외생화 및 내생화 기법을 이용한 산업연관효과 비교 분석: 주거용 건물 건설업을 중심으로 = Comparative Analysis of Exogenous and Endogenous Methods on Industry Spillover Effects Based on Residential Building Construction Sector

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The paper studies the effects of endogenous and exogenous methods in the input-output analysison measuring the economic spillover effects. In order to analyze the spillover effect due to theincrease in the demand or expenditure of a specific industry rather than the final demand such asconsumption, investment, and export, which is the ultimate objective of production activities, weneed to modify the baseline input-output coefficient matrix and make the industry exogenous toobtain a net economic spillover effect due to the increase in demand from the industry. If theexogenous method is not applied, the spending increase of the industry will lead to an increase inthe intermediate demand for itself, and the economic spillover effect would not be properlyaccounted for. This study aims to investigate magnitudes of the economic spillover effects usingexogenous methods along with various forms of endogenous final demands based on residentialbuilding construction.
Our empirical investigation reveals that the economic spillover effects when exogenous methodis not applied are higher in all cases than those when exogenous method is applied and thesedifferences are quite significant, indicating the spillover effects can be easily misled or misrepresented.
These results suggest that it is necessary to pay more attention to the

참고문헌 (Reference)

1 조정환, "투입-산출 분석을 이용한 전력산업의 경제적 파급효과 분석" 포스코경영연구소 12 (12): 66-86, 2012

2 류문현, "천연가스 공급산업의 국민경제효과와 정책효과 분석 - 외생화 산업연관분석을 이용하여 -" 한국생산성학회 25 (25): 221-238, 2011

3 김혜선, "재정지출의 고용창출효과" 국회예산정책처 2013

4 한국은행, "산업연관분석: 기본 원리와 응용"