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      • 농업·농촌에 대한 2018년 국민의식 조사 결과

        송성환(Song Seonghwan),박혜진(Park Hyejin) 한국농촌경제연구원 2019 한국농촌경제연구원 연구자료 Vol.- No.-

        The result of the 2018 Public Opinion Survey on Agriculture and Rural Areas shows that many people think agriculture and rural areas are important and have an affection for them. However, while 85.5% of urban people think agriculture and rural areas important, 52.2% of urban people have an affection for them, showing a large difference of 33.3 percentage points. For urban people to recognize the importance of agriculture and rural areas and thereby have an affection for them, various efforts are needed, including experience, promotion, and education. Both farmers and urban people highly evaluated the public value of agriculture and rural areas. Nevertheless, only 53% of urban people were in favor of paying additional tax to maintain and preserve the value. Both farmers (73.1%) and urban people (81.5%) pointed out "stable supply of food" as the most important role of agriculture and rural areas in the present. Nonetheless, as for the future roles, the respondents expected the relative importance of "stable supply of food" would decrease and that the improvement of food safety and regional vitalization would become more important. Farmers and urban people showed the difference in satisfaction with the residential or living environment of their current place of residence: while 33.6% of farmers were satisfied, 54.7% of urban people were satisfied. The level of farmers" self-rated quality of life was also lower than that of urban people"s. On the other hand, 47.8% of urban people were in favor of increasing the budget for rural welfare. This figure was higher than the opposite opinion. Among urban people, 31.3% had an intention to return to farming or rural areas for rural and free life. However, many respondents answered that they did not have any concrete plan yet. On the other hand, urban people pointed out inconvenience in the labor and settlement environment as the reason for no intention to return to farming or rural areas. Thus, to promote urban-to-rural migration, it is necessary to provide professional education for urban people"s settlement in rural areas as farmers, and to improve settlement conditions. Urban people were more positive about the recent rise in urban-to-rural migrants than farmers. Farmers were more positive about the increase in young people"s urban-to-rural migration than about the growth of the total urban-to-rural migrants. This seems to show that farmers are concerned about labor shortage due to aging and the lack of agricultural successors. On the other hand, 30% of farmers were negative about the increase in urban-to-rural migrants because of conflicts and disharmony with existing residents. Therefore, it is needed to provide urban-to-rural migrants with prior training on communication with existing residents and on conflict management. Overall, both urban people and farmers responded that the safety and competitiveness of domestic agricultural products were high. Nevertheless, on the purchase of domestic and imported agricultural products, the following response accounted for the highest proportion and is increasing gradually: "I will purchase imported agricultural products if domestic ones are much more expensive." This result implies the need to secure the quality competitiveness and price competitiveness of domestic agricultural products. Although farmers" overall job satisfaction improved compared to 2017, still the percentage of dissatisfaction was relatively high. The biggest reason for dissatisfaction was "low income for efforts." Also, farmers pointed out "labor shortage due to the decrease and aging of the rural population" as the biggest factor threatening farm management. Therefore, in terms of policy support, it is necessary to stabilize the prices of agricultural products and farmers" income, and secure the workforce by increasing urban-to-rural migration and fostering young farmers. Concerning satisfaction with the present rural life, the perce

      • 주요 양념채소류의 도·소매 가격 간 비대칭적 가격전이 분석

        송성환 ( Seonghwan Song ),순병민 ( Byungmin Soon ),한석호 ( Sukho Han ) 한국식품유통학회 2023 한국식품유통학회 동계학술발표논문집 Vol.2022 No.0

        연구는 오차수정항을 포함한 ARDL(Autregressive Distributed Lag Model) 모형을 이용하여 농산물의 도매와 소매단계(대형마트, 재래시장) 가격전달의 인과관계 및 장·단기적 가격 조정의 비대칭성이 존재하는지 여부를 분석하였다. 분석대상은 국내 4대 양념채소(양파, 깐마늘, 대파, 생강)이며, 자료는 2012년 1월부터 2022년 12월까지 일별(주 5일) 및 주별 가격을 이용하였다. 가격전이 비대칭성 분석결과, 양념채소류의 도매가격과 전통시장 가격 사이에서의 단기에 분배시차 비대칭이 품목과 시차에 따라 양(+) 또는 음(-)으로 혼재되어 나타난 반면, 도매가격과 대형마트 가격 사이의 단기 비대칭성은 양파(일별), 생강(주별)을 제외하고 확인되지 않았다. 즉 단기에는 도매가격의 변화가 대형마트보다는 전통시장에서 비대칭적으로 전이되고 있음을 확인할 수 있었다. 한편, 장기에서 누적충격 비대칭은 전통시장에서 대파의 주별 모형을 제외하고 대부분 양(+)의 비대칭적 가격전이가 확인되었다. 양(+)의 비대칭을 보인 것은 도매가격이 상승할 때는 소매가격은 빠르게 또는 더 상승하는 것으로 분석될 수 있으며, 가격 비대칭 전이가 발견된다는 것은 발생된 이윤이 균형적으로 배분되지 않고 있으며, 농산물 시장이 비효율적으로 작동된다고 볼 수 있다. 최근 국제유가 및 농축산물 가격 상승으로 소비자물가가 지속적으로 상승하고 있는 상황에서 소비자물가 상승을 완화하기 위해서는 비대칭적 가격전이가 발생되는 품목의 도매가격 상승을 최소화할 필요가 있다.

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