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      러시아 에너지정책의 원천: '철저한 경제'인가 혹은'전략적 정치'인가? = What is the Source of Russia’s Energy Policy?: 'Pure Economy' or 'Strategic Politics'

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A103966036

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      The disputes exist concerning the source of Russia's energy policy. Some argue that 'pure economy' determines the country's energy policy, whereas others maintain that 'strategic politics' decides it. This paper attempts to identify which argument bes...

      The disputes exist concerning the source of Russia's energy policy. Some argue that 'pure economy' determines the country's energy policy, whereas others maintain that 'strategic politics' decides it. This paper attempts to identify which argument best reflects the reality. To do this, it examines Russia's gas policy toward two important areas such as Central Asia and Europe.


      This analysis reveals that no conclusive evidence exists to determine the source of Russia's energy policy. Put another way, the Russia's energy policy is decided either by 'pure economy,' or by 'strategic politics,' or by both of these two factors.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 이유신, "가스카르텔 설립에 대한 러시아의 입장변화 분석" 한국국제정치학회 49 (49): 191-212, 2009

      2 "“Turkey Believes to Agree Upon Gas Prices With Azerbaijan Soon: Government Official,” (December 14, 2009)"

      3 Гриб, Наталья, "“ Французам Нальют из‘Южного Потока’,” Коммерсант (декабрь 4)"

      4 Гриб, Наталья, "“ Россия и Туркме ния Переходят на СниженныйГаз,”Коммерсант (декаб рь 21)"

      5 Сергеев, Михаил, "“ Россия Рианимирует ГазовыйИмпорт,” Независимая Газета (декабрь 23)"

      6 Lobjakas, Ahto, "‘Strategic’ Nabucco Deal Inked to Help Curb Dependence on Russian Gas" 2009

      7 EIA(Energy Information Administration), "World Dry Natural Gas Supply and Disposition, 2004"

      8 Pirani, Simon, "Turkmenistan: An Exporter in Transition. in: Russian and CIS Gas Markets and Their Impact on Europe" Oxford University Press 2009b

      9 Pannier, Bruce, "Turkmen Gas Exports to Iran a Boon for Both Countries" 2010

      10 "Trend, “STRATFOR’s Expert Does Not Believe in Nabucco at This Stage,” (December 7, 2009)"

      1 이유신, "가스카르텔 설립에 대한 러시아의 입장변화 분석" 한국국제정치학회 49 (49): 191-212, 2009

      2 "“Turkey Believes to Agree Upon Gas Prices With Azerbaijan Soon: Government Official,” (December 14, 2009)"

      3 Гриб, Наталья, "“ Французам Нальют из‘Южного Потока’,” Коммерсант (декабрь 4)"

      4 Гриб, Наталья, "“ Россия и Туркме ния Переходят на СниженныйГаз,”Коммерсант (декаб рь 21)"

      5 Сергеев, Михаил, "“ Россия Рианимирует ГазовыйИмпорт,” Независимая Газета (декабрь 23)"

      6 Lobjakas, Ahto, "‘Strategic’ Nabucco Deal Inked to Help Curb Dependence on Russian Gas" 2009

      7 EIA(Energy Information Administration), "World Dry Natural Gas Supply and Disposition, 2004"

      8 Pirani, Simon, "Turkmenistan: An Exporter in Transition. in: Russian and CIS Gas Markets and Their Impact on Europe" Oxford University Press 2009b

      9 Pannier, Bruce, "Turkmen Gas Exports to Iran a Boon for Both Countries" 2010

      10 "Trend, “STRATFOR’s Expert Does Not Believe in Nabucco at This Stage,” (December 7, 2009)"

      11 Sokov, Nikolai, "The Ukrainian Gas Crisis Revisited" 105 (105): 348-351, 2006

      12 Pirani, Simon, "The Russo-Ukranian Gas Dispute of January 2009: A Comprehensive Assessment" Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2009

      13 Stern, Jonathan, "The Russian-Ukrainian Gas Crisis of January 2006" Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2006

      14 Stern, Jonathan, "The Russian Gas Balance to 2015: Difficult Years Ahead. in: Russian and CIS Gas Markets and Their Impact on Europe" Oxford University Press 2009

      15 "The Moscow Times, “Slovenia Signs Up to South Stream,” (November 16, 2009)"

      16 "The Moscow Times, “Nabucco Gets Boost Before Transit Deal,” (July 13, 2009)"

      17 "The Moscow Times, “Gazprom to Double Azeri Gas Purchases in 2011,” (January 22, 2010)"

      18 "The Moscow Times, “Gazprom Expects to Reach Export Record in 2007,” (June 26, 2007)"

      19 "The Moscow Times, “Gazprom Agrees to Resume Turkmen Imports,” (December 23, 2009)"

      20 Socor, Vladimir, "Strategic Implications of the Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline" 6 (6): 2009

      21 Nanay, Julia, "Russia’s Role in the Eurasian Energy Market: Seeking Control in the Face of Growing Challenges. in: Russian Energy Power and Foreign Relations: Implications for Conflict and Cooperation" Routledge 109-131, 2009

      22 Torbakov, Igor, "Russian-Turkmen Pacts Mark Strategic Shift for Moscow in Central Asia" 2003

      23 Smith, Keith C., "Russian Energy Politics in the Baltics, Poland and Ukraine: A New Stealth Imperialism?" CSIS 2004

      24 Mitrova, Tatiana, "Russia, the CIS and Europe: Gas Trade and Transit. in: Russian and CIS Gas Markets and Their Impact on Europe" Oxford University Press 2009

      25 RIA Novosti, "Russia, Austria Urge States to Expedite South Stream Deal"

      26 Milov, Vladimir, "Russia and the West: The Energy Factor" CSIS 2008

      27 Socor, Vladimir, "Russia Surging Farther Ahead in Race for Central Asian Gas" 4 (4): 2007

      28 Socor, Vladimir, "Russia Resuming Gas Imports from Turkmenistan on a Small Scale" 7 (7): 2010

      29 RIA Novosti, "Russia Ready to Buy Azerbaijani Gas at Record Price"

      30 News Central Asia, "Russia Comfortable With Turkmenistan-China Gas Pipeline"

      31 "RFE/RL, “Central Asia: Russian, Turkmen, Kazakh Leaders Agree on Caspian Pipeline,” (May 12, 2007); “Russia Obtains Azerbaijani Gas in Tug-of-War With Europe,” (June 29, 2009); “Russia Halts Oil Flows to Belarus Refineries,” (January 3, 2010)"

      32 Goldman, Marshall I., "Petrostate: Putin, Power, and the New Russia" Oxford University Press 2008

      33 "People’s Daily, “Chinese Oil Giant to Finance Central Asia-China Gas Pipeline,” (December 29, 2007)"

      34 Socor, Vladimir, "Nabucco Investment Decision Postponed" 6 (6): 2009

      35 Socor, Vladimir, "Moscow Using Oil Export Duty to Pressure Belarus" 7 (7): 2010

      36 Yenikeyeff, Shamil Midkhatovich, "Kazakhstan’s Gas: Export Markets and Export Routes" Oxford Institute for Energy Studies 2008

      37 Perovic, Jeronim, "Introduction: Russian Energy Power, Domestic and International Dimensions. in: Russian Energy Power and Foreign Relations: Implications for Conflict and Cooperation" Routledge 1-20, 2009

      38 Pirani, Simon, "Introduction: Political and Economic Factors in the Russian and CIS Gas Trade. in: Russian and CIS Gas Markets and Their Impact on Europe" Oxford University Press 2009a

      39 Olcott, Martha Brill, "International Gas Trade in Central Asia: Turkmenistan, Iran, Russia, and Afghanistan. in: Natural Gas and Geopolitics: From 1970 to 2040" Cambridge University Press 202-233, 2006

      40 Socor, Vladimir, "Increased Western Involvement in Caspian Sea Energy Transport" 6 (6): 2009

      41 The Economist, "He Who Pays for the Pipelines Calls the Tune"

      42 정기철, "Gazprom의 가스수출 및 해외사업 추진전략 연구" 한국가스공사 경영연구소 2009

      43 Socor, Vladimir, "Gazprom Wooing Croatia Ahead of Putin-Kosor Meeting" 7 (7): 2010

      44 Reuters, UK, "Gazprom Sees Europe Gas Price up 4 pct in 08"

      45 Shiryaevskaya, Anna, "Gazprom Expects European Gas Price to Rise in 2010" 2009

      46 Stern, Jonathan, "GAS-OPEC: A Distraction from Important Issues of Russian Gas Supply to Europe" 2007

      47 RIA Novosti, "EU Parliament Wants Russia to Join Nabucco Gas Pipe Project"

      48 Baev, Pavel K., "China Trumps Gazprom" 2009

      49 BBC, "China Head Opens Kazakh Pipeline"

      50 Daly, John C.K., "Caspian Sea Geopolitics: Nabucco Will be the Most Expensive Pipeline Ever Built" Global Research

      51 MEES(Middle East Economic Survey), "Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan Crude Oil Pipeline: Milestones Along the Way" Middle East Economic Survey

      52 BP, "BP Statistical Review of World Energy"

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      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.92 0.92 0.91
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.88 0.95 1.328 0.24
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