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      KCI등재후보

      Changes in North Korea’s Military and Security Policies and Implications of the Kim Jong Un Era

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      When North Korea conducted two nuclear tests in January and September in 2016, it also went so far as to attempt to launch missiles more than 24 times. As the onset of test-firing of long-range missile, it tested Musudan, Rodong, and submarinelaunched...

      When North Korea conducted two nuclear tests in January and September in 2016, it also went so far as to attempt to launch missiles more than 24 times. As the onset of test-firing of long-range missile, it tested Musudan, Rodong, and submarinelaunched ballistic missiles (SLBM) during the nine months of the period. In the thick of ever-heightening military challenges under the Kim Jong Un regime, to come up with effective counter measures is not an easy matter for the South Korean government. However, there is nothing new about North Korea’s military and security provocations under Kim Jong Un’s leadership. Though there are minor differences in the features, “defense and economy parallel development plan” in the Kim Il Sung era, “line of Songun (military-first) and economy construction” in the Kim Jong Il regime and “economy-nuclear parallel policy” under the leadership of Kim Jong Un have evolved from a very similar vein. If Kim Il Sung’s militaryeconomy parallel development plan had driven the people out to tighten their belts, demanding their unilateral sacrifice on the ground of insecurity at home and abroad, Kim Jong Il’s Songun-economy construction line was in the same context as Kim Il Sung’s in the way of stressing the importance of national defense. But Kim Jong Il’s policy was different, as it expanded the role of the military in strengthening the economy other than defense, such that building up the military became an impetus of economy construction. By contrast, the most critical feature of Kim Jong Un’s economy-nuclear parallel policy is giving priority to economic concerns over nuclear armament. Kim Jong Un’s policy can be interpreted as a suggestion of the regime’s direction of planning the economy and to complete the advancement of the nuclear so that enhanced war deterrence and its defense capacity – without having spent extra defense expenditure – will allow the country to give more attention to economic development and improving people’s economy with spare resources.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 서보혁, "다자안보협력의 제도화 경로: C/OSCE의 경험과 동북아 적용 방안 연구" 한국국제정치학회 49 (49): 7-32, 2009

      2 Park, Young-hwan, "What Levels are North Korea’s Nuclear Missile Capabilities?"

      3 Bennett, Bruce W., "Uncertainties in the North Korean Nuclear Threat" RAND 2010

      4 Kim, Hyung-ki, "Transformation of Inter-Korean Relations" Yonsei University Press 2010

      5 Lee, Seung-hyun, "The Status of North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Development" National Assembly Research Service 54 : 2016

      6 Fry, John, "The Helsinki Process: Negotiating Security and Cooperation in Europe" University Press of the Pacific 2003

      7 Thomas, Daniel C., "The Helsinki Effect: International Norms, Human Rights, and the Demise of Communism" Princeton University Press 2001

      8 Yu, Hong-lim, "The Formation of the North Korean System and International Politics in the Korean Peninsula" Seoul National University Press 2006

      9 Bloed, Arie, "The Conference of Security and Co-operation in Europe: Analysis and Basic Documents, 1972-1993" Kluwer Academic Publishers 1993

      10 Nelson, Bernt F., "Readings on the Theory and Practice of European Integration" 2003

      1 서보혁, "다자안보협력의 제도화 경로: C/OSCE의 경험과 동북아 적용 방안 연구" 한국국제정치학회 49 (49): 7-32, 2009

      2 Park, Young-hwan, "What Levels are North Korea’s Nuclear Missile Capabilities?"

      3 Bennett, Bruce W., "Uncertainties in the North Korean Nuclear Threat" RAND 2010

      4 Kim, Hyung-ki, "Transformation of Inter-Korean Relations" Yonsei University Press 2010

      5 Lee, Seung-hyun, "The Status of North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Development" National Assembly Research Service 54 : 2016

      6 Fry, John, "The Helsinki Process: Negotiating Security and Cooperation in Europe" University Press of the Pacific 2003

      7 Thomas, Daniel C., "The Helsinki Effect: International Norms, Human Rights, and the Demise of Communism" Princeton University Press 2001

      8 Yu, Hong-lim, "The Formation of the North Korean System and International Politics in the Korean Peninsula" Seoul National University Press 2006

      9 Bloed, Arie, "The Conference of Security and Co-operation in Europe: Analysis and Basic Documents, 1972-1993" Kluwer Academic Publishers 1993

      10 Nelson, Bernt F., "Readings on the Theory and Practice of European Integration" 2003

      11 Lee, Moo-cheol, "Prospects for the Military and Security Policies and Inter-Korean Relations in the Kim Jong Un System" 72 : 2012

      12 Jun, Hyun-suk, "Peace Continued for Decades after the Collapse of the Berlin Wall ... Genuine European Development Begins"

      13 The Korean Association of North Korean Studies, "North Korea’s Unification Diplomacy" Kyungin Publish 2006

      14 Jung, Bong-hwa, "North Korea’s Policy toward South Korea" Hanul Books 2005

      15 Jung, Yong-su, "North Korean Scud’s attack the U.S. Fleet Activities Yokosuka Possible"

      16 Michaels, Jim, "North Korea Could Inflict Significant Damage in Attack"

      17 Park, Sung-guk, "Kim Jung Un, Disciplining Military by Demoting Hyun Young-chul not Choi Ryong-hae?"

      18 Lee, Seung Yeol, "Kim Jong Il’s Choice" Zeitgeist 2009

      19 Choi, Jin-wook, "Inter-Korean Relations for 60 Years and Unification Discourse" 2008

      20 Kwon, Oh-jung, "Integration Policy and Problems of Stabilization of Multi-Ethnic Nations: Implications of the History of Germany and Europe for the Present Situation of Northeast Asia Caused by the Northeast Asia Project" Northeast Asian History Foundation 2008

      21 Jung, Sung-jang, "Evaluation of the 7th Congress of the Workers’ Party of Korea" 2016

      22 Kim, Sang-hyeop, "Demoted and Promoted-Roller Coaster: Kim Jeong Un, Making a Military Right-hand Man"

      23 Jun, Deuk-ju, "Comparison of Unification Policies between North and South Korea" Soongsil University Press 2000

      24 Choi, Jae-hyuk, "Aiming at Changing the Kim Jong Un Regime"

      25 Bhang, In-hyuk, "A Study on the Changes of North Korea’s Recognition toward South Korea in the Kim Il Sung Era" 5 (5): 2012

      26 Ministry of National Defense, "2016 Defense White Paper" Ministry of National Defense 2016

      27 Ministry of National Defense, "2014 Defense White Paper" Ministry of National Defense 2014

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      2027 평가예정 재인증평가 신청대상 (재인증)
      2021-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (재인증) KCI등재
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      2017-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 유지 (계속평가) KCI등재후보
      2015-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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