第六次朝核试验后朝美博弈与中国的应对 = The Game between North Korea and the United States After the Six North Korea Nuclear Tests and China 's reactions

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

朝鲜第六次核试验已经改变了朝核问题的性质。制裁朝鲜的联合国安理会2375号决议出台后，朝鲜超过90％的出口受到限制，朝鲜的对外贸易会受到严重打击。对朝制裁会严重影响朝鲜的“生存”和“发展”。但是，制裁、施压、孤立的方式不会从根本上解决朝核问题。朝鲜为了“与美国保持实际性实力平衡”，还会进行增扩核导能力的挑衅行为。对美国来说，朝核问题已经触碰了美国的战略底线，特朗普总统上台后，强调对朝“战略忍耐（strategic patience）”政策已经结束，通过“极限施压”迫使朝鲜在核问题上做出“让步”，强调必要时对朝鲜采取“先发制人的军事打击”。中国为了解决朝核问题提出了“三个坚持”，但在实现目标的路径上各国存在着分歧。因此，应该缩小目标与手段之间的差距。中国应坚持“制裁+促谈”的框架，把制裁压力转化为和谈动力，加强与俄罗斯、韩国的战略合作，说服美国重新制定可以冻结朝核导计划的战略，打破越陷越深的恶性循环。

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

DPRK 's sixth nuclear test has changed the nature of North Korea nuclear issue. North Korea's foreign trade will be seriously affected after the UN Security Council Resolution 2375 being well implemented，especially over 90% of North Korea's exports will be restricted. There is no doubt that the sanctions will deeply affect the North Korea’s “survival” and “development”.But the sanctions、pressing and isolation can’t totally solve the North Korea nuclear issue. For U.S., The DPRK nuclear issue has touched the U.S. strategic red line. So when he takes office, president Trump abandons the Obama administration's “strategic patience policy” and states through “maximum pressure”, even consider “preemptive strike ” to solve the North Korea nuclear issue. In order to solve the North Korea nuclear issue,China has announce the “three adhere to”,but there are evident conflicts on the approaches to denuclearized North Korea With all countries. Therefore, china should narrow the gap between goal and the approaches. China should adhere to the framework of “sanctions + talks”and turn the pressure of sanctions into a driving force for peace talks and strengthen strategic cooperation with Russia and South Korea. And on the other hand,to persuade the United States to reform its strategy of freezing North Korea's nuclear program so as to break the deepening vicious circle

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