철도여객수요예측을 위한 Holt-Winters모형의 초기값 설정방법 비교 = An Empirical Comparison among Initialization Methods of Holt-Winters Model for Railway Passenger Demand Forecast

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Railway passenger demand forecasts may be used directly, or as inputs to other optimization models use them to produce estimates of other activities. The optimization models require demand forecasts at the most detailed level. In this environment exponential smoothing forecasting methods such as Holt-Winters are appropriate because it is simple and inexpensive in terms of computation. There are several initialization methods for Holt-Winters Model. The purpose of this paper is to compare the initialization methods for Holt-Winters model.

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