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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      This paper examines the effect of quarterly earnings announcements on analysts` forecast revisions and their accuracy. In 2000, new regulation of the financial markets in Korea began requiring firms to disclosure quarterly accounting reports. If quart...

      This paper examines the effect of quarterly earnings announcements on analysts` forecast revisions and their accuracy. In 2000, new regulation of the financial markets in Korea began requiring firms to disclosure quarterly accounting reports. If quarterly earnings announcements provide additional information and analysts use those information to form their new forecast, there should be difference in forecast properties around earnings announcements. Empirical results show a significant increase in the number of analyst forecast revisions following the earnings announcements. Results also show that forecasts issued immediately after the earnings announcement are revised by large magnitude and are more accurate. However, revisions issued relatively long after earnings announcements have indifferent forecast accuracy from forecast revisions immediately after the announcements. These results suggest that quarterly announcements provide predictive information about future earnings, and new information contained in earnings announcements are more likely reflected by those forecast issued immediately after earnings announcements.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 이화득, "분기보고의 시행과 반기재무제표 공시의 정보효과에 관한 연구" 한국산업경영학회 19 (19): 241-266, 2004

      2 Agrawal, A., "Who is afraid of reg fd? The behavior and performance of sell-side analysts following the sec’s fair disclosure rules" 79 (79): 2811-2864, 2006

      3 Lee, E., "Which is the better proxy for the market expectation of earnings between random-walk model and analyst forecast model in korean stock market?" 19 (19): 909-932, 2006

      4 Barron, O. E., "Using analysts' forecasts to measure properties of analysts' information environment" 73 (73): 421-, 1998

      5 Brown, L. D., "Univariate time-series models of quarterly accounting earnings per share: A proposed model" 17 : 179-189, 1979

      6 Bamber, L. S., "Trading volume and different aspects of disagreement coincident with earnings announcements" 72 (72): 575-597, 1997

      7 Barron, O. E., "Trading volume and belief revisions that differ among individual analysts" 70 (70): 581-597, 1995

      8 Stickel, S. E., "The timing of and incentives for annual earnings forecasts near interim earnings announcements" 11 (11): 275-292, 1989

      9 Ivkovi, Z., "The timing and value of forecast and recommendation revisions" 73 (73): 433-463, 2004

      10 Cho, J.-S., "The relation between quarterly reports and informaiton asymmetry" 15 (15): 59-72, 2006

      1 이화득, "분기보고의 시행과 반기재무제표 공시의 정보효과에 관한 연구" 한국산업경영학회 19 (19): 241-266, 2004

      2 Agrawal, A., "Who is afraid of reg fd? The behavior and performance of sell-side analysts following the sec’s fair disclosure rules" 79 (79): 2811-2864, 2006

      3 Lee, E., "Which is the better proxy for the market expectation of earnings between random-walk model and analyst forecast model in korean stock market?" 19 (19): 909-932, 2006

      4 Barron, O. E., "Using analysts' forecasts to measure properties of analysts' information environment" 73 (73): 421-, 1998

      5 Brown, L. D., "Univariate time-series models of quarterly accounting earnings per share: A proposed model" 17 : 179-189, 1979

      6 Bamber, L. S., "Trading volume and different aspects of disagreement coincident with earnings announcements" 72 (72): 575-597, 1997

      7 Barron, O. E., "Trading volume and belief revisions that differ among individual analysts" 70 (70): 581-597, 1995

      8 Stickel, S. E., "The timing of and incentives for annual earnings forecasts near interim earnings announcements" 11 (11): 275-292, 1989

      9 Ivkovi, Z., "The timing and value of forecast and recommendation revisions" 73 (73): 433-463, 2004

      10 Cho, J.-S., "The relation between quarterly reports and informaiton asymmetry" 15 (15): 59-72, 2006

      11 Brown, L. D., "The predictive value of interim reports for improving forecasts of future quarterly earnings" 54 : 585-591, 1979

      12 Givoly, D., "The information content of financial analysts' forecasts of earnings: Some evidence on semistrong inefficiency" 1 : 165-185, 1979

      13 Brown, L. D., "The impact of annual earnings announcements on convergence of beliefs" 67 (67): 862-875, 1992

      14 Stickel, S. E., "The anatomy of the performance of buy and sell recommendations" 51 (51): 25-, 1995

      15 Hopwood, W. S., "The additional information content of quarterly earnings, reports intertemporal disaggregation" 343-349, 1982

      16 Welch, I., "Sequential sales, learning, and cascades" 47 (47): 695-732, 1992

      17 Hong, H., "Security analysts' career concerns and herding of earnings forecasts" 31 (31): 121-144, 2000

      18 Brown, L. D., "Review of forecasts: Scaling & analysis of expert judgements regarding cross-impacts of assumptions on business forecasts & accounting measures" 1 (1): 320-321, 1985

      19 Stickel, S. E., "Reputation and performance among security analysts" 47 (47): 1811-1836, 1992

      20 Kim, K., "Re-examination of analyst forecast ability" 23 : 157-181, 1998

      21 Atiase, R., "Predisclosure information, firm capitalization and security price behavior around earnings announcements" 23 (23): 21-36, 1985

      22 Bernard, V. L., "Postearnings-announcement drift: Delayed price response or risk premium?" 27 (27): 1-36, 1989

      23 Trueman, B., "On the incentives for security analysts to revise their earnings forecasts" 7 (7): 203-222, 1990

      24 Kim, O., "Market reaction to anticipated announcements" 273-310, 1991

      25 Healy, P. M., "Information asymmetry, corporate disclosure, and the capital markets: A review of the empirical disclosure literature" 31 (31): 405-440, 2001

      26 Barron, O. E., "High-technology intangibles and analysts' forecasts" 40 (40): 289-312, 2002

      27 Graham, J. R., "Herding among investment newsletters: Theory and evidence" 54 : 237-268, 1999

      28 Bikhchandani, S., "Herd behavior in financial markets" 48 (48): 279-310, 2001

      29 Scharfstein, D. S., "Herd behavior and investment" 80 (80): 465-479, 1990

      30 Beaver,W., "Financial reporting: An accounting revolution" Prentice-Hall 1998

      31 Givoly, D., "Financial analysts' forecasts of earnings" 4 (4): 221-233, 1980

      32 Clement, M. B., "Financial analyst characteristics and herding behavior in forecasting" 60 (60): 307-341, 2005

      33 Verrecchia, R. E., "Essays on disclosure" 32 (32): 97-180, 2001

      34 Brown, L. D., "Earnings forecasting research: Its implications for capital markets research" 9 (9): 295-320, 1993

      35 Morse, D., "Earnings announcements and the convertgence (or divergence) of beliefs" 66 (66): 376-388, 1991

      36 Bowen, R. M., "Do conference calls affect analysts' forecasts?" 77 (77): 285-316, 2002

      37 Womack, K. L., "Do brokerage analysts' recommendations have investment value?" 51 (51): 137-167, 1996

      38 Irvine, P., "Do analysts generate trades for their firms? Evidence from the toronto stock exchange" 209-226, 2000

      39 Bamber, L. S., "Differential interpretations and trading volume" 34 (34): 369-386, 1999

      40 Kandel, E., "Differential interpretation of public signals and trade in speculative markets" 103 (103): 831-872, 1995

      41 Elgers, P. T., "Delayed security price adjustments to financial analysts' forecasts of annual earnings" 76 (76): 613-, 2001

      42 Lang, M. H., "Corporate disclosure policy and analyst behavior" 71 (71): 467-492, 1996

      43 Sohn, S., "Comparison of analyst forecasts" 20 : 73-105, 1995

      44 Park, C, "Comparison of analyst forecast accuracy" 9 : 1-224, 2004

      45 Youn, S., "Comparision of time-series earnings forecasts and analyst earnings forecasts" 13 : 49-60, 1991

      46 Stickel, S. E., "Common stock returns surrounding earnings forecast revisions: More puzzling evidence" 66 (66): 402-416, 1991

      47 Schipper, K., "Commentary: Analysts' forecasts" 5 : 105-121, 1991

      48 Barron, O. E., "Changes in analysts' information around earnings announcements" 77 (77): 821-846, 2002

      49 Hong, H., "Bad news travels slowly: Size, analyst coverage, and the profitability of momentum strategies" 265-295, 2000

      50 Abarbanell, J. S., "Analysts’ forecasts as proxies for investor beliefs in empirical research" 20 (20): 31-60, 1995

      51 Trueman, B., "Analyst forecasts and herding behavior" 7 (7): 97-124, 1994

      52 Gleason, C. A., "Analyst forecast revisions and market price discovery" 78 (78): 193-225, 2003

      53 Lee, K., "Analyst earnings forecast ability" 14 : 193-219, 1992

      54 Lee, C. M. C., "Accounting-based valuation: Impact on business practices and research" 13 (13): 413-425, 1999

      55 Brown, L. D., "A temporal analysis of earnings surprises: Profits versus losses" 39 (39): 221-241, 2001

      56 Kim, T.-D., "A study on the effect of the continuous audit system on the usefulness of financial statements" 35 (35): 989-1014, 2006

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2022 평가예정 계속평가 신청대상 (등재유지)
      2017-01-01 평가 우수등재학술지 선정 (계속평가)
      2013-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2010-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2008-01-01 평가 등재 1차 FAIL (등재유지) KCI등재
      2006-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2004-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2001-07-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      1999-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 1.45 1.45 1.48
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      1.64 1.69 2.793 0.2
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