한국 동해 생태계의 잠재생산량 추정방법에 관한 비교 연구 = A comparative study on the estimation methods for the potential yield in the Korean waters of the East Sea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Due to the decrease in coastal productivity and deterioration in the quality of ecosystem which result from the excessive overfishing of fisheries resources and the environmental pollution, fisheries resources in the Korean waters hit the dangerous level in respect of quantity and quality. In order to manage sustainable and effective fisheries resources, it is necessary to suggest the potential yield (PY) for clarifying available fisheries resources in the Korean waters. So far, however, there have been few studies on the estimation methods for PY in Korea. In addition, there have been no studies on the comparative analysis of the estimation methods and the substantial estimation methods for PY targeted for large marine ecosystem (LME) For the reasonable management of fisheries resources, it is necessary to conduct a comprehensive study on the estimation methods for the PY which combines population dynamics and ecosystem dynamics. To reflect the research need, this study conducts a comparative analysis of estimation methods for the PY in the Korean waters of the East Sea to understand the advantages and disadvantages of each method, and suggests the estimation method which considered both population dynamics and ecosystem dynamics to supplement shortcomings of each method. In this study, the maximum entropy (ME) model of the holistic production method (HPM) is considered to be the most reasonable estimation method due to the high reliability of the estimated parameters. The results of this study are expected to be used as significant basic data to provide indicators and reference points for sustainable and reasonable management of fisheries resources.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 이재봉, "섬진강에 분포하는 일본재첩 Corbicula japonica의 잠재어획가능량 추정" 한국패류학회 28 (28): 91-99, 2012

2 장성현, "담수산 어류 꺽지(Coreoperca herzi)의 자원 평가 및 관리 방안 연구: 섬진강 중∙상류 수계에서 꺽지의 자원량 및 잠재생산량 추정(2)" 한국하천호수학회 44 (44): 172-177, 2011

3 서영일, "근해대형선망어업에서 어로기술개발에 따른 어획성능지수 변동" 한국수산해양기술학회 53 (53): 12-18, 2017

4 이시완, "강화도 남단 갯벌에 도래하는 물새류의 분포요인 및 보전방안" 한국환경생태학회 16 (16): 34-45, 2002

5 Prager MH, "User's Manual for ASPIC: A Stock-Production Model Incorporating Covariates (ver. 5) and Auxiliary Program"

6 Mustafa MG, "Trophic model of the coastal ecosystem in the waters of Bangladesh" 67 : 263-280, 2003

7 Alias M, "Trophic Model of the Coastal Fisheries Ecosystem of the West Coast of Penisular Malaysia" 67 : 313-332, 2003

8 Gulland JA, "The fish resources of the ocean" Fishing News Book 1-255, 1971

9 Beddington JR, "The estimation of potential yield and stock status using life-history parameters" 360 : 163-170, 2005

10 NIFS (National Institute of Fisheries and Science), "Study on the Estimation of Fishing Power according to the Development of Fishing Vessels and Gears" 1-114, 2016

11 KOSIS (Korean Statistical Information Service), "Statistical database -Agriculture, Forestry and Fishery; Fishery"

12 Kim S, "Recent development in the concept and research direction for carrying capacity of marine ecosystem" 2 : 101-110, 1999

13 Prager MH, "Recent Developments in Extending the ASPIC Production Model" ICCAT 1-10, 1992

14 Ryther JH, "Photosynthesis and fish production in the sea" 166 : 72-76, 1969

15 Libralato S, "Novel index for quantification of ecosystem effects of fishing as removal of secondary production" 355 : 107-129, 2008

16 Alverson DL, "How much food from the sea?" 168 : 503-505, 1970

17 Tamura T, "Geographical and seasonal changes of the prey species of minke whale in the Northwestern Pacific" 59 : 516-528, 2002

18 Coll M, "Food-web changes in the Adriatic Sea over the last three decades" 381 : 17-37, 2009

19 NIFS (National Institute of Fisheries and Science), "Fishing trend and stock assessment of major species in the Korean waters" 1-205, 2016

20 Lee MW, "Ecosystem-base stock assessment and fisheries management in the west coast of Korea" Pukyong National University 2014

21 Trites AW, "Ecosystem change and the decline of marine mammals in the Eastern Bering Sea: testing the ecosystem shift and commercial whaling hypotheses. Fisheries Centre Research Reports, 7" 7 : 1-100, 1999

22 Christensen V, "Ecopath with Ecosim: methods, capabilities and limitations" 172 : 109-139, 2004

23 Christensen V, "ECOPATH II a software for balancing steady ecosystem models and calculating network characteristics" 61 : 169-185, 1992

24 Coll M, "Decadal changes in a NW Mediterranean Sea food web in relation to fishing exploitation" 220 : 2088-2102, 2009

25 Tukey JW, "Bias and confidence in not quite large samples" 29 : 614-623, 1958

26 Theil H, "Applied Economic Forecasting" Rand McNally 1966

27 Fox WW Jr, "An overview of production modeling" International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas, and held at Nantes 143-156, 1974

28 Lassalle G, "An ecosystem approach for the assessment of fisheries impacts on marine top predators: the Bay of Biscay case study" 69 (69): 925-938, 2012

29 Mackinson S, "An Ecosystem Model of the North Sea to Support an Ecosystem Approach to Fisheries Management: Description and Parameterisation" Cefas Lowestoft 196-, 2007

30 Prager MH, "ASPIC: A surplus-production model incorporating covariates" 28 : 218-229, 1992

31 Kim HA, "A study on the estimation of potential yield for Korean west coast fisheries" Pukyong National University 2016

32 Shin YJ, "A method for estimating potential fishery yield in coastal waters" Pukyong National University 2009

33 Golan A, "A maximum entropy approach to estimation and inference in dynamic models or counting fish in the sea with maximum entropy" 20 : 559-582, 1996

34 Lim JH, "A Comparative Study on the Estimation Methods for the Potential Yield in the Korean Waters of the East Sea" Pukyong National University 2018