Side Effects of War : Terrorism in the Post-War Period

국문 초록 (Abstract)

2003년 이라크 전쟁 후 무정부 상태가 된 이라크에서는 테러가 확산 되었다. 현재 테러리즘 연구는 전후 테러를 체계적으로 분석하지 못하고 있다. 본 연구는 1970 년부터 2007 년까지 전쟁에 참여한 47 개국을 분석하여 전쟁 후 테러가 급증하는 이유와 전쟁 후에만 테러를 증가시키는 요인이 무엇인지 설명하고자 한다. 전쟁 전의 민족 분쟁과 시민들간의 폭력의 증가, 높은 실업률, 국내 실향민과 해외로 나가는 난민의 증가가 전쟁 후 국내 테러를 증가 시켰고, 시민들간의 폭력, 국내 실향민과 외국으로 나가는 난민의 증가가 전후 초 국가 테러를 증가시켰다. 또한 본 연구는 전쟁전, 후 테러를 따로 분석하여 전후 테러에만 영향을 주는 요인을 확인했다. 경험적 분석결과는 높은 실업률, 사회적 갈등과 난민 증가가 전쟁 후 국내 테러만을 증가시키는 데 중요한 요인으로 작용하였음을 밝혀냈다.

다국어 초록 (Multilingual Abstract)

Iraq has suffered from the proliferation of terrorism under the anarchy that accompanied the Iraq War in 2003. Current research on terrorism has not systematically analyzed post-war terrorist incidents. This research project sought to elaborate why terrorist activities surge after a war and to determine which factors can be attributed to an increase in post-war terrorist incidents by analyzing 47 countries that fought wars from 1970 to 2007. The empirical results demonstrated that pre-war civil and ethnic disputes, severe civil violence, high unemployment, a greater number of internally displaced people, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states increase post-war domestic terrorist incidents; moreover, a higher degree of civil violence, a greater number of internationally displaced people, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states also increase post-war transnational terrorist incidents. Furthermore, this research project separately analyzed terrorist incidents before and after a war to verify which factors influence only post-war terrorist activities. The empirical results found that higher unemployment, pre-war civil and ethnic conflicts, and a greater outflow of refugees to foreign states play a critical role in increasing only post-war domestic terrorist incidents.

목차 (Table of Contents)

• Abstract
• Ⅰ. Introduction
• Ⅱ. Literature Review
• Ⅲ. Terrorist Incidents in the Post-war Period
• Ⅳ. Methodology
• Ⅴ. Result
• Ⅵ. Conclusion
• References
• 논문요약

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