习近平-金正恩时期的中朝关系 = The relationship between China and North Korea in the period of Kim Jeong-eun and Xi Jinping

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

In February 2013, North Korea’s launched its third nuclear test, after which the relationship between China and DPRK has fallen into an unprecedented indifference and alienation. In terms of the nuclear test and other adventures of the DPRK, China stated its support for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. China has participated in and fulfilled the UN’s resolution on sanctions against the DPRK. In addition, the dislike of DPRK in the general public of China is rising. Some scholars even have proposed the cancellation of the alliance treaty between China and DPRK. However, under the circumstances of the sanction the international social community, the communication between China and DPRK continues quietly. The visits between the state officials and in techniques did not stop. The development of economy and trade is stable. And Progress has been made in the channel construction between China and DPRK. Therefore, this paper holds that during the period in which Xi Jinping and Kim Jeong-eun are in power, the relationship between China and DPRK showed the characteristics of alienation and contact. And the policy towards DPRK of China is limited support and limited opposition. For China, the contact with DPRK is necessary to control the crisis. On the one hand, China seeks for the denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. On the other hand, China hopes this contact can prevent Kim Jeong-eun from creating tension and other taking behaviors. For the sake of the respective core interest, the contact and alienation between China and DPRK will continue within a short period of time.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

2013年2月，朝鲜的第三次核试验使中国和朝鲜关系陷入空前的冷淡和疏远。对朝鲜进行核试验等冒险行为，中国通过外交部声明阐明了中国支持朝鲜半岛无核化的立场。在此背景下，本文从朝鲜第三次核试验之后中朝两国关系的发展现状着手，分析两国发展的特点进而探求两国关系的实质。因为中朝同盟本身所具有的不对称性，本文着重从中国的角度梳理了中朝新一代领导人执政之后的双边关系，本文研究结果如下：中国坚持朝鲜半岛无核化的原则更加明确，反对朝鲜的冒险行为的举措更加坚决，中国就朝核、导等威胁地区安全的行为保持了与国际社会的沟通，更加切实地履行联合国安理会的各项决议。中朝关系出现了疏远的动向，中国对朝鲜问题坚持了底线原则，对威胁地区安全、给中国核心利益带来负面影响的因素坚决反对和抵制；朝鲜作为中国的同盟国，在外部威胁和内部急需稳定的需求下，在核武路线似乎日趋接近顶峰，中朝两国的核心战略利益相左致使两国的政治外交关系出现了疏远迹象。但是，中国坚持朝鲜半岛和平稳定的立场没有变化，坚持半岛问题和平解决的立场没有发生变化。即中国反对朝鲜的冒险行为，坚持朝核问题的和平解决立场，呼吁有关各方采取冷静克制的态度，避免半岛局势的恶化。中朝关系在国际社会制裁局面下出现了冷淡和不谐之音。中国反对朝鲜进行核试验及其危及地区局势的冒险行为，参与了国际社会对朝鲜的制裁，履行联合国安理会的对朝制裁决议。但是，国际社会的制裁和中朝两国的交流并没有成正比，双方通过政府层面和部长级和特使级的交流保持了沟通，两国通过科技交流保持了稳定态势。这种接触对于中国而言，在一定的程度上防止朝鲜滑向不可预知的方向，有助于中国对朝鲜半岛危及的管理；对于朝鲜而言，坚持和中国的接触与沟通无疑是其保持体制生存所需，这种需求既是政治层面的需求，也是经济层面的需求。中朝两国的疏远和接触因两国核心利益所需在短时间内将会持续

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 이영학, "중국 시진핑 지도부의 新 북핵 정책 동향 및 시사점:4차 및 5차 북핵 실험을 중심으로" 아태지역연구센터 40 (40): 49-85, 2016

2 나영주, "중국 시진핑 정부의 대북정책과 북핵문제" 사단법인 한국민족연구원 (65) : 64-91, 2016

3 이영학, "유엔 안보리 대북제재 결의 2270호에 대한 중국의 입장과 평가 및 이행 전망" 한국국방연구원 1613 (1613): 2016

4 서동구, "북핵의 국제정치와 한국의 딜레마" 통일연구원 23 (23): 85-113, 2014

5 한관수, "북중관계의 지속과 변화 - 시진핑-김정은 시대를 중심으로 -" 한국통일전략학회 17 (17): 187-217, 2017

6 김영재, "김정은 정권의 외교정책 : 권위 추구형 핵∙경제 병진노선을 중심으로" 한국정치외교사학회 38 (38): 203-235, 2017

7 "金正恩：核武发展项目几近终点 终极目标与美实力平衡"

8 "腾讯新闻"

9 "百度百科"

10 "王毅谈中朝关系：中国既重情义也讲原则"

11 "杨洁篪就朝鲜第三次核试验箱超纲提出严正交涉"

12 林利民, "朝鲜第四次核试验与东北亚新变局" 中国现代国际关系研究院 (5) : 2016

13 常浩, "朝鲜拥核战略选择的重新评估及第五次核试验的影响--基于契合决策的战略分析" 中國广东外语外贸大学 (6) : 2016

14 "朝鲜发声明反对新制裁：将继续走经济与核武并举路线"

15 "朝鲜劳动党七大通过决定书：将巩固政治军事强国地位"

16 "朝鲜制定经济建设与核武建设并行路线"

17 王生, "朝核问题解决的‘双轨制；新思路" 中国吉林大学 2016

18 李颖, "朝核试验对中朝关系影响的成本效益" 中国物流与采购联合会 (32) : 2016

19 林利民, "朝核危机管理与中国的外交抉择" 2006

20 赵立新, "曾经的同盟还能继续吗" 中国延边大学 5 : 2016

21 "时殷弘：中国的东北亚难题：中日, 中韩和中朝关系的战略安全形势"

22 "新浪新闻"

23 吴雪, "新形势下中国对朝外交政策的调整" 2011

24 "搜狐新闻"

25 "外交部：安理会第2321号决议应得到全面, 平衡的执行"

26 任洪生, "国家战略, 经济周期与中朝关系的政治经济学" 外交学院 (6) : 2016

27 刘志勤, "全球对朝核问题应有统一立场"

28 王克木, "中朝关系无需靠‘凿洞’外交" 世界知识出版社 2016

29 "中方：希望有关各方都能全面, 平衡执行包括第2356号决议在内的安理会涉朝决议"

30 "中国外交部网站"

31 "中国国家统计局"

32 "中国代表在联合国安理会强烈谴责朝鲜核试验"

33 "中国为何投赞成票不再专宠朝鲜"

34 "中国为什么加强对朝鲜的制裁？"

35 "中华人民共和国驻朝鲜大使馆网页"

36 王俊生, "‘双轨制’解决朝鲜半岛问题：内涵与路径" 广东外语外贸大学 (5) : 2017

37 Christopher A. Ford, "Proliferation and Our Nuclear Future in the 21st century" 7 (7): 2011

38 Jing-dong Yuan, "Path Not(Yet) Taken? : Revisiting the Three East Asian Case" 7 (7): 2011

39 이석기, "2016년도 북한경제 종합평가 및 2017년 전망" 산업연구원 2016