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      On the origins, persistence and termination of spatial and positional rivalries in world politics: Elaborating a two-issue theory of conflict escalation

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A106843711

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      What drives the dynamics of rivalry? We propose a general explanation of why international rivalries originate, persist, and terminate. We argue that rivalries persist as long as contested issues are present. Rivalries tend to form between actors with spatial or positional disputes. As rivals cease disputing spatial or positional issues, they are less likely to maintain hostility or manifest overt conflict toward each other. Particularly focusing on the role of territorial issues, we test an issue-based explanation of rivalry processes utilizing an extended boundary dispute dataset. The empirical analysis reveals that the effect of territorial disputes is contingent on the type of rivalry. Spatial rivalries, as opposed to positional rivalries, tend to develop when there are boundary disputes. When these spatial disputes are resolved, spatial rivalries tend to end, while positional rivalries and “mixed” (both spatial and positional) rivalries are less affected by the absence of boundary disputes. Rivalries tend to be conflictual, but only as long as the relevant issues persist. Such results show the importance of contested issues driving the rivalry processes.
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      What drives the dynamics of rivalry? We propose a general explanation of why international rivalries originate, persist, and terminate. We argue that rivalries persist as long as contested issues are present. Rivalries tend to form between actors with...

      What drives the dynamics of rivalry? We propose a general explanation of why international rivalries originate, persist, and terminate. We argue that rivalries persist as long as contested issues are present. Rivalries tend to form between actors with spatial or positional disputes. As rivals cease disputing spatial or positional issues, they are less likely to maintain hostility or manifest overt conflict toward each other. Particularly focusing on the role of territorial issues, we test an issue-based explanation of rivalry processes utilizing an extended boundary dispute dataset. The empirical analysis reveals that the effect of territorial disputes is contingent on the type of rivalry. Spatial rivalries, as opposed to positional rivalries, tend to develop when there are boundary disputes. When these spatial disputes are resolved, spatial rivalries tend to end, while positional rivalries and “mixed” (both spatial and positional) rivalries are less affected by the absence of boundary disputes. Rivalries tend to be conflictual, but only as long as the relevant issues persist. Such results show the importance of contested issues driving the rivalry processes.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 Cox E, "Why Enduring Rivalries Do – or Don’t End" Lynne Rienner 2010

      2 Leng RJ, "When will they ever learn? Coercive bargaining in recurrent crises" 27 (27): 379-419, 1983

      3 Morey DS, "When war brings peace: A dynamic model of the rivalry process" 55 (55): 263-275, 2011

      4 Colaresi M, "When doves cry: International rivalry, unreciprocated cooperation, and leadership turnover" 48 (48): 535-570, 2004

      5 Diehl PF, "War and Peace in International Rivalry" University of Michigan Press 2000

      6 Goldstein J, "Three Way Street: Strategic Reciprocity in World Politics" University of Chicago Press 1990

      7 Hensel PR, "The democratic peace and rivalries" 62 (62): 1173-1188, 2000

      8 Biger G, "The Encyclopedia of International Boundaries" Facts on File 1995

      9 Huth PK, "The Democratic Peace and Territorial Conflict in the Twentieth Century" Cambridge University Press 2002

      10 Central Intelligence Agency, "The CIA World Factbook 2013" Skyhorse 2012

      1 Cox E, "Why Enduring Rivalries Do – or Don’t End" Lynne Rienner 2010

      2 Leng RJ, "When will they ever learn? Coercive bargaining in recurrent crises" 27 (27): 379-419, 1983

      3 Morey DS, "When war brings peace: A dynamic model of the rivalry process" 55 (55): 263-275, 2011

      4 Colaresi M, "When doves cry: International rivalry, unreciprocated cooperation, and leadership turnover" 48 (48): 535-570, 2004

      5 Diehl PF, "War and Peace in International Rivalry" University of Michigan Press 2000

      6 Goldstein J, "Three Way Street: Strategic Reciprocity in World Politics" University of Chicago Press 1990

      7 Hensel PR, "The democratic peace and rivalries" 62 (62): 1173-1188, 2000

      8 Biger G, "The Encyclopedia of International Boundaries" Facts on File 1995

      9 Huth PK, "The Democratic Peace and Territorial Conflict in the Twentieth Century" Cambridge University Press 2002

      10 Central Intelligence Agency, "The CIA World Factbook 2013" Skyhorse 2012

      11 Beck N, "Taking time seriously: Time-series-cross-section analysis with a binary dependent variable" 42 (42): 1260-1288, 1998

      12 Colaresi M, "Strategic Rivalries in World Politics: Position, Space and Conflict Escalation" Cambridge University Press 2007

      13 Thies CG, "State building, interstate and intrastate rivalry: A study of post-colonial developing country extractive efforts, 1975–2000" 48 (48): 53-72, 2004

      14 Correlates of War Project, "State System Membership List, v2011"

      15 Rasler K, "Societal heterogeneity, weak states, and internal conflict: Evaluating one avenue to territorial peace and stability" 1 (1): 5-26, 2014

      16 Colaresi M, "Shocks to the system great power rivalry and the leadership long cycle" 45 (45): 569-593, 2001

      17 Sarkees MR, "Resort to War: 1816–2007" Congressional Quarterly Press 2010

      18 Dixon WJ, "Reciprocity in United States–Soviet Relations: Multiple symmetry or issue linkage?" 30 (30): 421-445, 1986

      19 Marshall MG, "Polity IV Project: Dataset User’s Manual"

      20 Singer JD, "Peace, War, and Numbers" SAGE 19-48, 1972

      21 Thompson WR, "Oxford Encyclopedia of Empirical International Relations Theory" Oxford University Press 362-381, 2018

      22 Goertz G, "Maintenance processes in international relations" 49 (49): 742-769, 2005

      23 Hensel PR, "Issue indivisibility and territorial claims" 64 (64): 275-285, 2005

      24 Dreyer DR, "Issue conflict accumulation and the dynamics of strategic rivalry" 54 (54): 779-795, 2010

      25 Rasler K, "How Rivalries End" University of Pennsylvania Press 2013

      26 Thompson WR, "Handbook of International Rivalries, 1494–2010" Congressional Quarterly Press 2011

      27 Rasler K, "Explaining rivalry escalation to war: Space, position, and contiguity in the major power subsystem" 44 (44): 503-530, 2000

      28 Vasquez JA, "Distinguishing rivals that go to war from those do not: A quantitative comparative case study of the two paths to war" 40 (40): 531-558, 1996

      29 Mani K, "Democratization and Military Transformation in Argentina and Chile: Rethinking Rivalry" Lynne Rienner 2011

      30 Bremer SA, "Dangerous dyads conditions affecting the likelihood of interstate war, 1816–1965" 36 (36): 309-341, 1992

      31 Ghosn F, "Codebook for the dyadic militarized interstate incident data, version 3.10"

      32 Owsiak AP, "Clearing the hurdle: Border settlement and rivalry termination" 75 (75): 757-772, 2013

      33 Maoz Z, "Bound by Struggle: Strategic Evolution of Enduring International Rivalries" University of Michigan Press 2002

      34 Rider TJ, "Border settlement, commitment problems, and the causes of contiguous rivalry" 52 (52): 508-521, 2015

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2023 평가예정 해외DB학술지평가 신청대상 (해외등재 학술지 평가)
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      2011-03-28 학술지명변경 한글명 : International Area Review -> International Area Studies Review KCI등재
      2010-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2009-03-24 학회명변경 한글명 : 국제지역학센터 -> 국제지역연구센터 KCI등재
      2009-03-23 학회명변경 한글명 : 외국학종합연구센터 -> 국제지역학센터 KCI등재
      2008-01-01 평가 등재 1차 FAIL (등재유지) KCI등재
      2006-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2003-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2002-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
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      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.02 0.02 0.05
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.05 0.04 0.222 0.09
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