산림경영의 3차 산업화를 위한 휴양림 이용자 추정모형 - 전라북도를 중심으로 - = Estimation the Model of Recreational Forest User for Tertiary Industry of Forest Management - Focused on Jeollabuk-do -

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this study is to provide information for reasonable management of recreational forests in Jeollabuk-do by responding to the social needs for various functions of forest and to find ways of vitalizing and maximizing public values of forests. Annual visitors in the future were predicted using Gompertz marginal models based on the visitors statistics of recreational forests in Jeollabuk-do and its inter-temporal characteristics. As the result of this study, visitors were in constant rising tendency, expecting 624,028 visitors in 2015, 852,148 visitors in 2020 and 1,034,644 visitors in 2024. These result suggests that supported by increasing visitors, operation of various kinds of programs relating history, culture and education should be introduced. Also the goal of invigoration of forestry activities could be answered by solving the problem of small-sized ownership of private-owned forests through continuous management on recreational forests, tertiary industrialization of forest management, effective utilization of public values and positive governmental supports.