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부동산정책 효과 분석 및 시사점 - 수도권 아파트 실거래 평균매매가격을 중심으로
송영오,김재환,심희철 사단법인 한국융합기술연구학회 2023 아시아태평양융합연구교류논문지 Vol.9 No.1
In May 2017, upon the inauguration of the new government, it was announced that it would implement real estate policies aimed at stabilizing housing prices and eradicating real estate speculation. A total of 26 real estate policies were announced over the next five years. However, the results recorded the highest rate of increase in housing prices among governments ever. This study examined the impact of Korea's real estate policy on the real estate market and the implications of the results. The temporal range of this study was from June 2017 to March 2022, and the spatial range was limited to the metropolitan area (Seoul, Gyeonggi, Incheon), and the data were analyzed as the rate of change in real estate policy announcements and the average sale price of apartments. As a result of the analysis, it was possible to obtain results that there was some effect on the rate of change in sales prices in the month of announcement and the month after the announcement of real estate measures. However, the period of influence was only a short period of about 2 to 6 months, and after that, it showed a pattern of rising again. It is difficult to say that the cause of the rise in housing prices during that period is not necessarily the result of real estate policy. This is because the Bank of Korea's benchmark interest rate has steadily fallen from 3% to 1% since 2011, and asset prices in all sectors, including stocks, real estate, and coins, have risen sharply due to quantitative easing policies worldwide due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019. Of course, it was also a time when all asset values rose in Korea. However, during that time it was necessary for the government to balance real estate demand and supply, determine real estate policies from a long-term perspective, and reflect them in the market, while properly coping with market conditions. 2017년 5월 새 정부는 출범과 동시에 집값 안정과 부동산 투기근절을 목표로 부동산 정책을 펴겠다고 발표하였다. 그 후 5년간 총 26번의 부동산 정책을 발표하였다. 그러나, 결과는 역대 정부중 가장 높은 집값 상승률을 기록하였다. 본 연구는 우리나라 부동산정책이 아파트 매매가격에 미친 영향과 그 결과들이 나타내는 시사점이 무엇인지에 대해 알아보았다. 본 연구의 시간적 범위는 2017년 6월부터 2022년 3월까지로 하고, 공간적 범위는 수도권(서울,경기,인천)으로 한정하여, 부동산 정책발표와 아파트 실거래 평균매매가격의 변화율로 데이터를 분석하였다. 분석결과 부동산 대책 발표 후 발표 월과 다음 월의 매매가격 변동률에 어느 정도는 영향이 있다는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 단, 영향력이 미친 기간은 약 2~6개월 이내로 단 기간에 그쳤고, 그 이후 다시 상승하는 패턴을 보였다. 그 기간동안 집값 상승의 원인이 꼭 부동산 정책의 결과라고 만 보기는 어렵다. 그 이유는 2011년 이후 한국은행 기준금리가 3%대에서 1%대까지 꾸준히 하락하면서 시중 유동성이 크게 증가하였고, 2019년 코로나 팬데믹의 영향으로 전 세계적으로 양적완화를 통한 경기부양 정책을 펼쳐서 주식, 부동산, 코인 등 모든 분야의 자산 가격이 급격한 상승기를 맞았기 때문이다. 물론, 우리 나라도 모든 자산가치가 상승한 시기였다. 그러나, 그 기간 동안 정부가 부동산 수요와 공급의 균형을 맞추고, 시장 상황에 적절하게 대처하면서 장기적인 관점에서 부동산정책을 결정하고, 시장에 반영하는 것이 필요했다.
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MGⅠ과 MG Ⅱ 슬관절전치환술에서 슬개삽입물의 안정성 비교
김정만,선두훈,송영오 대한슬관절학회 1994 대한슬관절학회지 Vol.6 No.2
Authors compared the patellofemoral complications in Miller-Galate l aod Miller-Galante II to know the cause and method of teatment of it. During the time between 1986 and 1988 we performed 68 knees of MG I. Since 1991 we perfarmad 98 knees of MG II. We performed lateral retinacular release in only 5 out of 68 MG I knees(7.4%) and in 86 out of 98 MG II knees(87.8%). In MG I symptomatic lateral subluxation of the patella occurred in 3 cases(4.4%) and asymptomatic lateral subluxation occurred in 15 knees(12.5%). Mild initial lateral tilting of the patella occurred in 30 knees(44.1%). So altogether 48 knees out of 68 MG I(70.6%) knees showed some abnormality in patellofemoral articulations. There was no patellofemoral joint abnormality in case of lateral retinacular release. In MG II no case showed patellofemoral articulation abnormality in X-ray. The indication of ihe lateral retinacular release in MG I was decided with $quot;no thumbs technique$quot;(static). However, since many cases showed lateral patellar subluxation during initial 20-60 degree flexion although this phenomenon disappeared in more than 90 degree flexion lateral retinacular release was performed even in those cases in MG II(dynamic). The main cause of patellofemoral subluxaxion seemed to be shallow groove, thicker anterior flange of the component than removed bone. From these results it would be suggested that the thickness of the anterior flange should be decreased, the patellofemoral groove should be deepened and the indication of the iateral retinacular release should be made in dynamic condition intraoperatively.
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요추 및 요천추 결핵의 고식적 요법 : 구베변형의 추이
문명상,하기용,장한,선두훈,송영오 대한척추외과학회 1994 대한척추외과학회지 Vol.1 No.2
The goal in the treatment of spinal tuberculosis is to eradicate the active infecton. to provide stability for the spine, and to arrest or cerrect the kyphosis. However among these, the residual deformity in the lumbar and lumbosacral spines has been an issue compared with that of the thoracic spine. Therefore this study was performed to assess the residual kyphos angle in the area after the conservative treatment. The subjects consisted of 50 regularly examined patients(13 children and 37 adults) having active tubetculosis who had ambulatory treatment from 1972 to 1993. Triple chemotherapy for 18 months(isoniazid, ethambutol, and rifampicin) were used in adults, and PAS was used in children instead of ethambutal. Kyphosis angle was measured at each observation time. The children had a mean initial involvement of 1.7 vertebral bodies, compared with 1.4 in the adults. Twelve had no body height loss except the disc involvement. Paravertebral abscess was aspi- rated or drained when it became subcutaneous and very large. All had a favorable response to chemotherapy without neurological complication. The elevat- ed ESR became normal within 3 or 6 months. The 23 patients had new involvement of the adja- cent bodies within 18 months of treatment, though the kyphosis did not increase. Abscess disap- peared in from 3 to 12 months, and the sinuses disappeared by 24 months. At 18 months the lesions became inactive in all, and body fusion was evident in 12 patients(24%) at 18 months and in 19 patients(38%) at 36 months. The mean internal kyphosis angle at pre-medication, 18 and 36 months in children and adults were 14.7%, 21.9%, 24.2% and 10.6%, 14.8%, 15.9% respec- tively. It is reconfirmed that the chemotherapy was effective in curing the tuberculosis and also preventing the progress of kyphosis. Radical surgery should be reserved for the exceptional cases.
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