韓國의 地域間 人口移動에 관한 實證分析 : 市·郡別의 人口·家口移動構造에 관한 計量的 分析 = Some Empirical Studies on the Regional Population Migration in Korea

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

The purpose of this paper is devoted to an analysis of the regional economic planning which emphasize a series of stages in evolution of the regional economic systems-the level of living and production-and which explain the regional balanced growth in Korea. In a general theory of economic growth, from the standpoint of the regional economic planning, what really matters about the population structure in many poor countries in that labor is the relatively abundant factor, per capita output is low, and the supply of labor remains larger than demand for labor. As already noted, the economic development of underdeveloped countries is contingent upon the introduction of industry. But industrialization, in turn, is associated with urban growth. The evidence for the need for industrialization and urbanization in found in the historical experience of the economically more advanced countries and in general considerations on the economic situation of the farm populations in many underdeveloped countries.
As a matter of fact, in the advanced improving countries contain the most heavily industrialized and at the same time most densely urbanized regions of the world, and to the extent to which industrial cities have grown up in underdeveloped countries, they have been patterned after British, American models. We may conclude, therefore, that industrialization and urbanization are effective means for economic advancement, as a result of the population which intermediate to connection between the two process. Moreover, the distinction between positive removal which is attracted by opportunities for economic improvement, and negative removal, which is driven away from a village by lack of opportunity, is an important one.
Population does have supply, as well as demand, effects. A more densely populated area would make for more economical construction and use of, social overhead-capital, railroads, roads, water supplies and electric power, net to speak of schools, hospitals and another social service etc., Much of this is true. According to industrialization and urbanization, a part of gross investment is required merely to house the population, but this is in fact typical, at any rate of industrial countries. The proportion varies according to the rate of growth of population and of population removal. There is reason to believe that the proportion is probably also particularly high in countries where a transfer of population from agriculture to industry is still taking place, since this requires a rapid expansion of the towns.
This expanding concentration of industry called forth a secularly ever increasing demand for labor. This is turn encouraged the further expansion of the industrial base of the city and called for further increase in employment opportunities and a growing demand for labor.
Let us begin with the estimate of the coefficient of variation, inflow and outflow in population by urban and rural by the statistical methods. Most industrial areas have been studied for analysis. These areas are all industrial areas defined by general research. They have in common the fact they represent heavy concentrations of population and manufacturing.
Firstly, for such an economy migration estimation inflows and outflows are a direct result of government policy. To be sure, this analysis about concentrations of the population, particularly at Seoul, Pusan and Taegu, has been increasing at a significant rate in the past. However, these urbans has been decreasing the rate of in creased population and the number of household during same period. Secondely, we must indicate that distinguished between areas of absorption and of dispersion which postulated by E.G. Ravensteins hypothesis. Especially, there are the interrelationship of three elements ; the population size, distance and forces of attraction and repulsion. These elements is associated with testing hypothesis about the migrant population and analysis of our rural-urban movement. Thirdly, more important, migrant population concentrated on another urban and cities. Therefore, there seems to be farily general agreement that the relationship of distance and population size to migration is direct.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 1.緖論-理論的 背景
• 2.人口의 地域間 移動의 實證分析
• 3.人口流出入의 地域隔差分析
• 4.別表