Chronic failure in US-DPRK relations : The multilateral Iran nuclear deal in North Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

This text explores the failure of the DPRK’s integration into the international community by providing analysis of pivotal events leading to the Korean sanctions regime of the 2010s. From the DPRK’s genesis, the state struggled with existential vulnerability of two transnational elements: exogenous military forces by the United States, and the shortcomings in alliance obligations by both the USSR and the PRC.

These two negative aspects were compounded with the failure of post-Cold War US-DPRK diplomacy to result in sustainable agreements. The past failures of reaching a long-lasting agreement can be attributed to recurrent coercive diplomacy rooted in mistrust. However, drawing from the tentative success of the Iran Nuclear Deal with
the P5+1 members in the wake of the Iranian nuclear crisis of 2002, a JCPOA framed agreement can be implemented in Korea with the ultimate target of maintaining a mutually accepted and resilient agreement.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Chapter 1. INTRODUCTION 8
• 1.1 Research Background 8
• 1.2 Research Methodology 11
• 1.3 Thesis Overview 12
• Chapter 2. FAILED APPROACHES TO THE DPRK NUCLEAR CONUNDRUM 14
• 2.1 Literature Review 14
• 2.2 Failed US-DPRK Policies 18
• 2.2.1 The Collapse of the Agreed Framework 20
• 2.2.2 Coercion in Bush’s Bold Approach 21
• 2.2.3 Ineffectiveness of Obama’s Strategic Patience 34
• Chapter 3. THE IRAN DEAL-A TENTATIVE SUCCESS 45
• 3.1 A Stepping Stone and the Joint Plan of Action 47
• 3.2 A Corner Stone in NPT and the Iran Nuclear Deal 50
• Chapter 4. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF IRAN 56
• 4.1 Iran’s Embedded Economy and Sanctions 58
• 4.2 Public Unrest and Change in Regime 68
• Chapter 5. THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF THE DPRK 71
• 5.1 DPRK’s Disconnected Economy and Sanctions 72
• 5.2 The Kim Dynasty and Regime Change 82
• Chapter 6. CONCLUSION 87
• BIBLIOGRAPHY 98