[硏究論文] 北韓의 對美戰略: 採擇背景과 作動論理 = [Research Articles] North Korea's Strategy toward the United States: Asymmetric Deterrence and Coercive Strategy

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

In order to explain the North Korean strategy toward the United States, this thesis defines the "asymmetric deterrence and coercive strategy" using the current existing logic of the deterrences and coercive theory which commands the actions of a small and weak country when ti is faced with a large and powerful country. This thesis investigates and evaluates the basic logic of the North Korea's strategy toward the United States withing this framework.
Firstly, if certain conditions are met, even if the small power, when faced with the great power, the deterrence and coercive strategy can prove to be effective. To begin with, the interests of the great power are related to worldwide matters therefore it is difficult to concentrate all the national resources in to unessential issues. Also, in particular cases, if it is found that cost is greater than the gain, the stronger will be unwilling to become involved. The small power has relatively more vital interests caught up in the great power's unessential issues (or situational interests). Therefore, even if it means sacrificing many aspects that has political implications, in some cases, the small power is ready to sacrifice everything for a special case.
Secondly, North Korea and the United States have closed and open structural characteristics. The closed structure, which is a North Korean characteristic, grants relative autonomy when it comes to domestic and foreign policy decision making. That is to say, not only is the North Korean leadership party free from the pressures of domestic public opinion, it also allows North Korea to be functional in a limited sense from sanctions imposed from abroad. Also, in connecting domestic and foreign cases. North Korea internally manipulates conflicting opinions into voluntary opinions therefore making domestic and foreign negotiations favorable to them. For example, by advocating non-existent positions of the internal hardliners North Korea is able to make negotiations on matters that they do not wish to concede on more advantageous to them.
Thirdly, attentions has been given to the distinctive nature of the North Korean structure. This is because other small and weak states who have a closed structure do not act in the same manner as North Korea. The North Korean structure has collectivist values, and a "Suryung Yu Il" (Supreme Leader only) structure. The running of this structure is based on a "Sun gun (military first) policy." The characteristics of this kind of North Korean structure are the cause of the adoption of an asymmetric strategy that is prone to posing a great threat when faced with a great power. For the survival of its structure, North Korea unquestionably need to reform and open, however, reforming and opening the country will negatively affect the core idea of "Suryung Yu Il." And it was because of this dilemma that North Korea chose to develop nuclear weapons and missiles.
The goal of North Korea is to have the present structure recognized, remove threats to their security and receive economic compensation on the basis of limited deterrence. Thus facing the imperialist United States is an attempt to realize this goal. Using the conditions stated above, North Korea will have the ability to be deterrent by developing a small scale of nuclear weapons and missiles in order to increase the costs of the United States' role in the Korean peninsula. However there are limitations when it comes to forcing economic funds. And also North Korea's asymmetric strategy toward the United States has the essential problem which is that they have not managed to solve the internal conflicts on foreign strategy.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• 1. 머리말
• 2. 北韓의 對美戰略: 非對稱 戰略
• 3. 對美 非對稱 戰略의 作動 論理
• 4. 北韓의 對美戰略에 對한 評價
• 參考文獻