Reliability Analysis of Seismically Induced Slope Deformations

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The paper presents a reliability-based method that can capture the impact of uncertainty of seismic loadings. The proposed method incorporates probabilistic concepts into the classical limit equilibrium and the Newmark-type deformation techniques. The risk of damage is then computed by Monte Carlo simulation. Random process and RMS hazard method are introduced to produce seismic motions and also to use them in the seismic slope analyses. The geotechnical variability and sampling errors are also considered. The results of reliability analyses indicate that in a highly seismically active region, characterization of earthquake hazard is the more critical factor, and characterization of soil properties has a relatively small effect on the computed risk of slope failure and excessive slope deformations. The results can be applicable to both circular and non-circular slip surface failure modes.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 김진만, "지진으로 인한 사면변위 해석 시 지반성질 모델의 중요성" 한국지반공학회 19 (19): 123-133, 2003

2 Idriss, I. M., "User’s Manual for SHAKE91 - A Computer Program for Conducting Equivalent Linear Seismic Response Analyses for Horizontally Layered Soil Deposits" Center for Geotechnical Modeling, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California 1992

3 Tung, A. T. Y., "Statistical Parameters of AM and PSD Functions for the Generation of Site-Specific Strong Ground Motions" 1992

4 Saragoni, G. R., "Simulation of Artificial Earthquakes" 2 : 249-267, 1974

5 Kanai, K., "Semi-Empirical Formula for the Seismic Characteristics of the Ground" Tokyo University 35 : 308-325, 1957

6 Idriss, I. M., "Selection of Earthquake Ground Motions at Rock Sites" NIST 1991

7 Seed, R. B., "Seismic Analysis and Design of Lined Waste Fills: Current Practice" 1152-1187, 1992

8 Kavazanjian, J. E., "RMS Acceleration Hazard for San Francisco" 4 (4): 106-123, 1985

9 Yang, J. -N., "On the Normality and Accuracy of Simulated Random Processes" 3 : 417-428, 1973

10 Rubinstein, R. Y., "Monte Carlo Optimization, Simulation and Sensitivity of Queueing Networks" John and Wiley & Sons 1986

11 Housner, G. W., "Measures of Severity of Earthquake Ground Shaking" 1975

12 Rice, S. O., "Mathematical Analysis of Random Noise, In Selected Papers on Noise and Stochastic Processes" Dover Publications 133-294, 1954

13 Seed, R. B., "Kettleman-Hills Waste Landfill Slope Failure. 2: Stability Analyses" (4) : 669-690, 1990

14 Housner, G. W., "Intensity of Ground Motion During Strong Earthquake" California Institute of Technology, Earthquake Research Laboratory 1952

15 Singh, S., "Evaluation of the Stability of Sanitary Landfills, In Geotechnics of Wastefills - Theory and Practice" ASTM 240-258, 1990

16 Augello, A. J., "Evaluation of Solid Waste Landfill Performance During the Northridge Earthquake" ASCE 17-50, 1995

17 Gasparini, D. A., "Evaluation of Seismic Safety of Buildings Report No. 2: Simulated Earthquake Motions Compatible with Prescribed Response Spectra" Department of Civil Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology 1976

18 Abrahamson, N., "Empirical Response Spectral Attenuation Relations for Shallow Crustal Earthquakes" 68 (68): 94-127, 1997

19 Abrahamson, N., "Empirical Ground Motion Models, Draft Report" Brookhaven National Laboratory 1996

20 Schnabel, P. B., "Effects of Local Geology and Distance from Source on Earthquake Ground Motions" University of California 1973

21 Newmark, N. M., "Effects of Earthquakes on Dams and Embankments" 15 (15): 139-160, 1965

22 Yegian, M. K., "Earthquake-Induced Permanent Deformations - Probabilistic Approach" 117 (117): 35-50, 1991

23 Bray, J. D., "Earthquake-Induced Displacements of Solid-Waste Landfills" 124 (124): 242-253, 1998

24 Kim, J., "Dynamic Properties of Geosynthetic Interfaces" 28 (28): 288-296, 2005

25 Bolt, B. A., "Duration of Strong Ground Motion" 1304-1315, 1969

26 Kim, J., "Direct Estimation of Yield Acceleration in Seismic Slope Stability Analyses" 130 (130): 111-115, 2004

27 Liu, P. L., "CALREL User Manual" Department of Civil Engineering, University of California at Berkeley 1989

28 Trifunac, M. D., "A Study of the Duration of Strong Earthquake Ground Motion" 65 : 581-626, 1975

29 Tajimi, H., "A Statistical Method of Determining the Maximum Response of a Building Structure During an Earthquake" 781-797, 1960

30 Pal, S. K., "A Probabilistic Analysis of Seismically Induced Permanent Movements in Earth Dams" 31 (31): 47-59, 1991

31 Wang, J. N., "A Nonstationary Probabilistic Model for Pore Pressure Development and Site Response due to Seismic Excitation" The John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Stanford University 1987