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      The Effect of Investment Risk and Macro-Economy Factors on Stock Return in D8 Member States based on a Dynamic Panel Approach

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A105602145

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      Stock return, as a production factor, can play an effective role in growth but the problem that can influence the other variables in investment risk economy is the investigation of the causal relationship between the stock return and economic growth. On the other hand, one important factor regarding the economic growth is the attraction of the foreign capitals which is of a particular necessity in the developing countries featuring intermediate income levels for such a reason as the competition for rare resources and this is well indicative of the crucial significance of the causal relationship between the stock return, foreign direct investment and economic growth. The present study aims at investigating the relationship between the stock exchange market’s return rates, investment risks, growth in the formation of domestic gross capital, growth in per capita domestic gross production and growth in the net input rate of foreign direct investment in eight developing countries known as D8 countries during the years from 1990 to 2015. To do so, dynamic panel data approach has been adopted and generalized method of moment (GMM) estimator has been employed to propose a model for the abovementioned five variables. The estimations were evaluated in five separate models and the results indicated that the macroeconomic variables of exert a positive and significant effect on stock return rate as well as a negative effect on the investment risk.
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      Stock return, as a production factor, can play an effective role in growth but the problem that can influence the other variables in investment risk economy is the investigation of the causal relationship between the stock return and economic growth. ...

      Stock return, as a production factor, can play an effective role in growth but the problem that can influence the other variables in investment risk economy is the investigation of the causal relationship between the stock return and economic growth. On the other hand, one important factor regarding the economic growth is the attraction of the foreign capitals which is of a particular necessity in the developing countries featuring intermediate income levels for such a reason as the competition for rare resources and this is well indicative of the crucial significance of the causal relationship between the stock return, foreign direct investment and economic growth. The present study aims at investigating the relationship between the stock exchange market’s return rates, investment risks, growth in the formation of domestic gross capital, growth in per capita domestic gross production and growth in the net input rate of foreign direct investment in eight developing countries known as D8 countries during the years from 1990 to 2015. To do so, dynamic panel data approach has been adopted and generalized method of moment (GMM) estimator has been employed to propose a model for the abovementioned five variables. The estimations were evaluated in five separate models and the results indicated that the macroeconomic variables of exert a positive and significant effect on stock return rate as well as a negative effect on the investment risk.

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      목차 (Table of Contents)

      • ABSTRACT
      • 1. INTRODUCTION
      • 2. STUDY THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS AND BACKGROUND
      • 3. INTRODUCING THE DYNAMIC PANEL DATA APPROACH
      • 4. EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
      • ABSTRACT
      • 1. INTRODUCTION
      • 2. STUDY THEORETICAL FOUNDATIONS AND BACKGROUND
      • 3. INTRODUCING THE DYNAMIC PANEL DATA APPROACH
      • 4. EXPERIMENTAL RESULTS
      • 5. SUMMARIZATION AND CONCLUSION
      • REFERENCES
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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 Feng, T., "The relationship between energy consumption structure, economic structure and energy intensity in China" 37 (37): 5475-5483, 2009

      2 Amri, F., "The relationship amongst energy consumption foreign direct investment and output in developed and developing Countries" 64 : 694-702, 2016

      3 Cheng, K., "The Granger Causality Relationship Between GDP, Foreign Direct Investment, and Energy Consumption-Evidence From Germany and The United Kingdom" 2010

      4 Erdal, G., "The Causality between Energy Consumption and economic growth in Turkey" 36 (36): 3838-3842, 2006

      5 Arellano, M., "Some test of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations" 58 (58): 277-297, 1991

      6 Markowitz, H., "Portfolio seledtion" 7 (7): 1952

      7 Flannery, M. J., "Macroeconomic factors do influence aggregate stock return?" 15 (15): 751-782, 2002

      8 Ozun, "Long and short-run linkages between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emission in Tunisia" 485-, 2009

      9 Khodadady, V., "Investigating the relationship between operating cash flow and liquidity ratios with stock price in companies accepted to Tehran's securities exchange market" 1 (1): 60-75, 2009

      10 Pira’ei, K., "Investigating the effect of macroeconomic variables on capital market during the period from 1991 to 2012" 22 : 2009

      1 Feng, T., "The relationship between energy consumption structure, economic structure and energy intensity in China" 37 (37): 5475-5483, 2009

      2 Amri, F., "The relationship amongst energy consumption foreign direct investment and output in developed and developing Countries" 64 : 694-702, 2016

      3 Cheng, K., "The Granger Causality Relationship Between GDP, Foreign Direct Investment, and Energy Consumption-Evidence From Germany and The United Kingdom" 2010

      4 Erdal, G., "The Causality between Energy Consumption and economic growth in Turkey" 36 (36): 3838-3842, 2006

      5 Arellano, M., "Some test of specification for panel data: Monte Carlo evidence and an application to employment equations" 58 (58): 277-297, 1991

      6 Markowitz, H., "Portfolio seledtion" 7 (7): 1952

      7 Flannery, M. J., "Macroeconomic factors do influence aggregate stock return?" 15 (15): 751-782, 2002

      8 Ozun, "Long and short-run linkages between economic growth, energy consumption and CO2 emission in Tunisia" 485-, 2009

      9 Khodadady, V., "Investigating the relationship between operating cash flow and liquidity ratios with stock price in companies accepted to Tehran's securities exchange market" 1 (1): 60-75, 2009

      10 Pira’ei, K., "Investigating the effect of macroeconomic variables on capital market during the period from 1991 to 2012" 22 : 2009

      11 Islamlou'eiyan, K., "Investigating the effect of macroeconomic variables and alternative assets on stock price in Iran: A self-correlated pattern with lagged distribution" 8 (8): 17-46, 2006

      12 Yildirtan, D. C., "Effect of macroeconomic variables on Istanbul stock exchange indexes: The case of turkish stock exchange market" 52 : 31-35, 2007

      13 Baltagi, B. H., "Econometric analysis of panel data" John Wiley & Sons Inc. 2005

      14 Chowdhury, S. S. H., "Does predicted macroeconomic variable influence stock market volatility? Evidence from the Bangladesh Capital Market" 2006

      15 Islami, B. G., "Co-analysis of return and risk of investment alternative opportunities in Iran" 44 : 149-175, 2006

      16 Worthington, A., "Australian evidence concerning the information content of economic value-added" 29 (29): 201-224, 2004

      17 Ja'afary, A. H., "Analyzing the relationships between stock return, foreign direct investment and economic growth in selected countries with intermediate incomes, 2001-2013" economic development and planning department, Islamic Azad University 2015

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2023 평가예정 해외DB학술지평가 신청대상 (해외등재 학술지 평가)
      2020-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (해외등재 학술지 평가) KCI등재
      2015-08-03 학술지명변경 한글명 : Industrial Engineeering & Management Systems -> Industrial Engineering & Management Systems
      외국어명 : Industrial Engineeering & Management Systems An International Journal -> Industrial Engineering & Management Systems An International Journal
      KCI등재
      2013-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2010-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2009-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2007-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 선정 (신규평가) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.13 0.13 0.1
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.1 0.09 0.316 0.05
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