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      자기상관 공정 적용을 위한 잔차 기반 강건 누적합 관리도 = Residual-based Robust CUSUM Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A60243388

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.
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      The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which i...

      The design method for cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts, which can be robust to autoregressive moving average (ARMA) modeling errors, has not been frequently proposed so far. This is because the CUSUM statistic involves a maximum function, which is intractable in mathematical derivations, and thus any modification on the statistic can not be favorably made. We propose residual-based robust CUSUM control charts for monitoring autocorrelated processes. In order to incorporate the effects of ARMA modeling errors into the design method, we modify parameters (reference value and decision interval) of CUSUM control charts using the approximate expected variance of residuals generated in model uncertainty, rather than directly modify the form of the CUSUM statistic. The expected variance of residuals is derived using a second-order Taylor approximation and the general form is represented using the order of ARMA models with the sample size for ARMA modeling. Based on the Monte carlo simulation, we demonstrate that the proposed method can be effectively used for statistical process control (SPC) charts, which are robust to ARMA modeling errors.

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      목차 (Table of Contents)

      • 1. 서 론
      • 2. 가정 모델
      • 3. 잔차 분산 통계량의 근사
      • 4. 강건 누적합 관리도의 설계
      • 5. 결 론
      • 1. 서 론
      • 2. 가정 모델
      • 3. 잔차 분산 통계량의 근사
      • 4. 강건 누적합 관리도의 설계
      • 5. 결 론
      • 참고문헌
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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 이정형, "자기상관을 갖는 공정의 로버스트 누적합관리도" 27 (27): 123-142, 1999

      2 이재준, "자기상관 공정에 대한 누적합관리도에서 설계모수 값의 결정" 한국품질경영학회 36 (36): 87-92, 2008

      3 Alwan, L. C., "Time-Series Modeling for Statistical Process Control" 6 (6): 87-95, 1988

      4 Apley, D. W., "Time Series Control Charts in the Presence of Model Uncertainty" 124 (124): 891-898, 2002

      5 Box, G., "Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control, 4th Edition" John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 2008

      6 Apley, D. W., "The GLRT for Statistical Process Control of Autocorrelated Processes" 31 (31): 1123-1134, 1999

      7 Johnson, R. A., "The Effect of Serial Correlation on the Performance of CUSUM test" 16 (16): 103-112, 1974

      8 Casella, G., "Statistical Inference, 1st Edition" Duxbury 1990

      9 Montgomery, D. C., "Some Statistical Process Control Methods for Autocorrelated Data" 23 (23): 179-193, 1991

      10 Adams, B. M., "Robustness of Forecast-Based Monitoring Schemes" 30 (30): 328-339, 1998

      1 이정형, "자기상관을 갖는 공정의 로버스트 누적합관리도" 27 (27): 123-142, 1999

      2 이재준, "자기상관 공정에 대한 누적합관리도에서 설계모수 값의 결정" 한국품질경영학회 36 (36): 87-92, 2008

      3 Alwan, L. C., "Time-Series Modeling for Statistical Process Control" 6 (6): 87-95, 1988

      4 Apley, D. W., "Time Series Control Charts in the Presence of Model Uncertainty" 124 (124): 891-898, 2002

      5 Box, G., "Time Series Analysis, Forecasting and Control, 4th Edition" John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 2008

      6 Apley, D. W., "The GLRT for Statistical Process Control of Autocorrelated Processes" 31 (31): 1123-1134, 1999

      7 Johnson, R. A., "The Effect of Serial Correlation on the Performance of CUSUM test" 16 (16): 103-112, 1974

      8 Casella, G., "Statistical Inference, 1st Edition" Duxbury 1990

      9 Montgomery, D. C., "Some Statistical Process Control Methods for Autocorrelated Data" 23 (23): 179-193, 1991

      10 Adams, B. M., "Robustness of Forecast-Based Monitoring Schemes" 30 (30): 328-339, 1998

      11 이현철, "Robustness comparison of exponentially weighted moving-average charts on autocorrelated data and on residuals" AMER SOC QUALITY CONTROL-ASQC 40 (40): 428-447, 200810

      12 Lee, H. C., "Robust Design of Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes with Model Uncertainty" Texas A&M University, College Station 2004

      13 Schmid, W., "On EWMA Charts for Time Series" 5 : 115-137, 1997

      14 Testik, M. C., "Model Inadequacy and Residuals Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes" 21 (21): 115-130, 2005

      15 이현철, "Improved Design of Robust Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes" WILEY-BLACKWELL 27 (27): 337-352, 2011

      16 English, J. R., "Detecting changes in autoregressive processes with and EWMA charts" 32 (32): 1103-1113, 2000

      17 이현철, "Design of exponentially weighted moving average control charts for autocorrelated processes with model uncertainty" AMER STATISTICAL ASSOC 45 (45): 187-198, 200308

      18 Zhang, N. F., "A Statistical Control Chart for Stationary Process Data" 40 (40): 24-38, 1998

      19 Montgomery, D. C., "A Modern Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 6th Edition" John Wiley and Sons, Inc. 2008

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      2018-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2015-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2011-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2009-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2006-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2005-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.34 0.34 0.3
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.28 0.28 0.37 0.16
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