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    KCI등재

    BERT를 활용한 뉴스 기사 감성분석과 블랙-리터만 모형을 결합한 자산 배분 전략 제안 = Asset Allocation Strategy based on News Article Sentiment Analysis using BERT and Black-Litterman Model

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    https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A108800556

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    다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract) kakao i 다국어 번역

    This study introduces an asset allocation strategy that utilize sentiment analysis from news articles through a deep learning model. The derived sentiments are then integrated into the Black-Litterman model, offering a systematic approach to mitigate the inherent subjectivity in investor decisions. Empirical findings from this study reveal the superiority of this proposed approach compared with conventional benchmark portfolios such as market, equal-weighted, and mean-variance portfolios. In particular, the exclusion of articles generating neutral sentiment (neither positive nor negative) further enhances the profitability of the portfolio. In addition, the study shows that constructing portfolios based on the polarity of sentiment, rather than considering its positive or negative intensity , improves profitability. The significance of this study lies in its introduction of a novel framework for constructing asset allocation strategies. By utilizing objective information from publicly available news articles, it effectively circumvents the limitations tied to subjective investor judgment in predicting expected returns. The demonstrated feasibility and superiority of this data-driven approach in asset allocation strategies underscore its potential to revolutionize current practices.
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    This study introduces an asset allocation strategy that utilize sentiment analysis from news articles through a deep learning model. The derived sentiments are then integrated into the Black-Litterman model, offering a systematic approach to mitigate ...

    This study introduces an asset allocation strategy that utilize sentiment analysis from news articles through a deep learning model. The derived sentiments are then integrated into the Black-Litterman model, offering a systematic approach to mitigate the inherent subjectivity in investor decisions. Empirical findings from this study reveal the superiority of this proposed approach compared with conventional benchmark portfolios such as market, equal-weighted, and mean-variance portfolios. In particular, the exclusion of articles generating neutral sentiment (neither positive nor negative) further enhances the profitability of the portfolio. In addition, the study shows that constructing portfolios based on the polarity of sentiment, rather than considering its positive or negative intensity , improves profitability. The significance of this study lies in its introduction of a novel framework for constructing asset allocation strategies. By utilizing objective information from publicly available news articles, it effectively circumvents the limitations tied to subjective investor judgment in predicting expected returns. The demonstrated feasibility and superiority of this data-driven approach in asset allocation strategies underscore its potential to revolutionize current practices.

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    참고문헌 (Reference)

    1 Sokolov, A., "Weak Supervision and Black-litterman for Automated Esg Portfolio Construction" 3 (3): 129-138, 2021

    2 Britten-Jones, M., "The Sampling Error in Estimates of Mean-variance Efficient Portfolio Weights" 54 (54): 655-671, 1999

    3 Michaud, R. O., "The Markowitz Optimization Enigma : Is ‘Optimized’ Optimal?" 45 (45): 31-42, 1989

    4 He, G., "The Intuition Behind Black-Litterman Model Portfolios"

    5 Meucci, A., "The Black-litterman Approach: Original Model and Extensions" 2010

    6 Walters, J., "The Black-Litterman Model in Detail"

    7 Sonkiya, P., "Stock Price Prediction using BERT and GAN"

    8 Shah, D., "Stock Market Analysis : A Review and Taxonomy of Prediction Techniques" 7 (7): 26-, 2019

    9 Peters, M. E., "Semi-supervised Sequence Tagging with Bidirectional Language Models"

    10 Jobson, J. D., "Putting Markowitz Theory to Work" 7 (7): 70-74, 1981

    1 Sokolov, A., "Weak Supervision and Black-litterman for Automated Esg Portfolio Construction" 3 (3): 129-138, 2021

    2 Britten-Jones, M., "The Sampling Error in Estimates of Mean-variance Efficient Portfolio Weights" 54 (54): 655-671, 1999

    3 Michaud, R. O., "The Markowitz Optimization Enigma : Is ‘Optimized’ Optimal?" 45 (45): 31-42, 1989

    4 He, G., "The Intuition Behind Black-Litterman Model Portfolios"

    5 Meucci, A., "The Black-litterman Approach: Original Model and Extensions" 2010

    6 Walters, J., "The Black-Litterman Model in Detail"

    7 Sonkiya, P., "Stock Price Prediction using BERT and GAN"

    8 Shah, D., "Stock Market Analysis : A Review and Taxonomy of Prediction Techniques" 7 (7): 26-, 2019

    9 Peters, M. E., "Semi-supervised Sequence Tagging with Bidirectional Language Models"

    10 Jobson, J. D., "Putting Markowitz Theory to Work" 7 (7): 70-74, 1981

    11 Markowitz, H., "Portfolio Selection" 7 (7): 77-91, 1952

    12 Best, M. J., "On the Sensitivity of Mean-variance-efficient Portfolios to Changes in Asset Means : Some Analytical and Computational Results" 4 (4): 315-342, 1991

    13 Li, X., "News Impact on Stock Price Return Via Sentiment Analysis" 69 : 14-23, 2014

    14 Mahajan, A., "Mining Financial News for Major Events and Their Impacts on the Market"

    15 Daniel, K., "Investor Psychology in Capital Markets : Evidence and Policy Implications" 49 (49): 139-209, 2002

    16 Daniel, K., "Investor Psychology and Security Market Under-and Overreactions" 53 (53): 1839-1885, 1998

    17 Xing, F. Z., "Intelligent Asset Allocation Via Market Sentiment Views" IEEE 13 (13): 25-34, 2018

    18 Radford, A., "Improving Language Understanding by Generative Pre-training"

    19 Drobetz, W., "How to Avoid the Pitfalls in Portfolio Optimization? Putting the Black-Litterman Approach at Work" 15 (15): 59-, 2001

    20 Baker, H. K., "How Biases Affect Investor Behaviour" 7-10, 2014

    21 Malo, P., "Good Debt or Bad Debt : Detecting Semantic Orientations in Economic Texts" 65 (65): 782-796, 2014

    22 Idzorek, T., "Forecasting Expected Returns in The Financial Markets" Academic Press 17-38, 2005

    23 Araci, D., "Finbert: Financial Sentiment Analysis with pre-trained Language Models"

    24 Kolm, P. N., "Black-Litterman and Beyond : The Bayesian Paradigm in Investment Management" 47 (47): 91-113, 2021

    25 Devlin, J., "Bert : Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understanding"

    26 Sousa, M. G., "BERT for Stock Market Sentiment Analysis"

    27 Vaswani, A., "Attention is All You Need" 30 : 2017

    28 Black, F., "Asset Allocation : Combining Investor Views with Market Equilibrium" 115 (115): 7-18, 1990

    29 Alexander, D., "Application of Ensemble Learning for Views Generation in Meucci Portfolio Optimization Framework" 1 : 100-110, 2013

    30 Beach, S. L., "An Application of the Black-Litterman Model with EGARCH-M-derived Views for International Portfolio Management" 21 : 147-166, 2007

    31 Kara, M., "A Hybrid Approach for Generating Investor Views in Black–Litterman Model" 128 : 256-270, 2019

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