대북정책에 대한 개인선호 결정요인 = 노무현 정부와 이명박 정부 비교

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

South Korean policies towards North Korea under Roh Moo－hyun and Lee Myung－bak administrations remains under serious consideration regarding the use of economic engagement to foster needed changes in the North Korean economic system. Public opinion surveys have shown that South Koreans are divided into two groups?those who support engagement policies and those who support disengagement policies. However, what individual policy preferences are and what affects the establishment of individuals’ North Korea policy preferences have received little attention in inter－Korean relations studies. This study examines the determinants of individual policy preferences and the continuities and changes of the determinants of South Korean policy towards North Korea under Roh(2007) and Lee(2012) administrations, using the individuallevel survey data conducted by the Institute for Peace and Unification Studies of Seoul National University. This study shows that although the levels of public support for each administration’s policies towards North Korea are not much different, individuals are likely to support the policy based on their ideational position and regional background which become close to those of the incumbent president and ruling party. It also finds that individuals prefer engagement policy to disengagement policy if they have a strong and intense aspiration for the reunification of the two Koreas. These findings illustrate that there may be differences between elite opinion and public opinion even if public discourse on the South Korean government’s policy towards North Korea has been dominated by elite opinion.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 문제제기
• Ⅱ. 이론적 논의 : 개인의 특성과 정책선호
• Ⅲ. 대북정책 비교와 가설 : 노무현 정부 대 이명박 정부
• Ⅳ. 통계분석 결과
• Ⅴ. 결론
• 참고문헌