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송영석,주진걸,김상단,박무중 (사)위기관리이론과실천 2023 Crisisonomy Vol.19 No.12
Only the direct impact of damage occurring in the agricultural sector is quantitatively calculated, and no analysis method for the indirect damage impact is provided. Therefore, in this study, the supply shortage effect in the agricultural sector was analyzed using input-output analysis, a representative social indirect impact analysis method. The target year for the input-output table was 2015, when damage occurred in the agricultural sector. The agricultural sector selected the industrial sector of agricultural, forestry, and fisheries products and applied five mountain-language correlation analysis models. As a result of the analysis, when the output amount increased by 1 won, the induced production effects for the entire industry were 0.65441 won, the value-added inducement effects were 0.23756 won, and the employment inducement effects were analyzed to be 1 billion won, with 3.29854 people potentially employed. The supply shortage effect is a decrease of 2.39342 won in the entire industry, and the price-inducing effect is analyzed to increase prices by 6.79571% in the entire industry when the price of output increases by 10%.