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다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impact factors of natural disaster damages considering the interrelationship with urban forms. Disaster damages are expected to increase owing to climate changes. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze the impact of the disaster and take measures. A compact city is being proposed in the form of a resilient city worldwide. There is an argument about the effectiveness of the urban containment policy. In this regard, there are prior studies on the influence of natural disasters in compressed and dispersed forms. In another respect, a qualitative research has shown that large-scale disasters cause population movement and redistribution. This study is based on the idea that this process would affect the urban form. Further, it aims to prove the need for an urban containment policy, such as land use regulations, by setting the hypothesis that the influence of the urban form is more significant than the area of urbanization. First, the Durbin-Wu-Hausman test is conducted to analyze endogenesis between natural disaster damages and urban forms. The analysis is performed using spatial 2SLS considering the autocorrelation and endogenesis of dependent variables. The study targets 188 areas among all cities, counties, and districts that can subscribe to data. The dependent variable is adopted as the annual average natural disaster damage over 10 years. The explanatory variable uses a split index among landscape matrices to measure the urban forms. Control variables are those that consider climate and natural factors, physical and architectural environmental factors, and social and economic factors. The Durbin-Wu-Hausman test results showed 99% reliability, proving that endogenesis existed between the two variables. In the spatial 2SLS analysis, the confidence level of the urban form was 95% and that of the urban area was 90%, and both showed the (+) impact relationship. The precipitation represented the highest significance with a 99% confidence level. The decrease in the urban area considering the impermeable surface area is also important, but primarily, maintaining the compact form of the city should precede creating a resilient city. Therefore, it can be suggested that an urban containment policy is necessary to manage the city’s disaster damage.

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