수출통관자료의 통계오류 검증방법

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

There are many problems in export trade data. This give rise to distrust of trade statistics. Most of all we survey random sample to estimate error rate because we don't know how many there are. This error rate for all export data recorded in first half 2004 is estimated by 2% and consists of many items-price, quantity and weight.
We adopt to statistical technique so that solve these errors. First, we use an unit of mean price besides of standard price, which can be calculated by HS. This result that detection rate of errors estimated by 11.5%. Second we inspect trade data with fault using regression model.

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 "회귀분석 입문 및 응용" 탐진 1996

2 "중국의 대외무역 통계 오차발생 원인에 대한 연구:대미국, 대대만 무역통계를 중심으로" 13 (13): 2001

3 "우리나라 공식통계 환경변화와 발전방안" 통계청 6 (6): 2001

4 "사영 추적 희귀와 분할 역-회귀를 이용한 회귀분석에서의 다중 이상값 식별에 관한연구" 1998

5 "“표본오차에 관하여”" 1972

6 "“비표본오차에 관한 연구”" 32 : 75-86, 1993

7 "Outliers in Statistical Data" John Wiley & Sons. 1998

8 "Outliers in Statistical Data" John Wiley & Sons. 1998

9 "A Study on the History of Statistics" 10 (10): 805-823, 2003