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      2004 미국 大選 평가와 전망: 공화당 상승세 정체와 양극화, 약화되는 일방주의의 기반 = Electoral Mandate of 2004 Presidential Election and its Prospect

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      https://www.riss.kr/link?id=A103965025

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      다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

      The major claim of this paper is that the main force underlying Bush's reelection is the long-term shift in macropartisanship in favor of the Republican party rather than the increasing conservatives in terms of self-identified political ideology. The 2004 presidential election is also characterized by extreme bi-polarization lined up under party identification. Contrary to the conventional wisdom, the so-called "rally round the flag impact" is not observed in this election. Based on these findings, it is claimed that the long-term shift in favor of the Republican party is on its peak with downturn ahead. Taking the American-style electoral college system into account, despite Bush's reelection, his second term does not seem so bright. It is forecasted that the second Bush administration would hesitate to follow its own footprint of unilateral approach to international issues.
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      The major claim of this paper is that the main force underlying Bush's reelection is the long-term shift in macropartisanship in favor of the Republican party rather than the increasing conservatives in terms of self-identified political ideology. The...

      The major claim of this paper is that the main force underlying Bush's reelection is the long-term shift in macropartisanship in favor of the Republican party rather than the increasing conservatives in terms of self-identified political ideology. The 2004 presidential election is also characterized by extreme bi-polarization lined up under party identification. Contrary to the conventional wisdom, the so-called "rally round the flag impact" is not observed in this election. Based on these findings, it is claimed that the long-term shift in favor of the Republican party is on its peak with downturn ahead. Taking the American-style electoral college system into account, despite Bush's reelection, his second term does not seem so bright. It is forecasted that the second Bush administration would hesitate to follow its own footprint of unilateral approach to international issues.

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      참고문헌 (Reference)

      1 "The President and the Political Use of Force" 541-566, 1986

      2 "The Origins and Meaning of Liberal/Conservative Self Identification American Journal of Political Science" 25 617-2 645, 19811981

      3 "The New American Voter" Harvard University Press 1996

      4 "The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics The Free Press of Glencoe" Collier-Macmillan Ltd 1964

      5 "The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion" 1992

      6 "The Instability of Partisanship An Analysis of the 1980 Presidential Election British Journal of Political Science" 445-465, 1988

      7 "The Impact of Party Identification on Issue Attitudes American Journal of Political Science" 643-661, 1988

      8 "The Effects of Prior Theories on Subsequently Considered Evidence Journal of Personality and Social Psychology" 2098-2109, 1979

      9 "The Differences between Attitudes and Nonattitudes in the Mass Public American Journal of Political Science" (rpoth) : 291-307, 1985

      10 "Realignment and Macropartisanship" ㆍ helmut (ㆍ helmut): 2001

      1 "The President and the Political Use of Force" 541-566, 1986

      2 "The Origins and Meaning of Liberal/Conservative Self Identification American Journal of Political Science" 25 617-2 645, 19811981

      3 "The New American Voter" Harvard University Press 1996

      4 "The Nature of Belief Systems in Mass Publics The Free Press of Glencoe" Collier-Macmillan Ltd 1964

      5 "The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion" 1992

      6 "The Instability of Partisanship An Analysis of the 1980 Presidential Election British Journal of Political Science" 445-465, 1988

      7 "The Impact of Party Identification on Issue Attitudes American Journal of Political Science" 643-661, 1988

      8 "The Effects of Prior Theories on Subsequently Considered Evidence Journal of Personality and Social Psychology" 2098-2109, 1979

      9 "The Differences between Attitudes and Nonattitudes in the Mass Public American Journal of Political Science" (rpoth) : 291-307, 1985

      10 "Realignment and Macropartisanship" ㆍ helmut (ㆍ helmut): 2001

      11 "Rationality in Presidential Voting" Harvard University Press 19661936-1960

      12 "Public Opinion in America" Westview Press 1991

      13 "Presidential Popularity from Truman to Johnson" 197018-33

      14 "Political Attitude during an Election Year A Report on the 1980 NES Panel Study" 538-560, 1982

      15 "Perceptions of Media Bias in a Presidential Election" Stanford University Press 1981

      16 "Measurement and the Dynamics of Party Identification" 297-309, 1992

      17 "Effects of Public Opinion on Policy" 175-190, 1983

      18 "Controversies in Voting Behavior" 1993

      19 "An Economic Theory of Democracy" 1957

      20 "American Journal of Political Science" 872-902, 1990

      21 "A Theory of Cognitive Dissonance" Stanford University Press 1957

      22 "A Response to Green" 901-912, 1998

      23 "A Partisan Schema for Political Information Processing" 505-520, 1986

      24 "A Dynamic Simultaneous Equation Model of Electoral Choice" 1055-1072, 1979

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      공동연구자 (7)

      유사연구자 (20) 활용도상위20명

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      학술지 이력

      학술지 이력
      연월일 이력구분 이력상세 등재구분
      2027 평가예정 재인증평가 신청대상 (재인증)
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      2018-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2015-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2011-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2009-07-08 학술지명변경 외국어명 : 미등록 -> Korea and World Politics KCI등재
      2009-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2007-01-01 평가 등재학술지 유지 (등재유지) KCI등재
      2004-01-01 평가 등재학술지 선정 (등재후보2차) KCI등재
      2003-01-01 평가 등재후보 1차 PASS (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
      2002-01-01 평가 등재후보학술지 유지 (등재후보1차) KCI등재후보
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      학술지 인용정보

      학술지 인용정보
      기준연도 WOS-KCI 통합IF(2년) KCIF(2년) KCIF(3년)
      2016 0.92 0.92 0.91
      KCIF(4년) KCIF(5년) 중심성지수(3년) 즉시성지수
      0.88 0.95 1.328 0.24
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