It has been pointed out that the allocation of disaster budgets may not adequately reflect the demand for disaster management, due to a variety of factors, leading to an undersupply of disaster management services. The study conducted regression analy...
It has been pointed out that the allocation of disaster budgets may not adequately reflect the demand for disaster management, due to a variety of factors, leading to an undersupply of disaster management services. The study conducted regression analyses using data from 2010 to 2015 from 16 regional local governments to determine whether the ex-ante budgeting for disasters was made based on the magnitude of disaster risk. The simple regression analyses between disaster risks and disaster budgets show that both disaster damages and recovery costs have an effect on the disaster budgets, but they do not have a significant impact. In multiple regression analyses using disaster recovery cost and total budget as independent variables at the same time, the total budget had little influence on the disaster budget, mainly comprised of program costs. However, the analysis of the disaster budget, including the basic administrative costs for organization operations, revealed that the total budget was more correlated and more influential than the disaster recovery cost. This study may be meaningful in that it has empirically demonstrated and explained the results of the decision on the allocation of disaster budgets. It is expected that a comprehensive disaster risk assessment system will need to be established to reflect the size of disaster risks and allocate an appropriate level of disaster budget.