인과지도를 활용한 지역경제성장과 지역주력산업의 관계 분석 : 충청북도를 중심으로

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Recently, a variety of attempts are being made to strengthen regional competitiveness both in country and regional level. Furthermore, strengthening regional competitiveness is linked to strengthening national competitiveness, so it forms the ground for facilitating national growth. While diversified approaches are being discussed on these issues, recent trends seem like requiring more active ways to achieve regional competitiveness by exploiting regional circumstances and characteristics in conjunction with economy, industry and environment. Along with the changes appearing in domestic and international circumstances, the maximum use of regional resources including physical, human and environmental resources for achieving urban and regional competitiveness and the use of them as new driving force for growth are being increasingly required. Corresponding to these current situations, attention being paid to regional industry and economy gets higher. Regional industry that drives regional development is emerging as a major factor that causes rapid change in social and economic environment. Moreover, in respect of regional self-development and competitiveness achievement, regional specialization industry has close relation with a city’s economic self-sufficiency.
The basic direction which regional specialization industry is heading in is categorized into a strengthening regional competitiveness and a promotion of the regional resources’ efficient use. The effect due to the policy of driving regional industry development through job creation in the region enables to induce the return of the effect to the region. Therefore, it is required to set the differentiated development strategy by means of systematic and objective analysis based on the characteristics of regional specialization industry and distinctive circumstances of the region.
This study aimed at identifying major factors that influence the economic growth and the specialization industry of the region, and suggesting policy implications on ways to achieve continuous growth in regional specialization industry and regional economic growth by causal analysis of industrial specialization, industrial diversity and regional compounded growth rate based on the major influential factors identified in this study. This study tries to give opportunity to review potential impact influencing regions in advance in spite of its briefness. In new situations due to long-term change in industry that will occur in the future, this study also has significance in seeking fundamental policy implications to allow regions to effectively adapt to this new situations and to minimize the negative impact.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Ⅰ. 서 론 1
• 1. 연구의 배경 및 목적 1
• 2. 연구의 범위 및 절차 3
• 3. 선행연구 검토 5
• 3.1 관련연구 검토 5
• 3.2 선행연구와의 차별성 8
• Ⅱ. 이론적 고찰 10
• 1. 지역경제성장에 관한 이론적 고찰 10
• 1.1 신고전파 경제성장이론 11
• 1.2 내생적 경제성장이론 13
• 1.3 동적 외부효과 이론 15
• 2. 지역산업에 관한 이론적 고찰 19
• 2.1 산업집적과 집적경제 19
• 2.2 지역산업육성정책 21 2.3 지역주력산업 26
• Ⅲ. 분석의 틀 30
• 1. 분석 대상 30
• 1.1 지역경제 개관 30
• 1.2 산업구조 : 특화도, 다양도, 산업구조 성장지수 38
• 2. 분석체계 및 지표 47
• 2.1 분석체계 47
• 2.2 분석지표 48
• 3. 분석방법론 51
• 3.1 시스템다이내믹스 개념 및 정의 51
• 3.2 시스템다이내믹스 분석 절차 53
• Ⅳ. 실증분석 59
• 1. 상관분석 59
• 2. 인과분석 65
• 2.1 산업특화도 65
• 2.2 산업다양도 68
• 2.3 누적성장률 71
• 3. 인과분석의 종합 74
• Ⅴ. 결 론 78
• <참고문헌> 82