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      유라시아경제연합의 화폐통합 가능성 평가와 과제: 유럽 화폐통합 사례의 함의 = An Evaluation of EEU Monetary Integration Possibilities and the Tasks: Implications of the EU Monetary Union Practices

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A101148606

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) was officially launched on January 1, 2015 and Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a monetary union at a meeting with his Kazakh and Belarusian counterparts Nursultan Nazarbaev and Aleksandr Lukashenko in Astana on March 20, 2015. The theoretical framework of a monetary union is Optimal Currency Area (OCA) theory, first published by Mundell in 1961. Mundell insisted that the benefits and costs are incurred when each country with a different economic structure adopts a single currency and the cases that the benefits are greater than the costs are defined as the optimum currency area and the introducing a single currency is effective. There are three conditions for benefits of monetary union to complement the costs, namely Structural similarity, Market flexibility, Fiscal centralism. In these perspectives, the economic constraints of the EEU monetary union are as follows: First, the currency area of the EEU member states in terms of the economic structural similarity is very different. Secondly, it does not operate as positive factors of the monetary union in terms of the market flexibility, such as free movement of labor, ease of access to finance, favorable conditions of doing business. Third, the financial system of the EEU member states is very poor and unstable, and there is not the situation that can be received strict financial policy and budget constraints. It is also a difficult political situation to reach a consensus because the major countries of EEU, Kazakhstan and Belarus have expressed their opposition to the introduction of a single currency. When we remember that monetary integration in Europe also had evolutionary process repeated a lot of conflict and frustration, monetary integration in the EEU is not of the nature that could occur in the short term. However, it is recognized the need for monetary integration in the sense that it can expand intra-regional trade, promote intra-regional exchange rate stability and become the foundation of economic integration in the long term.
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      The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) was officially launched on January 1, 2015 and Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a monetary union at a meeting with his Kazakh and Belarusian counterparts Nursultan Nazarbaev and Aleksandr Lukashenko in Astana...

      The Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) was officially launched on January 1, 2015 and Russian President Vladimir Putin proposed a monetary union at a meeting with his Kazakh and Belarusian counterparts Nursultan Nazarbaev and Aleksandr Lukashenko in Astana on March 20, 2015. The theoretical framework of a monetary union is Optimal Currency Area (OCA) theory, first published by Mundell in 1961. Mundell insisted that the benefits and costs are incurred when each country with a different economic structure adopts a single currency and the cases that the benefits are greater than the costs are defined as the optimum currency area and the introducing a single currency is effective. There are three conditions for benefits of monetary union to complement the costs, namely Structural similarity, Market flexibility, Fiscal centralism. In these perspectives, the economic constraints of the EEU monetary union are as follows: First, the currency area of the EEU member states in terms of the economic structural similarity is very different. Secondly, it does not operate as positive factors of the monetary union in terms of the market flexibility, such as free movement of labor, ease of access to finance, favorable conditions of doing business. Third, the financial system of the EEU member states is very poor and unstable, and there is not the situation that can be received strict financial policy and budget constraints. It is also a difficult political situation to reach a consensus because the major countries of EEU, Kazakhstan and Belarus have expressed their opposition to the introduction of a single currency. When we remember that monetary integration in Europe also had evolutionary process repeated a lot of conflict and frustration, monetary integration in the EEU is not of the nature that could occur in the short term. However, it is recognized the need for monetary integration in the sense that it can expand intra-regional trade, promote intra-regional exchange rate stability and become the foundation of economic integration in the long term.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 서양원, "화폐통합이론과 남북한에의 적용" 12 (12): 2008

      2 배병인, "통화통합의 정치적 동인: 유럽의 경험과 동아시아에의 함의" 극동문제연구소 27 (27): 93-120, 2011

      3 김은경, "최적통화지역이론에 대한 검토: 특화 vs. 내생성" 국제지역학회 8 (8): 11-29, 2004

      4 김흥종, "유로존 10년의 평가와 향후 과제" 2010

      5 이영섭, "유로의 도입과정과 남북한의 점진적 화폐통합: 통화경쟁논의를 중심으로" 한국EU학회 7 (7): 125-156, 2002

      6 문우식, "아시아 위기 및 유로화 출범에 대비한 동아시아통화 ․ 금융협력" 한국은행 6 (6): 2000

      7 변현섭, "러시아 내 이주노동자 문제와 정책적 과제: CIS 국가 간의 노동이주를 중심으로" 국제지역연구원 22 (22): 5-40, 2015

      8 신관호, "동아시아 화폐통합의 비용, 편익분석과 정치경제적함의" 대외경제정책연구원 2003

      9 장봉규, "남북한 통화통합의 과제" 한국국민경제학회 10 (10): 2001

      10 안병억, "그리스 비극 격은 유로존 2025년엔 경제통화동맹 격상"

      1 서양원, "화폐통합이론과 남북한에의 적용" 12 (12): 2008

      2 배병인, "통화통합의 정치적 동인: 유럽의 경험과 동아시아에의 함의" 극동문제연구소 27 (27): 93-120, 2011

      3 김은경, "최적통화지역이론에 대한 검토: 특화 vs. 내생성" 국제지역학회 8 (8): 11-29, 2004

      4 김흥종, "유로존 10년의 평가와 향후 과제" 2010

      5 이영섭, "유로의 도입과정과 남북한의 점진적 화폐통합: 통화경쟁논의를 중심으로" 한국EU학회 7 (7): 125-156, 2002

      6 문우식, "아시아 위기 및 유로화 출범에 대비한 동아시아통화 ․ 금융협력" 한국은행 6 (6): 2000

      7 변현섭, "러시아 내 이주노동자 문제와 정책적 과제: CIS 국가 간의 노동이주를 중심으로" 국제지역연구원 22 (22): 5-40, 2015

      8 신관호, "동아시아 화폐통합의 비용, 편익분석과 정치경제적함의" 대외경제정책연구원 2003

      9 장봉규, "남북한 통화통합의 과제" 한국국민경제학회 10 (10): 2001

      10 안병억, "그리스 비극 격은 유로존 2025년엔 경제통화동맹 격상"

      11 "Шувалов: создание валютного союза в рамках ЕАЭС обсуждается пока науровне экспертов"

      12 Кнобель, А., "Телега впереди лошади: может ли ЕАЭС стать валютным союзом?"

      13 "Лукашенко сомневается в актуальности вопроса о единой валюте в ЕАЭС"

      14 "Кудрин раскритиковал идею Д.Медведева о создании валютного союза"

      15 "Казахстан исключает возможность введения единой валюты в Евразийском союзе"

      16 "Валютный союз ЕАЭС поначалу может включить не все страны"

      17 "Валютный союз ЕАЭС и дедоларизация"

      18 CIA, "the World Factbook"

      19 Kwan, C.H., "The Theory of Optimum Currency Areas and the Possibility of Forming a Yen Bloc in Asia"

      20 Frankel, Jeffrey A., "The Endogeneity of the Optimum Currency Area Criteria" 108 (108): 1998

      21 Thom, R., "The Effect of a Currency Union on Trade: Lessons from the Irish Experience" 46 : 2002

      22 De Grauwe, P., "The Economics of Monetary Integration" Oxford University Press 1997

      23 Chaplygin V., "Russian and Belarus Monetary Union: Phantom or Reality?" 2004

      24 Kenen, Peter B., "Regional Monetary Integration" Cambridge University Press 2008

      25 Alesina, A., "Optimal Currency Areas" National Bureauof Economic Research 2002

      26 Bayoumi T., "On Regional Monetary Arrangements for ASEAN" 14 : 2000

      27 Chaplygin V., "Monetary integration in the ex-Soviet Union: A union of four?" 14 (14): 2006

      28 Masson, P., "Monetary Union in West Africa" 2001

      29 Frankel, Jeffrey A., "Is EMU More Justifiable Ex Post than Ex Ante?" 41 (41): 1997

      30 Eichengreen, B., "Exchange Rate Policies in Emerging Asian Countries" Routledge 1999

      31 김익수, "EU 화폐통합의 진전현황과 국제경제적 파급효과" 42 : 1998

      32 Ed Dolan, "Does Putin’s Proposed Eurasian Currency Union Make Sense?"

      33 Rose, A.K., "Currency Union and International Integration" 34 : 2002

      34 Mundell, R., "A Theory of Optimal Currency Area" 51 (51): 1961

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      2009-09-02 학술지명변경 외국어명 : The Korean Journal of Slavic Studies -> The Korean Journal of Slavic Studies KCI등재
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