바닷가 공간관리정책의 결정모형 설계에 관한 연구

이종환(Lee, Joung Hwan),김기승(Kim, Gi Seung),최규명(Choi, Kyu Myeong) 한국지적정보학회 2014 한국지적정보학회지 Vol.16 No.1

본 연구는 바닷가 공간관리정책의 개념을 정립하고 현재 수행되고 있는 바닷가 관련 정책의 결정요인을 살펴본 후, 바람직한 바닷가 공간관리정책의 결정모형을 설계하는데 목적이 있다. 연구대상은 바닷가 공간으로 한정하고, 내용적 범위는 바닷가 공간관리정책의 의의 및 구성체계, 변화 그리고 결정모형의 설계로 설정하였다. 조사방법은 주로 문헌조사를 통한 2차 자료를 수집하여 개념적 논의 대상과 요인을 도출하고, 바닷가 공간관리정책의 분석모형을 설계하였다. 바람직한 바닷가 공간관리정책의 결정모형은 정책변수, 집행변수, 환경변수로 구성된다. 그 내용을 보면, 첫째, 정책변수는 바닷가 공간관리정책 자체에 해당하는 것으로 정책이 도입된 목표와 내용을 포함하고 있으며, 정책요인, 집행조직 요인, 정책대상 요인으로 구성하였다. 구체적으로 정책요인은 정책목표와 제도의 정합성으로, 집행조직 요인은 정책기관 담당자와 조직의 규모로, 정책대상 요인은 정책집단의 특성과 정책대상의 중요성으로 구성하였다. 둘째, 집행변수는 바닷가 공간관리정책을 집행하는 과정에서 필요한 정보화, 의사결정, 네트워크를 말하며, 구체적으로 정보화 요인은 시스템의 혁신성으로, 의사결정 요인은 접근경로로, 네트워크 요인은 조직간의 협력구조로 구성하였다. 셋째, 환경변수는 바닷가 공간관리정책에 영향을 미치는 사회적, 경제적, 정치적 상황의 변동을 의미하며, 구체적으로 사회적 요인은 이해관계자로, 경제적 요인은 예산편성으로, 정치적 요인은 주민참여로 구성하였다. The purpose of this study is to establish the concept of seaside spatial management policy and suggest the model analyzing elements that affect the seaside spatial management policy. To accomplish this goal, the study object was the seaside space and the content scope was limited to the meaning and composition system of the seaside spatial management policy, change of paradigm, and design of determinant model. The research method was carried on through collecting the secondary data by literary review, deducted conceptional object, and designed determinant model of the seaside spatial management policy. The Determinant model of seaside spatial management policy has set the policy variable, execution variable, and environment variable as the independent variables and the seaside spatial management policy as the dependent variable. The content is as follows. First, the policy variable is the seaside spatial management policy itself, including the objective and content as well as being composed of the policy factor, executive organization factor and policy object factor. To be more specific, the policy factor, the execution organization factor, and the execution organization factor were composed of consistency of the policy objective and system, the person in charge of the policy institution and size of the organization, and the characteristic of the policy group and the importance of the policy objects respectively. Second, the execution variable means the informationization, decision making and network needed during the procedure which is executing the seaside spatial management policy. In detail, the informationization factor, the decision making factor, and the network factor were composed of the innovativeness of the system, the approaching route and the cooperative structure between organizations respectively. Third, the environment factor means the change of the social, economical and political situation that affects the seaside spatial management policy. Specifically, the social factor, the economic factor, and the political factor were composed of the person concerned, the budget organization, and the citizen"s participation.

변액보험약관의 소비자 이해가능성 제고를 위한 개선방안에 관한 연구 : 약관조항의 재조정 및 가독성 제고 측면에서

박세민 韓國保險學會 2013 保險學會誌 Vol.94 No.-

변액보험은 인플레이션의 역작용을 상쇄함으로써 소비자에게 장기적으로 경제적 도움을 주기위해 만들어진 금융상품이다. 그러나 최근 평균 물가상승률에도 미치지 못하는 낮은 수익률과 해지환급금 및 높은 사업비 등에 대해 소비자와의 분쟁이 끊이질 않고 있다. 소비자와의 분쟁을 줄이고 변액보험상품과 약관에 대한 소비자의 이해를 높이기 위해서는 무엇보다도 현행 약관의 구성 형식을 획기적으로 바꾸어야 한다. 소비자가 가장 궁금해 하는 사항 즉 자신이 지급하는 보험료가 어떠한 용도로 사용되며 사업비로 어느 정도가 공제되는지, 보험회사가 계산하는 수익률과 소비자가 산정하는 수익률에 왜 차이가 발생하는지, 일정한 사유가 발생하는 경우 지급이 되는 보험금에는 어떠한 종류가 있으며 그 사유는 무엇인가 등에 대한 내용이 약관의 맨 앞부분에서 도표 또는 예시 등과 함께 규정됨으로써 소비자의 이해를 높일 수 있을 것으로 여겨진다. 또한 보험금 지급과 관련된 많은 조항들이 약관 여기저기에 산재되어 있는데 이를 하나의 제목하에 통합하여 이를 체계적으로 규정하는 것을 적극적으로 고려해야 한다. 이와 관련하여 현행 변액보험약관 조항의 순서와 내용에 대한 재조정 작업이 필요하며, 주요 조항들은 현재보다 더 세분화하거나 보다 연관성이 있는 조항들과 통합시키는 작업도 요구된다. 약관의 가독성을 높이기 위해 시각적 효과 및 디자인적 요소 등을 도입하는 것을 적극적으로 고려해야 한다. 색상에 따른 구별과 중요도에 따른 글자의 크기를 달리하고, 각종 부호나 그림 및 도표 등을 활용함으로써 약관의 제작 방식을 친소비자 경향으로 변경하여야 한다. 변액보험상품의 내용과 약관의 중요한 내용을 간단히 요약하여 약관의 「가입자 유의사항」 부분에서 효과적으로 소비자에게 그 내용을 전달하는 것은 매우 중요하며 이러한 방향으로 「가입자 유의사항」이 새롭게 작성되어야 한다. 마지막으로 소비자가 가입하지도 않은 각종 특약이 모두 포함된 두꺼운 약관집을 제공하는 현행 방식을 바꾸어 소비자가 실제로 가입한 주계약과 특약 내용만을 규정한 약관집을 보험회사 지점별로 제작하여 소비자에게 전달하는 방식을 고려할 수 있을 것이다. 또한 변액보험 특유의 내용을 담은 약관집(변액보험약관집)과 모든 종류의 보험계약에 보편적으로 적용되는 내용을 담은 약관집(계약일반사항 약관집)을 분리하여 제작하는 방식 및 회사 홈페이지에서 변액보험약관을 상세히 설명하는 동영상을 소비자가 수시로 시청할 수 있도록 함으로써 기존의 약관설명의무를 보다 강화하고 보충할 수 있는 방안에 대해서도 적극적으로 고려해 야 할 것이다 A variable insurance is a financial item aimed at providing consumers with economic aid by hedging adverse effects of inflation. However, recently there has been endless disputes between consumers and insurance companies with regard to the low rate of return and surrender value, which cannot catch up with average inflation, and high-level business expenses. Above all, the formation of the existing insurance policy shall be changed innovatively in order to reduce such disputes and enhance consumers' understanding of variable insurance products and insurance policies. It will be helpful to enhance consumers' understanding, if the most curious questions, which consumers want to know, such as what the insurance premiums they pay are used for, how much the amount of insurance premium revenue is used as business expense, why differences occur between the rate of return calculated by insurance companies and that calculated by consumers, what kind of insurances are paid to consumers when specific cases take place and what are thereasons, are explained at the head of insurance policy with a diagram or illustration. And it is required to integrate the provisions related to insurance payment under a title systematically, because they are scattered all over insurance policies. In this regard, it is required to reorganize the order and contents of provisions in current variable insurance policy with the major provisions shall be subdivided, and the provisions connected to each other shall be integrated as well. And also, we need to positively consider the introduction visual effects and factors of design in order to enhance the understanding. The formation methods for insurance clauses shall be changed into customer-friendly trends by varying colors and sizes of letters according to importance degree and using various marks, figures and diagrams. It is very important to communicate the contents of variable insurance products and important contents of insurance policy, which are described in the part of "Matters to be attended to by Insurance Subscribers", by summarizing them briefly so as to make them understand effectively. And the contents of "Matters to be attended to by Insurance Subscribers" shall be prepared newly in the direction. Finally, the current practice shall be changed, in which the thick volume of insurance policy with various special contracts are provided, so that insurance companies may consider to hand out insurance policies containing the main contract and special contracts consumers have actually concluded, which may be produced by branch offices of insurance companies. And it is desirable to introduce a method of insurance policy preparation in which variable insurance policies containing special contents related to variable insurances are separated from general insurance contract policies containing universal contents that cover all types of insurance contract, including variable insurance contracts. In addition, it is required to consider the plans to reinforce and supplement the existing duties to explain insurance policies by providing movie clips in home pages of insurance companies, explaining contents of variable insurances in detail, so that consumers may watch and get the information anywhere at any time.

미국의 대북정책 영향요인에 관한 연구

전호훤 ( Ho Hwon Jeon ) 한국군사학회 2009 군사논단 Vol.57 No.-

This study was explored in perspective of diplomatic policy analysis method to explain U.S. Policy toward North Korea. The international variables were North Korea nuclear developing will & potentials, Korean Peninsula surrounding nations coordination, the role of international control regime. and domestic variables were administrative core decision making group, congress & government officials, security experts & public opinion. Clinton-Bush administrative policy toward North Korea had a lot of persistent and different character. Though domestic variables strongly affected policy during certain times, mostly international variables had affected policy. Those variables presents fluidity character that has changed its hierarchy of affecting strength as circumstance changed constantly. Since the role of South Korea also affected U.S. policy as a independent variable, roles of South Korea for policy coordination could impact on U.S. policy. However, the way of civilian experts and mass media taking initiative seems like more favorable, because efforts to enhance public opinion during U.S. policy making process could affect negatively.

참여정부의 부동산 정책에 대한 신뢰도 분석

박영강 한국토지법학회 2007 土地法學 Vol.23 No.2

Analysis of Trust Level of Current Real Estate Policy- Focused on Trait of Responders in Busan Metropolitan City Area -Park, Yung KangRecently prices of real estate have increased significantly in Korea. So, the government has implemented a strong real estate regulation policy to prevent price increasing. But, the policy contains several problems. First of all, real estate ownership tax amount has significantly increased and the degree of government trust has decreased among citizens.There are two objectives in this study. One is to analyze factors of independent variables which affect the trust level. The other is to examine the influence of responders' trait on the dependent and independent variables. In the study, hypothesis model was formulated according to previous study. For the purpose of the study, a questionnaire survey to real estate brokers, university students and citizens in Busan Metropolitan City area was carried out. Major statistical methods used for this research were mean analysis and multiple regression. Followings are the results:First, according to multiple regression, the independent factors significantly affecting the trust level of the policy were government trust and policy contents in the broker group, but the independent factors significantly affecting the dependent factor were government trust and policy P.R. in other groups.Second, according to F-test, people's trust level of the policy was significantly different by the groups(the brokers, citizens and students).Third, according to t-test, people's trust level of the policy was significantly different by gender and income level. 참여정부의 부동산 정책에 대한 신뢰도 분석- 부산광역시 지역에서의 응답자 배경적 특성을 中心으로 -

한국 사회복지정책의 정치경제적 요인에 관한 연구 -제4공화국에서 국민의 정부까지

박범종 부산대학교 한국민족문화연구소 2005 한국민족문화 Vol.25 No.-

Korea's social welfare policy has improved for 20 years. However, korea's welfare level is very lower than other advanced countries. There are many reason about falling behind the social welfare level. So, I have douts its situation and what kind of factors have effect on the social welfare policy's decision making? This these aim is to evaluate the relative importance of political and economic factors as the determinants of social welfare policy and what kind of factor is very important of policy making? This research try to find the determinants of social welfare decision from 4 republic to mass government. And then, we will have known the reason of the falling of the social welfare policy. This research has analysis with co-relation. This research use dependent variable as like social welfare expenditures of korea central government and welfare expenditure per a man and use independent variables as GNI, unemployment, the industrial ratio, the seat ratio of ruling party, defense expenditure and existence or not of election. Finally, we gain the this result from this research. While it is 4, 5, 6 republic, economics factor has important effect on the social welfare policy and political factor is not effect on it because labor power is not organized and is not connected with the political power. However, this labor power is constructed after 6 republic. When it is civil-government and mass government period, labor power is connected with political power as like democratic labor party at this period. Finally, political factor turn up the important factor in the social welfare policy. This research's important meaning is used measuring analysis to find out the important factor of social welfare policy and this study will be contribute to improve social welfare policy and level in korea.

부동산정책이 부동산시장에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

최차순 대한부동산학회 2010 大韓不動産學會誌 Vol.28 No.2

Government repeatedly implemented the various policy of real estate to stabilize the cycle of real estate market which is expanded along increasing housing and land demand with undergoing industrialization and urbanization in korea. however, it is shown the limit to the analysis of the contribution to the policy of real estate to stabilize the real estate market. The reason is following: it is difficult to make numerically the level of the policy of real estate. In this research, I have estimated the level of the policy monthly to investigate the policy of real estate since 1987, and have used them as a policy variable. VAR model is set with the policy variable and the rate of price fluctuations of dealing and renting of the apartment and land market. Also, I have analysed the response of each real estate market for the policy of real estate with the impulse response functions and the variance decomposition analysis. Suggestions that could be obtained through this study are: 1. In Pusan, The response of the policy of real estate for dealing and renting market of the apartment was coincided, the other local market was not coincided. 2. Each government, the response of real estate market for the policy of real estate has some different with the local market. it is mostly shown positive with the response for the policy. however, it is shown that the price regulative policy of Chamyaer’s government don’t stabilize the price of Seoul apartment. This mean that the policy of being absolutely for regulation don’t stabilize real estate market. It is that needs to perform with a different policy of real estate following the local situation of each real estate market and they need the preemptive verifying with the problem of real estate market locally. 우리나라는 산업화와 도시화를 거치면서 주택 및 토지수요 증대에 따라 부동산시장의 변동성은 커졌고 이를 안정화시키기 위해 다양한 부동산정책이 반복적으로 시행되었다. 그러나 부동산정책이 부동산시장을 안정화 시키는데 기여했는지에 대한 연구가 미미한 실증이다. 그 이유는 부동산정책을 변수화하는 데 어려움이 있기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 1987년 1월부터 2004년 4월까지 부동산정책을 계량화한 정책수준을 정책 변수로 사용하였다. 정책변수를 아파트매매 및 전세가격, 토지매매가격 변동률과 함께 VAR모형을 설정하고, 충격반응함수와 분산분해분석으로 부동산정책이 부동산시장에 미치는 영향에 대해 분석하였다. 분석결과, 첫째 아파트매매 및 전세시장에 대한 부동산정책의 반응은 부산만 순응하였고 다른 지역은 정책의 효과가 다르게 나타났다. 둘째 각 정권별 부동산정책에 대한 부동산시장의 반응은 시장에 따라 다소의 차이는 있으나 대체로 순응하는 것으로 나타났다. 그러나 참여정부의 서울 아파트가격 억제정책이 아파트가격을 안정시키지 못한 것으로 나타났다. 이는 규제일변도의 부동산정책이 부동산시장을 안정시킬 수 없다는 것을 의미한다. 따라서 부동산시장의 문제점을 선제적으로 파악하여 부동산시장별 지역별 상황에 따라 차별화된 부동산정책 수행이 필요하다.

투자기회집합을 어떻게 측정할 것인가?

홍철규 ( Cheol Kyu Hong ) 한국회계학회 2012 회계학연구 Vol.37 No.3

본 연구의 목적은 우리나라 자료를 이용하여 기존 문헌에 등장하는 주요 IOS 후보변수 및 변수군들의 적합성을 분석하여 연구자들이 투자기회집합(IOS) 대리변수를 선택하는데 도움을 주고자 하는 것이다. 기업의 중요한 회계재무정책과 계약비용, 투자기회는 서로 밀접히 연관되어 있다고 알려져 있어, IOS의 측정은 실증연구에서 매우 중요한 요소이다. 그러나, 기업이 직면한 투자기회는 성격상 직접적인 관찰이 불가능하고, 이를 어떻게 측정할 것인가에 대해서도 기존 문헌에서 통일된 의견을 발견할 수 없다. 이로 인해 연구자들을 임시방편적인 선택에 의존하게 하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 각 개별 IOS 후보변수들과 후보변수군들을 대상으로 한 요인분석을 통해 추출한 공통요인들이 IOS 대리변수로서 어느 정도 적합한지를 분석하여 바람직한 대리변수를 제시하고 한다. 연구결과, 제조기업 표본과 비제조기업 표본을 포함한 전체표본을 사용할 경우, 자산 시장-장부가치 비율, R&D지출-총자산 비율, 주가-주당이익 비율 변수군이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났으며, 이 변수군을 사용하는 것이 단일 후보변수를 사용하는 것보다 더 바람직한 것으로 나타났다. 추가적으로 기업규모별로 4등분하여 실시한 분석에서는 가장 작은 규모의 기업그룹을 제외하고는 대체로 만족스러운 결과를 보이지 않았다. 본 연구는 IOS 측정에 관한 문제를 최초로 심도 있게 다룸으로써, IOS에 대한 이해의 폭을 넓혀주고 대리변수의 선택에 관해 많은 시사점을 제시해 주고 있어, 향후 관련 실증연구에 도움을 줄 것으로 기대된다. This study addresses the choice of an investment opportunity set(IOS) proxy variable from among IOS candidate variables and/or sets of variables, based on the Korean non-financial firms listed in KOSPI and KOSDAQ as of the end of 2009. It has been known that IOS is intricately related with various accounting and financial policies including choice of accounting procedure, capital structure, ownership structure and dividend policies, which are in turn largely involved with contracting costs. The proper measurement of IOS thus is essential for many empirical studies in the areas of accounting and finance. However, IOS faced by firms is unobservable in nature and it seems that no consensus has still emerged in the related areas concerning the choice of an IOS proxy variable or measurement of IOS. Some researchers choose to use a single variable as an IOS proxy variable, while others, recognizing that IOS is imperfectly measured by any single proxy variable, conduct sensitivity tests using various proxy variables or try to derive a factor from a set of observable IOS candidate variables using common factor analysis. However, the existing studies utilizing factor analysis often do not explicitly state why they have decided to choose the set of specific candidate variables for factor analysis, do not conduct a reliability test in terms of whether one meaningful factor can reliably be derived from their factor analysis, or do not provide a validity test in terms of the degree to which the derived factor predicts the latent investment opportunities. Furthermore, none of the existing studies conducts split sample tests, ignoring the fact that the performance of an IOS proxy variable may vary according to sub-sample groups. For these reasons, researchers often rely on the ad hoc choice of an IOS proxy variable, and many of the existing studies may involve measurement problems and some unknown biases in their results. To find an appropriate IOS proxy variable, this study works with seven IOS candidate variables used in Baber et al.(1996): investment intensity, geometric mean annual growth rate of market value of assets, market-to-book value of assets, R&D expenditure to total assets, market-to-book value of equity, earnings-to-price ratio, variance of return on market value. Factor analysis has been conducted for the sets which include more than two IOS candidate variables. A correlation analysis is also carried out between the factors derived from factor analysis/individual candidate variables and three IOS revelation variables to analyse the extent to which they predict firm`s investment opportunities. IOS revelation variables used are investment intensity, growth of book value of assets, revenue growth for the future five years, following the approach by Baber et al. Results of factor analysis are examined to judge whether it is possible to derive one meaningful factor from the chosen sets of variables. Analyses have first been carried out for the full sample, and then for split samples to ensure that the candidate proxy variable works not only for the full sample, but also for the split samples. For the full sample I find that the factors derived from the sets of variables of investment intensity, market-to-book value of assets, R&D expenditure to total assets, and earnings-to-price ratio are more appropriate than the factors derived from the sets of the variables used in existing literature in the light of correlation with IOS revelation variables. I also find that market-to-book value of assets and R&D expenditure to total assets are preferable if the use of single candidate variables is desired. Further, it is found that the use of the factor is preferable to any single candidate variables. For the split samples of manufacturing and non-manufacturing firms, I find that the use of a single variable suggests R&D expenditure to total assets for manufacturing firms and market-to-book value of assets and R&D expenditure to total assets for non-manufacturing firms. The factor from market-to-book value of assets, R&D expenditure to total assets, and earnings-to-price ratio and the factors from the most sets of variables of interest are desired for manufacturing firms and non- manufacturing firms, respectively. Combining these results, I find that for the full sample, R&D expenditure to total assets in case of a single variable, and the factor derived from market-to-book value of assets, R&D expenditure to total assets, and earnings-to-price ratio are desirable. The use of factor is also found to be preferable to that of a single candidate variable. Additionally, analyses based on the split samples according to firm size show that many of the IOS candidate variables and the factors derived from them are highly correlated with IOS revelation variables for firms in the fourth(smallest) quartile of size. However, disappointingly any meaningful relationship does not appear in other quartiles. Further research on the effect of size upon the choice of an IOS proxy variable seems to be required. By providing a comprehensive and in-depth analysis of the measurement of an IOS proxy variable, this study contributes to the enhanced understanding of IOS and helps researchers in the related areas.

중국 외교정책 결정요인의 시대적 특성분석 : 로즈노우(Roseneau)의 "예비 이론"을 중심으로 Their Importance and Leadership's Disposition

주재우 韓國外國語大學校 外國學綜合硏究센터 中國硏究所 2004 中國硏究 Vol.34 No.-

Since the foundation of the People's Republic of China (PRC) in 1949, there have been numerous intellectual attempts to unveil the secrecy behind the decision-making process of its foreign policy. Senior Chinese specialists such as A. Doak Barnett, Michel Oksenberg and alike have all sacrificed themselves at one point in their careers to solve a seemingly unsolvable question. During the course of their attempts, some also borrowed analytical tools from international relations theory in a vain hope that they would help quench their ever lasting intellectual thirst by the matter. With a similar wish and intellectual demand, the author of this paper undertakes an initiative to seek answers to the same question that to date, remains dissatisfying to many, despite some findings available in the literatures of Chinese foreign policy. The paper attempts to explore some variables that are considered to have an impact on foreign policy decision-making process. Adopting the analytical framework vigorously advocated by James N. Roseneau, it incorporates the following variables as a fundamental guideline in its study. These variables include individual variable, role variable, governmental variable, social variable, and system variable. Attending to the graceful warning by Barnett on such study that reads the difficulty of assessing the decisive factors in terms of their importance as well as their susceptibility to change in accordance to the changes in the predicament of China. The paper takes a cautious approach to a daunting task in analyzing the impact of these variables may have on the decision-making process of Chinese foreign policy. Along the course of its study, it notes that the importance of these variables would vary as a result of a change in the leadership and/or leaders. To substantiate this finding, it first offers a parameter for analytical framework by employing Roseneau's theory of undertaking by the analytical unit. Within this framework, the paper attempts to apply the aforementioned five variables in its assessment of their role and impact on the decision-making process of each leadership to fulfill the requisite understanding of evolving political and economic environment change of China since its foundation. Based upon the findings, it attempts to make an inference to the possible policy direction of the current Chinese government under the leadership of Hu Jintao.

주택정책의 효과성에 관한 연구 -MB정부를 중심으로-

최차순(Choi, Cha Soon) 대한부동산학회 2012 大韓不動産學會誌 Vol.30 No.2

우리나라는 주거안정과 부동산시장의 변동성을 안정화시키려고 다양한 부동산정책을 반복적으로 시행하였다. 그러나 부동산정책이 부동산시장을 안정화시키는 데 효과가 있었는가에 대한 연구는 부진한 실정이다. 그 이유는 부동산정책을 변수화하는 데 어려움이 있기 때문이다. 본 연구에서는 2008년 1월부터 2012년 6월까지 수행된 MB 정부의 주택정책을 월 별로 계량화한 정책수준을 정책변수로 사용하였다. 정책변수를 아파트매매가격 변동률과 함께 VAR 모형을 추정하고, 충격반응함수와 분산분해분석으로 주택정책이 부동산시장에 미치는 효과를 분석하였다. 분석 결과, 전국 및 서울의 아파트매매가격은 부동산정책에 다른 방향으로 반응하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 주택정책이 정책의 의도와는 다르게 아파트매매가격을 안정시키지 못한 결과이며 정책이 유효하지 못했음을 의미한다. 따라서 주택시장의 문제점을 선제적으로 파악하여 부동산시장 별 시기적절한 차별화된 정책수행이 필요하다. Government has repeatedly implemented the various policies of real estate to stabilize the cycle of real estate market and been improving housing security for less-privileged peoples. however, it is shown the limit to the analysis of the contribution to the policy of real estate to stabilize the real estate market. The reason is following: it is difficult to make numerically the level of the policy of real estate. In this research, I have monthly estimated the level of the policy which was investigated the policy of housing from January 2008 to June 2012, and have used them as a policy variable. VAR model is set with policy variable and the rate of fluctuations in transacting price of the apartment. Also, I have analysed the response of the policy of housing on each real estate market with the impulse response functions and the variance decomposition analysis. Suggestions that could be obtained through this study are following: In Seoul and all provinces, It has turned out that the transaction price of the apartment didn t coincide with the intention of the policy of housing. This mean that the policy of housing wasn t contributed to stabilize the transaction price of the apartment and was not in effect. It needs to perform with a different, timely policy of housing through housing market segmentation after anticipating grasping the problem of housing market.

청년의 정부 청년정책 신뢰수준 영향변인 분석: 사회·인구학적 특성, 청년의 청년정책에 대한 인식, 청년정책 기대수준, 청년취업 공정수준과의 관계를 중심으로

구철회 한국청소년학회 2022 청소년학연구 Vol.29 No.7

본 연구의 목적은 청년의 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 관련된 인구·사회학적 변인들을 파악하고, 청년의 청년정책에 대한 인식, 청년정책 기대수준, 청년취업 공정수준이 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 미치는 영향력을 분석함으로써 적실성 있는 청년정책 방향을 제시하는 것이다. 우선 연구대상자들의 사회·인구학적 특성을 분석하고, 사용 척도의 신뢰도를 담보하기 위하여 Cronbach α계수를 파악하였다. 나이, 경제적 수준, 청년정책에 대한 인식, 청년정책 기대수준, 청년취업 공정수준, 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 대한 남녀 간 차이를 살펴보기 위하여 t-test를 실시하였다. 그리고 선택한 변인들이 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위하여 위계적 회귀분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과를 살펴보면, 첫째, 청년들의 경제적 수준, 청년정책 기대수준, 정부 청년정책에 대한 신뢰 인식 정도에서 남녀 간 차이가 유의미하게 나타났다. 둘째, 청년정책에 대한 인식 수준이 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 유의한 영향력을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 청년취업 공정수준 인식이 정부 청년정책 신뢰에 추가적인 영향력과 조절력을 가지는 것으로 나타났다. This paper aims to suggest the direction of government youth policies by identifying socio-demographic variables related to young people's trust in government youth policies, and analysing the influence of young people's perceptions of youth policies, youth policy expectations, and youth employment fairness levels on government youth policy trust. Looking at the results of the study, first, there were differences between men and women in the economic level of young people, the expectation level of youth policy, and the level of trust in the government's youth policy. Second, it was found that the level of awareness of youth policy had a significant influence on the government's trust in youth policy. Third, it was found that the perception of the fair level of youth employment has additional influence and control power on the trust in the youth policy in the government. Based on the results of this study, implications for the government to consider in establishing youth policies were presented, and the limitations of the study and follow-up studies were discussed.