18대 총선의 현직의원 득표율 분석 = Incumbent-specific Vote Changes in the 18th General Election

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This study concludes that the 18th general election in 2008 is influenced by incumbents' individual efforts as well as the popularity of the current president and his party. By analyzing incumbent-specific vote changes, this paper found that three key independent variables, such as the length of tenure, the interaction term of region and party, and the level of legislative works, are statistically significant. First and second termers are more likely to gain vote changes. It is clear that incumbent members who do more legislative activities are more likely to secure vote gains and safe seats. In the near future, it is expected that candidate-oriented campaigns are more widespread. It is sure that there will be more academic demands to explore variables of legislative activities, which may enhance the prediction power and productivity of legislative behavior.

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