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      경남 조선산업 성장의 구조적 특성에 관한 분석 = An Analysis of the Structural Characteristics of the Growth of Gyeongsangnam-do Shipbuilding Industry

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A108872532

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      This study examines the economic effects of the shipbuilding industry on regional industries through industry-related analysis in order to analyze the inherent capabilities of the shipbuilding industry in Gyeongsangnam-do to respond to changes in the global shipbuilding economy, and at the same time, to identify the characteristics of the shipbuilding industry in the region. Dynamic variance assignment analysis according to the change in time was performed.
      As a result of analyzing the industry-related effects of the shipbuilding industry in the Gyeongnam region, the production inducement effect was analyzed to be KRW 42.7997 trillion in 2016 and KRW 23.2631 trillion in 2021. During the analysis period 2016-2021, production inducement effect, import inducement effect, and added value inducement effect all show negative growth (-45.6%), and at the same time, the total production value also shows a decrease during 2016-2021.
      As a result of the dynamic shift-share analysis of the shipbuilding industry in Gyeongsangnam-do from 2015 to 2021, the total regional growth was -4,283.6 billion won, of which the national growth effect was 7,116.8 billion won and the industrial structure effect was -22,403.4 billion KRW, and the competition effect was analyzed to be KRW 11.3 trillion. Among the three growth effects, the net relative effect, which is the sum of the industrial structure effect and the competition effect, shows a positive value only in the 2015-2016 period and negative values in all other periods.
      This study can present a direction for securing competitiveness of industries in the region through the analysis of the characteristics of specific industries limited to the region and the inter-industry linkage effect, and at the same time, by identifying the structural characteristics of the total growth of the shipbuilding industry, It is expected to provide a direction for the growth of the shipbuilding industry.
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      This study examines the economic effects of the shipbuilding industry on regional industries through industry-related analysis in order to analyze the inherent capabilities of the shipbuilding industry in Gyeongsangnam-do to respond to changes in the ...

      This study examines the economic effects of the shipbuilding industry on regional industries through industry-related analysis in order to analyze the inherent capabilities of the shipbuilding industry in Gyeongsangnam-do to respond to changes in the global shipbuilding economy, and at the same time, to identify the characteristics of the shipbuilding industry in the region. Dynamic variance assignment analysis according to the change in time was performed.
      As a result of analyzing the industry-related effects of the shipbuilding industry in the Gyeongnam region, the production inducement effect was analyzed to be KRW 42.7997 trillion in 2016 and KRW 23.2631 trillion in 2021. During the analysis period 2016-2021, production inducement effect, import inducement effect, and added value inducement effect all show negative growth (-45.6%), and at the same time, the total production value also shows a decrease during 2016-2021.
      As a result of the dynamic shift-share analysis of the shipbuilding industry in Gyeongsangnam-do from 2015 to 2021, the total regional growth was -4,283.6 billion won, of which the national growth effect was 7,116.8 billion won and the industrial structure effect was -22,403.4 billion KRW, and the competition effect was analyzed to be KRW 11.3 trillion. Among the three growth effects, the net relative effect, which is the sum of the industrial structure effect and the competition effect, shows a positive value only in the 2015-2016 period and negative values in all other periods.
      This study can present a direction for securing competitiveness of industries in the region through the analysis of the characteristics of specific industries limited to the region and the inter-industry linkage effect, and at the same time, by identifying the structural characteristics of the total growth of the shipbuilding industry, It is expected to provide a direction for the growth of the shipbuilding industry.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 박주석, "효과적인 개발계획 수립을 위한 변이할당효과를 고려한 중소도시 인구변화 분석" 공주대학교 2020

      2 정홍렬, "지역경제학" 시그마프레스 218-219, 2017

      3 윤재호, "우리나라 조선산업의 지역산업연관 효과분석" 산업경영연구소 44 (44): 205-227, 2021

      4 류희진, "우리나라 전문디자인업의 특화도와 지역경쟁력 분석: 입지계수와 변이-할당 분석을 중심으로" 한국산업경제학회 35 (35): 45-68, 2022

      5 양영준, "우리나라 광역자치단체 부동산업의 성장 특성 분석 - 변이할당분석과 성장률시차분석을 이용하여 -" 한국부동산분석학회 25 (25): 63-77, 2019

      6 김상호, "비교적 관점에서 지역산업구조의 변이・할당분석: 전라남도와 경상남도를 중심으로" 한국지방정부학회 18 (18): 481-501, 2014

      7 박선율 ; 김상열 ; 이민규, "부산 해양산업의 지역경제 부가가치 기여도 분석" 한국해양수산개발원 34 (34): 199-222, 2019

      8 나주몽 ; 김재영, "변이할당분석을 통한 지역성장률 격차요인 변화와 지역대표산업의 산업경쟁력 분석 - 광주전남을 중심으로 -" 한국산업경제학회 35 (35): 173-201, 2022

      9 심원섭 ; 최승묵, "변이할당분석과 성장률시차분석을 이용한 광역지자체 관광산업 성장 특성 분석" 한국관광학회 37 (37): 241-260, 2013

      10 윤지수 ; 조현주 ; 김석호, "경남 자동차 부품산업의 지역경제 파급효과 분석" 산업경영연구소 45 (45): 221-242, 2022

      1 박주석, "효과적인 개발계획 수립을 위한 변이할당효과를 고려한 중소도시 인구변화 분석" 공주대학교 2020

      2 정홍렬, "지역경제학" 시그마프레스 218-219, 2017

      3 윤재호, "우리나라 조선산업의 지역산업연관 효과분석" 산업경영연구소 44 (44): 205-227, 2021

      4 류희진, "우리나라 전문디자인업의 특화도와 지역경쟁력 분석: 입지계수와 변이-할당 분석을 중심으로" 한국산업경제학회 35 (35): 45-68, 2022

      5 양영준, "우리나라 광역자치단체 부동산업의 성장 특성 분석 - 변이할당분석과 성장률시차분석을 이용하여 -" 한국부동산분석학회 25 (25): 63-77, 2019

      6 김상호, "비교적 관점에서 지역산업구조의 변이・할당분석: 전라남도와 경상남도를 중심으로" 한국지방정부학회 18 (18): 481-501, 2014

      7 박선율 ; 김상열 ; 이민규, "부산 해양산업의 지역경제 부가가치 기여도 분석" 한국해양수산개발원 34 (34): 199-222, 2019

      8 나주몽 ; 김재영, "변이할당분석을 통한 지역성장률 격차요인 변화와 지역대표산업의 산업경쟁력 분석 - 광주전남을 중심으로 -" 한국산업경제학회 35 (35): 173-201, 2022

      9 심원섭 ; 최승묵, "변이할당분석과 성장률시차분석을 이용한 광역지자체 관광산업 성장 특성 분석" 한국관광학회 37 (37): 241-260, 2013

      10 윤지수 ; 조현주 ; 김석호, "경남 자동차 부품산업의 지역경제 파급효과 분석" 산업경영연구소 45 (45): 221-242, 2022

      11 오세준 ; 양영준, "경기도 산업구조의 특성에 대한 동태적 변이・할당 분석" 아시아.유럽미래학회 17 (17): 43-61, 2020

      12 주미진, "경기도 4차 산업의 특화도 및 동태적 변이할당 분석" 재단법인 경기연구원 25 (25): 61-84, 2023

      13 Hanham, Q. Robert, "Shift-Share Analysis and Changes in Japanese Manufacturing Employment" 31 : 108-123, 2000

      14 Oyewole Philemon, "Regional Competition in the International Market for Services : A Shift-Share Analysis" 29 (29): 3-14, 2006

      15 Dinc Mustafa, "Productivity, International Trade and Reference Area Interactions in Shift-Share Analysis : Some Operational Note" 36 (36): 376-, 2015

      16 Ghali, M. A., "Models of Regional Growth : An Empirical Evaluation" 11 (11): 175-190, 1981

      17 Ireneusz Dabrowski, "Classical and Dynamic Shift-Share Cost Analysis for the Construction Sector in the European Union" XXIII (XXIII): 760-775, 2020

      18 Herath, Janaranjana., "A Dynamic Shift Share Analysis of Economic Growth in West Virginia" Regional Research Institute 2010

      19 한국은행, "2015년 산업연관표"

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