통을 겪어야 한다. 하지만, 지금까지 의연금 배분과 관련하여 비리공무원 문책 등과 같은 이슈가 되는 사안에 대해서만 주먹구구식의 논의만 있어왔을 뿐 구체적인 배분 원칙과 이론에 대한 학문적 접근은 부족했던 것이 현실이다. 이에 본 연구에서는 의연금 배분원칙에 관한 이론적 논의를 토대로 실제 배분에 관한 간단한 모델링을 시도하였으며 이를 통해 의연금 배분원칙의 이슈를 구조적으로 살펴보고 향후 나아갈 방향을 진지하게 모색하고자 한다.

서울의 전염병 발생 특성에 관한 연구사적 고찰

최충익 위기관리 이론과 실천 2015 Crisisonomy Vol.11 No.9

본 연구의 목적은 서울의 전염병 발생 특성을 연구사적 관점에서 고찰하는 데에 있다. 지난 1세기 동안 서울 의 전염병 발생과 대응에 관한 논의는 향후 서울의 전염병 대응의 기초자료가 될 것이라는 문제의식에서 출발하 고 있다. 최근 서울의 전염병 발생은 낙후된 위생시스템의 문제도 아니었고 부족한 영양상태 때문도 아니었기에 전염병 확산이 현대 도시에 주는 메시지는 어느 때보다 진지하게 다루어질 필요가 있다는 점이다. 전염병은 오랜 도시의 역사와 함께 하고 있으며, 과거 서울의 전염병 확산에 관한 연구사적 고찰을 통해 현대 서울의 전염병 대응 및 바람직한 보건행정을 위한 기초자료가 될 것으로 기대한다. 대도시에서의 전염병 확산은 지역경제 및 도시 개발정책에 지대한 영향을 미치기에 전염병에 대한 도시사적 연구는 중요한 의미가 있다. 연구방법론으로 역사적 연구기법과 발견적 탐색기법이 활용되었다. 이 같은 맥락에서 과거 서울의 전염병의 발생특성에 대한 역사적 연 구는 현재 서울의 전염병 및 방재정책수립에도 시사하는 바가 클 것으로 기대한다. This article aims to explore the characteristics of infectious diseases in Seoul from the perspective of historical study. The research question starts with the idea that understanding the features of the outbreak of communicable diseases for the last decade could help public health authorities in Seoul to better cope with upcoming risks in the future. The high frequency of the recent outbreaks of infectious diseases in Seoul is due to neither malnutrition nor unhygienic environment. Considering that the rapid spread of infectious diseases has had a strong impact on regional economy and urban development in Seoul, historical research and heuristic search were conducted to provide information on the long-term trends and characteristics of the outbreaks of infectious diseases. The findings could be used to better deal with infectious diseases in other cities as well.

충남의도시8- 서산시 대산읍 : 국가 석유화학산업의메카 -산업도시 대산

최충익 충남발전연구원 2007 열린충남 Vol.38 No.-

The Great Divide: How the Pandemic Widened Socioeconomic Inequalities

최충익,이광훈 동아시아경상학회 2023 The East Asian Journal of Business Economics Vol.11 No.2

Purpose – The pandemic has magnified and deepened existing socioeconomic disparities, including healthcare, education, income, gender, and housing. This study aims to examine the intersectionality of these disparities and their implications for promoting equity and justice. Research design, data, and methodology – This study is a comprehensive review of the literature on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on socioeconomic disparities. The review includes empirical studies, policy reports, and academic articles on healthcare, education, income, gender, and housing disparities. Result – The pandemic has exposed significant disparities in healthcare, education, income, gender, and housing. Healthcare disparities have been highlighted, and there is a need for more equitable access to care and addressing social determinants of health. Educational and income disparities are closely linked, perpetuating cycles of poverty and inequality. Gender disparities have been exacerbated, with women experiencing disproportionate impacts on their health, well-being, and economic security. The pandemic has highlighted the need for safe, stable, and affordable housing. Conclusion – The pandemic has brought to light numerous socioeconomic disparities that require systemic change to address. Promoting equity and justice requires a comprehensive, long-term approach that addresses systemic factors and promotes social and economic equity. By taking action to address these issues, we can create a more just and equitable society that promotes the health and well-being of all its members.

경제성장과 환경오염간의 관계에 대한 국제비교연구

최충익,김지현 대한국토·도시계획학회 2006 國土計劃 Vol.41 No.1

This study aims to explore whether or not the income-environmental relationship in 30 countries, the members of OECD, over the period 1990-2002 followed an inverted U-shaped curve, referred to as the Environmental Kuznets Curve(EKC). The presence of EKC would suggest that industrialization initially increases pollution, but that increased income may ameliorate environmental problems. If there is a link between economic growth and environmental performance, then technological development and public abatement efforts could offsets the negative environmental impact of economic growth. We have tested the likelihood of the existence of EKC by applying a pooled OLS technique and an error component regression model consisted of random effect model and fixed effect model. The results reveal the inverted U-shaped relationship between per capita GDP and CO2 emissions.

The Distribution of Technological Innovation & Environmental Policy against COVID-19: Perspectives and Challenges

최충익 한국유통과학회 2022 유통과학연구 Vol.20 No.8

Purpose: This article aims to explore the distribution of technological innovation and environmental policy challenges to respond to COVID-19. The study also attempts to tackle a paradigm shift in science and technology policies against the pandemic and a desirable direction for environmental policies. The COVID-19 pandemic has been the one that rapidly changed global people’s lifestyle. For the spread of a terrible infectious disease could not be avoided, regardless of a highly industrialized society. Research design, data and methodology: This study basically employs a qualitative approach as a methodology. This study is based on the fact that environmental pollution, various natural disasters continuously occur, and there are many unforeseeable parts, despite remarkable development of scientific technology, and that the circumstances are becoming more complex. Results: This study noted that scientific technology civilization formed due to industrial revolutions can deteriorate environment and increase environmental threat factors. As an alternative to this, this study investigates alternative discussions on how the 4th Industrial Revolution can help scientific technology and human environment to harmoniously coexist and develop. Conclusions: It implies that this study focuses on the possibility of overcoming this crisis through science and technology innovation, although mankind is in crisis of COVID-19 due to excessive human development.

전국 홍수위험도 평가의 국토도시계획적 함의

최충익,김원 대한국토·도시계획학회 2006 國土計劃 Vol.41 No.4

This study aims to find the implications in urban and regional planning of nationwide flood risk assessment. Also, we try to develop the standard indicators on flood damage to assess urban and regional risk state. The process of this research passes through three stages. Constructing the flood damage index using time-series data on flood damage is a first-stage. Developing the flood risk indicators through clustering analysis of flood damage indices is a second-stage. Based on 1-2 stages, a third-stage is to make suggestions on urban and regional planning. In this research, the indicators such as casualty index, damage index and inundation index enable non-experts to understand the situation of flood damages with time series. Relevant and measurable indicators would be an important tool in reducing and managing flood risk. The indicators on flood management planning could be helpful to decision makers against disasters.

리스크 거버넌스 프레임워크(RGF)에 기반한 홍수대비 토지이용규제 합리화 방안

최충익,최준호,이동관,백민호 한국지적정보학회 2019 한국지적정보학회지 Vol.21 No.1

This study examines the case of Shiga Prefecture in Japan, which successfully adopted related systematic ordinances to review rational measures of the land use regulation for flood risk reduction. To this end, this study proposed a framework which complemented the IRGC’s governance framework. The framework analyzed the measures about flooding risk according to the factors of 4 stages(pre-assessment, risk appraisal, scoping, risk management). Independent pilot tests and listening surveys were conducted in the Pre-assessment stage.  Sharing issues between administrative and residential sectors and the process of creating the regional safety map were analyzed in the Risk Appraisal stage. In regard to the Scoping stage, it is the process of sharing and figuring out internal capacity and the solution of Committee for Shiga Prefecture Flood Management of administrative and residential sectors. Finally,  it analyzed the process of adopting the ordinance of integrated flood risk management in the Risk Management stage. It is found that the policies for flood risk reduction of Shiga Prefecture were reasonably derived for the land use regulation through these organized steps. 본 연구는 홍수대비를 위한 토지이용규제의 합리적인 방안을 살펴보기 위해 관련조례를 체계적으로 제정한 일본의 시가현 사례를 검토한다. 이를 위해 IRGC의 리스크 거버넌스 프레임워크를 보완한 프레임워크를 제시하고 단계별 요소에 따라 시가현의 대책을 분석하였다. 첫 단계인 사전조사에서는 시가현의 독자적인 사전조사 및 청취조사가, 리스크 사정단계에서는 행정과 주민간의 현안공유와 지역 안전도맵을 구축하는 과정으로 분석하였다. 스코핑은 행정과 주민부문의 유역치수검토위원회가 시가현의 내적역량과 해결책을 파악하고 공유해나가는 과정이며 마지막 단계인 리스크 관리는 유역치수조례가 제정되고 실시되는 과정으로 분석하였다. 이러한 유기적 단계를 거쳐 진행된 시가현의 홍수대비 정책은 토지이용규제를 위한 의사결정 과정이 합리적으로 도출되었음을 알 수 있었다.