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      The Possible Denuclearization Model of North Korea: Focusing on an Authoritarian Dilemma

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A105989547

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      This paper tries to find a possibility for North Korea to break its non-compliance history for international agreements after the historical summit between leaders of two countries of U.S. and North Korea. This research starts with an assumption that the main purpose of Nuclear Weapon of NK is a tool to secure the regime security so that hypothesis is whether any state other than NK can guarantee its regime security especially against the internal challenge. In this respect, the role of China seems to be bigger than that of the U.S. with respect to overcoming the dilemma. China has a successful history of controlling democratic movements while securing one party control system, which will give some clues to NK about how to solve the authoritarian dilemma. In this sense, the role of China is expected to be critical in the area of internal regime security in addition to one of economic realm. The real concern, however, is whether the relationship between two states has been so robust for China to be a security guarantor to Kim’s regime. As a whole, it is very big challenge for Kim Jong-un to find out the North Korean Model that delivers economic prosperity and overcomes authoritarian dilemma at the same time.
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      This paper tries to find a possibility for North Korea to break its non-compliance history for international agreements after the historical summit between leaders of two countries of U.S. and North Korea. This research starts with an assumption that ...

      This paper tries to find a possibility for North Korea to break its non-compliance history for international agreements after the historical summit between leaders of two countries of U.S. and North Korea. This research starts with an assumption that the main purpose of Nuclear Weapon of NK is a tool to secure the regime security so that hypothesis is whether any state other than NK can guarantee its regime security especially against the internal challenge. In this respect, the role of China seems to be bigger than that of the U.S. with respect to overcoming the dilemma. China has a successful history of controlling democratic movements while securing one party control system, which will give some clues to NK about how to solve the authoritarian dilemma. In this sense, the role of China is expected to be critical in the area of internal regime security in addition to one of economic realm. The real concern, however, is whether the relationship between two states has been so robust for China to be a security guarantor to Kim’s regime. As a whole, it is very big challenge for Kim Jong-un to find out the North Korean Model that delivers economic prosperity and overcomes authoritarian dilemma at the same time.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 이동민, "중국에 의한 북한 레짐 체인지론 검토" 국가안전보장문제연구소 61 (61): 21-48, 2018

      2 함명식, "북한 - 중국 동맹관계에 대한 이론적 재고찰: 약소국의 비대칭 전략과 자율성 증가" 사회과학연구원 부설 동북아연구소 31 (31): 5-28, 2016

      3 이상숙, "개혁․개방 시기 중국과 베트남의 정치기구와 권력구조 변화 비교: 북한 김정은 체제 개혁․개방정책에 대한 시사점을 중심으로" 북한학연구소 8 (8): 99-132, 2012

      4 Cho, Yoon Je, "With North Korea. This Time Is Different" The Washington Post

      5 Cronin, Patrick M, "Why Washington and Seoul Need to Harmonize Their Approaches to North Korea" The National Interest

      6 DePetris, Daniel, "Where Pessimism Is Realism: The Korean Peninsula" The Diplomat

      7 Hersman, Rebecca, "Verifying North Korean Denuclearization: Where Do We Go from Here" Center for Strategic and International Studies

      8 Starr, John Bryan, "Understanding China: A Guide to China’s Economy" History. and Political Structure

      9 Human Rights Watch, "UN Human Rights Council: As US Retreats. Other Countries Need To Work Together in Defense of Human Rights"

      10 Revere, Evans J.R, "U.S. Policy and Pyongyang’s Game Plan: Will We Accept a Nuclear-Armed North Korea?" Brookings Policy Brief

      1 이동민, "중국에 의한 북한 레짐 체인지론 검토" 국가안전보장문제연구소 61 (61): 21-48, 2018

      2 함명식, "북한 - 중국 동맹관계에 대한 이론적 재고찰: 약소국의 비대칭 전략과 자율성 증가" 사회과학연구원 부설 동북아연구소 31 (31): 5-28, 2016

      3 이상숙, "개혁․개방 시기 중국과 베트남의 정치기구와 권력구조 변화 비교: 북한 김정은 체제 개혁․개방정책에 대한 시사점을 중심으로" 북한학연구소 8 (8): 99-132, 2012

      4 Cho, Yoon Je, "With North Korea. This Time Is Different" The Washington Post

      5 Cronin, Patrick M, "Why Washington and Seoul Need to Harmonize Their Approaches to North Korea" The National Interest

      6 DePetris, Daniel, "Where Pessimism Is Realism: The Korean Peninsula" The Diplomat

      7 Hersman, Rebecca, "Verifying North Korean Denuclearization: Where Do We Go from Here" Center for Strategic and International Studies

      8 Starr, John Bryan, "Understanding China: A Guide to China’s Economy" History. and Political Structure

      9 Human Rights Watch, "UN Human Rights Council: As US Retreats. Other Countries Need To Work Together in Defense of Human Rights"

      10 Revere, Evans J.R, "U.S. Policy and Pyongyang’s Game Plan: Will We Accept a Nuclear-Armed North Korea?" Brookings Policy Brief

      11 Borger, Julian, "Trumps Faces North Korea Dilemma after Bolton Infuriates Pyongyang" The Guardian

      12 Miller, Leila, "Trump Administration Says North Korea Used VX to Kill Kim Jong-un’s Half Brother" PBS

      13 Tiananmen Initiative Project, "Tiananmen Square Massacre: Overview and FAQ"

      14 Terry, Sue Mi, "Three Reasons for Kim Jong-un to Pursue Declaration of Korean War Ending" Chosun Daily

      15 Cha, Victor, "Third Summit, Center for Strategic and International Studies" The Impossible State Podcast

      16 Kang, David C, "Third Summit" The Impossible State Podcast

      17 Gaidar, Yegorr, "The Soviet Collapse" The American Enterprise Institute

      18 Snyder, Scott A, "The Pyongyang Declaration: Implications for U.S.-ROK Coordination on the North Korea" Council on Foreign Relations, Asia Unbound

      19 Gomez, Eric, "The Midterms and North Korea" CATO at Liberty

      20 Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce, "The Logic of Political Survival" MIT Press 2003

      21 Lee, Kye Sung, "The Game Changer, There May Be a Hidden Agreement" Hankookilbo

      22 Dickson, Bruce J, "The Dictator’s Dilemma: The Chinese Communist Party’s Strategy for Survival" Oxford University Press 2016

      23 Snyder, Scott A, "South Korea’s Leader Makes Bold Effort to Enhance the Prospects for Peace" The Forbes

      24 Snyder, Scott A, "South Korea at the Crossroads: Autonomy and Alliance in an Era of Rival Powers" Columbia University Press 2018

      25 Shultz, George, "Shaping American Foreign Policy: New Realities and New Ways of Thinking" Foreign Affairs

      26 Pompeo, Michael R, "Secretary of State Michael R. Pompeo at a Business Community Reception" U.S. Department of State

      27 Cronin, Patrick M, "Second Coming Kim Jong-un" The National Interest

      28 Graham. Edward M, "Reforming Korea’s Industrial Conglomerates" Columbia University Press 2003

      29 Kang, David C, "Reasons to be Optimistic about North Korea" East Asia Forum

      30 Lim, Sungnam, "ROK-U.S. Strategic Forum 2018: Assessing the Trump-Kim Summit" Center for Strategic and International Studies Event

      31 Woori Financial Research Institute, "Prospect of North Korean Open and Reform based on the Comparative Studies on China and Vietnam Model" Issue & Insight

      32 Mueller, John, "Nuclear Weapons Don’t Matter: But Nuclear Hysteria Does" Foreign Affairs

      33 Cha, Victor, "Nuclear North Korea: A Debate on Engagement Strategies Revised and Updated Edition" Columbia University Press 2018

      34 Mueller, John, "North Korea: The Case for Doing Nothing" The National Interest

      35 Klingner, Bruce, "North Korea Sticks to Its Own Understanding of the Singapore Agreement" The Heritage Foundation

      36 Przeworski, Adam, "Modernization: Theories and Facts" 49 (49): 155-183, 1997

      37 Lee, Sung-Eun, "Mearsheimer: Trump-Kim Summit Will Worsen Relations" Joongang Daily

      38 Khoa, Dang, "Kim Jong-un Believes North Korea Should Follow Vietnam’s Economic Reforms: Report" VN Express International

      39 Choe, Sang-Hun, "In Hail of Bullets and Fire. North Korea Killed Official Who Wanted Reform" New York Times

      40 Kim, Christine, "Human Scum and Bloodsucker': Bolton's White House Appointment Fans Worries over Hawkish Record in Asia" Reuter

      41 Twining, Dan, "How Tiananmen Changed China-and Still Could" Foreign Policy

      42 Kaiser, Robert G, "Gorbachev: Triumph and Failure"

      43 Mueller, John, "Exaggerated Alarm and Destructive Excursions: Anti-Proliferation Policy and The Case of North Korea" 51-54, 2017

      44 Buckley, Chris, "Ending Term Limits for China’s Xi Is a Big Deal. Here’s Why" New York Times

      45 Saleh, Nivien Saleh, "Egypt’s Digital Activism and the Dictator’s Dilemma: An Evaluation" 36 : 476-483, 2018

      46 Tisdell, Clem, "Economic Reform and Openness in China: China’s Development Policies in the Last 30 Years" 39 (39): 271-294, 2009

      47 Yeo, Andrew, "Don’t Let Skepticism Kill a Chance for Real Détente with North Korea" The National Interest

      48 Lin, Justin Yifu, "Demystifying the Chinese Economy" 46 (46): 259-268, 2013

      49 Kang, David C, "Debating Diplomacy on the Korean Peninsula with Victor Cha and David Kang" CHARLES KOCH INSTITUE Special Talk

      50 Kedzie, Christopher, "Communication and Democracy: Coincident Revolutions and the Emergent Dictators" RAND Corporation

      51 FlorCruz, Jamie, "China: From Tiananmen Through Today"

      52 Cha, Victor, "60 Minutes and Whiplash, Center for Strategic and International Studies" The Impossible State Podcast

      53 Terry, Sue Mi, "60 Minutes and Whiplash" The Impossible State Podcast

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2027 평가예정 재인증평가 신청대상 (재인증)
      2021-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (재인증) KCI등재
      2018-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (계속평가) KCI등재
      2017-12-01 평가 등재후보로 하락 (계속평가) KCI등재후보
      2013-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2011-08-22 학회명변경 영문명 : Research Institute On National Security Affairs -> Research Institute for National Security Affairs KCI등재
      2011-08-18 학술지명변경 한글명 : 영문학술지(KJSA) -> The Korean Journal of Security Affairs
      외국어명 : 미등록 -> The Korean Journal of Security Affairs
      KCI등재
      2010-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2009-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2007-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.42 0.42 0.37
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.32 0.24 0.744 0
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