We predict technological substitutability within ten years and ten to twenty years of 6,132 occupations listed in 2020 Korea Dictionary of Occupations, using machine learning based on data of expert opinions. 60% of the occupations are predicted to be...
We predict technological substitutability within ten years and ten to twenty years of 6,132 occupations listed in 2020 Korea Dictionary of Occupations, using machine learning based on data of expert opinions. 60% of the occupations are predicted to be substitutable within twenty years. As of 2022, we find that 13% of the employed persons work in occupations predicted to be technologically substitutable within ten years, and 51% within ten to twenty years. Looking at the data since 2013, we find that the share of the workers with occupations predicted to be substitutable within twenty years has decreased slightly for the past ten years.