The Emergence of the Post-Post-Cold War Order and National Security Strategy of South Korea = The Emergence of the Post-Post-Cold War Order and National Security Strategy of South Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This paper attempts to analyze the current situation on the Korean peninsula and discuss its implication for formulating the new South Korean administration`s national security strategy. Defining the current world order as the post-post-Cold War order, this paper analyzes the security conditions of South Korea in terms of three levels international, regional, and two Koreas. The U.S.-led, post-post-Cold War order is dictated by the U.S. short-term and long-term strategies. The short-term strategy seeks antiterrorism and non-proliferation, while the long-term strategy aims at establishing multilateral arrangements to ensure its dominance. After discussing regional influence of four global trends, this paper also looks into each of bilateral relations among four major powers in Northeast Asia. Then, this paper examines the domestic impact of four global trends on each of two Koreas. Based on the analysis of the changing security situation of Korean peninsula, it discusses possible directions of the new South Korean administration`s national security policy. After dividing national security strategy of South Korea into three components, it emphasizes skillful and competent diplomacy of the South Korean government in pursuing its national security policy under the current security situation.