建設 및 觀光部門에 대한 對北 投資進出方案

玄成珉 대진대학교 1996 大眞論叢 Vol.4 No.-

The economic gap between North and South Korea is so great that any dramatic rapprochement is unlikely in the short run. Nevertheless, changing internal and external environments are putting considerable pressure on both Korea to open up to each other. Therefore, considering North-South economic cooperation and unification in the near future, it is meaningful to find a possible way of cooperation and mutual investment. In particular, investments in construction and tourist sectors in North Korea have quite worthy to investigate in that they will be able to induce North Korea to open the door and advance the day of reunification. So, this study suggests a way to make inroad to North Korean market of South Korean companies, predicting the demands of North Korea for construction and tourist sectors and finding the possibility of investment in these sectors.

환율변동성이 수출에 미치는 효과분석 : The Case of Korean Export to the U.S. during the Market Average Exchange Rate System of 1990's

현성민,조성일 대진대학교 2000 大眞論叢 Vol.8 No.-

The purpose of this paper is to show the empirical evidence that the exchange rate volatility risk on export could be positive. GARCH(1,l) process, known to be superior method t o any other measures, is used to generate a measure of volatility risk. Exchange rate volatility risk measured by GARCH(1,l) process must be stationary so that volatility risk cannot be included in export equation with any other I(1) variables. Johansen multivariate cointegration test is applied to investigate if there exists a cointegration vector between export volume index, relative price, and the U.S. industrial production index. We can come to conclude that there is at least 1 cointegration vector between three I(1) variables. So the long-run equilibrium export equation is estimated. In the long-run, the relative price has a inelastic negative effects, while the U.S. industrial production has a elastic positive effects on Korean export to the U.S. At the next step, 1st differenced three variables, which are transformed to I(0) stationary, and volatility risk, which is measured GARCH(1.1) process, make up ECM of short-run adjustment dynamics. In the short-run adjustment, exchange rate volatility risk has a statistically significant positive effect on various period lags. This empirical evidence seems to be explained by the real option model and/or the moral hazard phenomenon of Korean exporting firms.

초기 성인기 내현적 자기애와 외로움의 관계: 적대감과 분노표현 방식의 매개효과

현성민,정남운 학습자중심교과교육학회 2021 학습자중심교과교육연구 Vol.21 No.11

Objectives This study was aimed to examine the structural relationship between covert narcissistic tendency, loneliness, and the mediating effects of anger expression and hostility. Methods For this purpose, 500 single female and male aged from 20 to 34 participated in this study in November 2015. The data was collected through online panel survey. Results To analyze the collected data, correlation analysis and the structural equation modeling was employed to examine the model fit and the mediating effect by SPSS 20.0 and AMOS 20.0. Conclusions The result has implied loneliness could be vulnerable to people with covert narcissistic tendency, and that it might seem they strengthen or weaken loneliness through anger, which is easier emotion to accept. As they suppress their anger, this would result in increased loneliness. By expressing the anger, one could partly alleviate the perceived loneliness. However, in this case, anger expression might alleviate loneliness for a while but would eventually restrict the quality and quantity of interpersonal relationship. For future studies, the introduction of a new variable would be necessary to intervene the dysfunctional anger expression for those with covert narcissistic tendency 목적 본 연구는 초기 성인기의 내현적 자기애와 외로움의 구조적 관계를 파악하고, 분노표현방식의 매개효과를 검증하는 데 목적이있다. 방법 이를 위해 2015년 11월 20~34세 성인 미혼 남녀 500명을 대상으로 온라인 패널 설문조사 방식으로 자료를 수집하였다. 결과 수집된 자료는 SPSS 20.0과 AMOS 20.0을 사용하여 변인 간 상관관계를 파악하고, 구조방정식 모형으로 매개모형의 적합도를, 부스트랩(bootstrap) 절차에 따라 매개효과를 검증하였다. 결론 내현적 자기애 성향자에게 외로움은 분노와 같이 보다 용인하기 쉬운 감정을 통해 대체되는 것처럼 보인다. 분노를 억제할수록외로움이 커지는 데 비해, 분노표출은 외로움에 대한 지각을 완화 시켰다. 하지만 분노표출은 일시적으로 외로움에 대한 지각을 감소시키지만, 대인관계 질과 양을 모두 제약하는 결과를 가져올 수 있다. 연구 결과를 바탕으로 내현적 자기애 성향자의 역기능적인 분노표현방식을 중재할 수 있도록 시사점을 제언하였다.

情報와 銀行의 與信運用에 관한 硏究

현성민 대진대학교 1998 大眞論叢 Vol.6 No.-

Credit rationing is a condition of loan markets in which the lender supply of funds is less than borrower demand at the quoted contract terms. Moral hazard and adverse selection as much more general features of loan markets are the source of credit rationing when there is asymmetrical information. The moral hazard feature arises because individual borrowers choose to operate risker projects at higher loan rates. The adverse selection feature arises become unprofitable at higher loan rates, causing the remaining pool of loan applicants to become risker. Thus, while higher loan rates increase the lender's expected revenue for all borrowers. Given that the risk character of individual borrowers and projects cannot be identified a priori, it may be optimal policy for the lender to set the loan rate below the market-clearing level and to ration credit. For rationing to exist on a continuing basis in loan markets, therefore, the interest rate must be maintained below the market-cleaning level by special factors.

상대적 교란, 상대가격변동성과 인플레이션율간의 관계에 대한 실증분석

현성민 대진대학교 1995 大眞論叢 Vol.3 No.-

Analytic contributions in the imperfect information market-clearing framework have shown how uncertainty about inflation can reduce the efficiency of the price system and how relative price variablity is likely to be greater when there are unanticipated changes in the price level. Such analyses, combined with the assumption the high inflation rates are also more uncertain, provide a rationalization for the view that inflation may itself be a factor explaining the poor performance of industrial economies after 1973. In this paper I investigate the empirical realtions between relative shocks, relative price variability, and inflation in Korea for the 1975-1990 perids. Three conclusions are supported by findings of this paper. First, there are positive relations between relative price variability and the rate of inflation in Korea for the periods. Second, the association between relative price variability and inflation is dominated by relative shocks like food and energy shocks. Third, from a welfare economics viewpoint, inflation and relative price variability affect negatively the real GNP.

자동차세 부과ㆍ징수절차의 합리적인 개선방안에 관한 연구

현성민,유태현 동아시아경제사회연구회 2006 동아시아경제사회연구 Vol.1 No.2

지방세 체납세 징수 효율화 방안

현성민 ( Seong Min Hyun ) 한국재정정책학회 2013 財政政策論集 Vol.15 No.2

This study analyzes the causes and problems of local taxes in arrears. On that basis, this paper suggests some rational alternatives about how to efficiently collect local taxes in arrears. The alternatives are as follows; First, the local government needs to reinforce penalty regulations for default on local taxes. Some examples of these regulations are securing a realistic and effective system on limiting government-licensed business, enhancing the standards prohibiting departure, and opening to the pubic the list of taxpayers who habitually get in arrears or have defaulted large sums of local taxes. Second, the systematic construction by local governments of a system of collecting local taxes in arrears is necessary - for example, understanding well the taxpaying ability of the defaulters, enlargement of tax delinquency responsibility organizations and supplement of the personnel, enhancing the professionalism of the person in charge of tax arrearage, and improving tax delinquency management methods. Finally, the local government needs to consider delegating the collection of local taxes in arrears to the private sector. However, this method must be realized in such a way that the private sector provides assistance to local governments.

정부 재정지출의 국민경제 파급효과

현성민 ( Seong Min Hyun ),정군오 ( Kun Oh Jung ),임응순 ( Eung Soon Lim ) 한국재정정책학회 2014 財政政策論集 Vol.16 No.2

Government expenditure is a kind of tools of the policy which can be used by the government to achieve the macro economic goal following the interior and exterior economic conditions. Therefore this study attempts to analyse national economic effects of government expenditure. The inter-industry table from 2000 to 2009 is used for this Inter-industry analysis. In detail, this study analyses the production-inducing effect, the value added inducing effect and the employ-inducing effect using the demand-drive model. We also analyses the economic effects of education, defense, health and social welfare which take a large part of the government expenditure using the general government total expenditure data from national account.

부동산보유세 체계의 재설계 방안에 관한 연구

현성민 ( Seong Min Hyun ),유태현 ( Tae Hyun Yoo ) 한국재정정책학회 2009 財政政策論集 Vol.11 No.3

The Constitution Court on Nov. 13th, 2008, ruled that a law levying heavier taxes on high-end homeowners which was the key of the comprehensive real estate tax was partly unconstitutional. The Constitutional Court also ruled a clause in the law imposing taxes on single-home owners for residential purposes not in conformity with the Constitution. Now we need to investigate carefully the reconstructing of the real estate tax system which is divided into the comprehensive real estate tax as a central tax and the property tax as a local tax. Considering the essence of real estate taxation, a given condition, and an empirical analysis, it is pertinent that the current real estate holding tax system is reorganized the integrated property tax including the comprehensive real estate tax and the property tax.

서울시 조정교부금제도 개선방안에 관한 연구

현성민 ( Seong Min Hyun ),유태현 ( Tae Hyun Yoo ) 한국재정정책학회 2008 財政政策論集 Vol.10 No.1

The Seoul`s autonomous district control grants system has strengthened the fiscal capacity of the weak local governments and played a role of lessening the financial gap among autonomous districts from 1988. But this system has problems the inaccurate calculation of basic financial revenues and basic needs, the regressive financial adjustments possibility, and the temporary function of financial adjustments. The objective of this paper is to suggest a proposal for the reform of Seoul`s autonomous district control grants system by accumulating the total DB about related statistical data for the accurate estimation of basic revenues and suppling a manual for the public service personnel in charge. And also suggests establishing the ``committee of Seoul metropolitan development``(tentative name) to block off the regressive possibility of additional grants, making efforts by oneself for the sound finance management, and deciding control grants reflecting the results of financial diagnosis.