A Study on the Prediction Analysis of Aviation Passenger Demand after Covid-19

Jin, Seong Hyun,Jeon, Seung Joon,Kim, Kyoung Eun The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2020 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.28 No.4

This study analyzed the outlook for aviation demand for the recovery of the aviation industry, focusing on airlines facing difficulties in management due to the Covid-19 crisis. Although the timing of the recovery in aviation demand is uncertain at the moment, this study is based on prior research related to Covid-19 and forecasts by aviation specialists, and analyzed by SWOT technique to a group of aviation experts to derive and suggest implications for the prospects of aviation demand. Looking at the implications based on the analysis results, first, customer trust to prevent infection should be considered a top priority for recovering aviation demand. Second, promote reasonable air price policy. Finally, it seeks to try various research and analysis techniques to predict long-term aviation demand to overcome Covid-19.

Study on Proactive Approach against a New Large-Scale Crisis of the Aviation and Tourism Industry such as COVID-19

Park, Yun-mi,Jeon, Aeeun The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2020 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.28 No.4

In the face of the unprecedented crisis of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), the aviation and tourism industry fell without help. The bigger problem is that a crisis like COVID-19 can always come back. A new variant of the virus that is more powerful than COVID-19 may emerge, and another crisis such as a massive war may come. In addition, there may be an unexpected large-scale crisis that could shake the survival of the aviation and tourism industry in place. At that time, the aviation and tourism industry should not be pushed into a survival crisis defenselessly. Taking the experience of the crisis caused by COVID-19 as a crucial lesson, sufficient protection measures should be prepared in advance, and within the protection measures, the overall capabilities of the aviation and tourism industry should be preserved, and preparation should be made for the aftermath of the crisis. There is a need to establish a support system in which financial resources that can be used in crisis situation can be secured in advance, and various support measures can be implemented as effectively as possible by using the secured financial resources. Regarding the preparation for financial resources, various fundraising, insurance, and compensation for losses by the state or local government may be considered as a priority, and in addition, there is a need to continuously consider ways to prepare additional financial resources. On the other hand, in terms of system construction, establishment of the system inside the aviation and tourism industry may need to be considered first, but the improvement of related laws and systems needs to be more actively discussed and related legislation needs to be actively promoted.

A Study on the Key Points of Korean MPL Training System

Lee, Jang Ryong,Kwon, Moonjin,Kwon, Hanjoon The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2021 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.29 No.2

Multi-crew Pilot License (MPL) is an international pilot certification adopted by the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) in 2006 under the recognition of the need for efficient and systematic pilot training including the education of pilots with advanced aviation technology and ability to respond to flight environment, resolution of the human factor problems of pilots, and provision of stable training tools for transport aircraft pilots for potential risk of pilot shortage in the future. South Korea also has prepared a legal basis for operating an MPL system in the Aviation Act in 2009, but there has been no domestic MPL qualifier. The biggest reason for this seems to be the insufficient domestic MPL training system. Therefore, it is necessary to benchmark the international standards of the ICAO, and to promote the development of the Korean MPL training system through revision and supplementation of laws and regulations in consideration of Korean circumstances.

A Study on the Improvement of Safety Management System for ATO - Base on the Aviation Safety Voluntary Reporting System -

Kim, Jin-Tae,Lee, Gun Young,Choi, Jin-Kook The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2020 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.28 No.4

As all flight training institutions in Korea were approved by the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT) as aviation training organizations (ATO), safety management based on the Aviation Safety Management System (SMS) became mandatory. However, even though safety management using SMS has become mandatory, the performance of aviation safety voluntary report, which is the core of the system, remains low compared to other countries. The current address of SMS, a ATO, is like a watermill without water. The present study is to find out why voluntary aviation safety reports, which is equivalent to water from waterwheel, is underperforming and to suggest ways to revitalize it.

Analysis and Prospect of Export Trend of Air Cargo Market before and after COVID-19

Kim, Young-Rok,Lim, Jae-Hwan,Choi, Yun-Chul The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2020 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.28 No.4

Recently, the aviation industry faced a major crisis due to the impact of COVID-19. However, despite the sluggish passenger transportation, the cargo transportation sector is relatively maintained or increasing depending on the item. In this study, we will look at the trends before and after COVID-19, focusing on the cargo export field, which is a concern of the aviation industry. First, it analyzes the entire air cargo and then analyzes the trends of each item and country in detail. In particular, it examines the process of changes in air transport costs, which increased significantly immediately after COVID-19, and conducts future trends and prospects in the cargo export field. As a result of the study, some characteristics of air cargo exports before and after COVID-19 were found in an analysis by item and country, and transportation costs varied according to route distance.

The Effect of Studying Flight Training Materials utilizing Encoding Techniques on Situational Awareness Capabilities of Students in PPL Training

Moon, Jeong Yoon,Lee, Jang Ryong The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2020 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.28 No.4

The pilot's aeronautical decision-making during the flying greatly affects flight safety, and the importance of situational awareness has been greatly emphasized as a prerequisite for making the right decision. This is the reason why more research and interests are needed to help students entering the pilot training program develop excellent situational awareness from the initial stage of training. Situational awareness is closely related to long-term memory activities in human information processing, and pedagogy and cognitive psychology have emphasized the encoding techniques as an effective long-term memory method. This study was conducted to confirm whether pilot students' using the encoding techniques to learn flight education materials in the early stage of their training at domestic universities has a positive effect on improving their situational awareness.

Flight Simulation Training Device Operating Standards for MPL Training Programs in South Korea

Lee, Jang Ryong,Kwon, Moonjin,Kwon, Hanjoon The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2021 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.29 No.3

The Multi-crew Pilot License (MPL) is a new pilot qualification introduced by ICAO to train co-pilots for transport aircraft based on efficient and stable competency to respond to changes in the operating environment and technology. ICAO and the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) require a minimum flight of 240 hours for MPL qualification training, and allow the use of flight simulation training devices (FSTDs) for most of the training, specifying the performance requirements for FSTDs. As South Korea is also preparing for the operation of the MPL training program, it is essential to establish the operating standards for FSTDs required for MPL training. This study aims to identify the international standards for FSTDs related to MPL training, and to compare them with the current operating standards for FSTDs in South Korea for presenting a standard (draft) that can be used when introducing domestic MPL training programs in the future.

Analysis of Factors Influencing Korea's Air Trade with China

Lim, Jae-Hwan,Kim, Young-Rok,Choi, Yun-Chul,Choi, Yu-Jeong The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2021 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.29 No.3

This study aims to identify the representative factors affecting the air trade between the two countries over the past 20 years, targeting China, Korea's largest trading partner for air transport. In the analysis, the two countries' GDP, GDP per capita, and tariff rates, as well as exchange rates, international oil prices, and FTAs were used as variables. For the analysis method, OLS multiple regression analysis was performed, and each was analyzed by dividing the export amount, import amount, and trade amount. As a result of the analysis, China's GDP and Korea's GDP per capita showed a positive (+) direction, an increase in the exchange rate resulted in an increase in the amount of trade, and an increase in the tariff rate resulted in a decrease in the amount of trade. Whether the FTA was concluded or not acted as a factor in increasing the amount of trade between the two countries.

Analysis of Influencing Factors on Air Passenger and Cargo Transport between Korea, China and Japan

Lim, Jae-Hwan,Kim, Young-Rok,Choi, Yun-Chul,Kang, Dal-Won The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2021 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.29 No.2

In this study, the main factors affecting the number of passengers and cargo volume transported by air between Korea, China and Japan over the past 20 years are to be identified. For the analysis, data from three countries' GDP and per capita as well as exchange rates and international oil prices were used, and OLS multiple regression analysis and fixed effect analysis were performed. As a result of the analysis, both the number of passengers and cargo volume transported by air showed a negative (-) direction for GDP, which represents the country's economic power, and a positive (+) direction, for per capita GDP, which represents income level. And the increase in the exchange rate between China and Japan acted in a positive (+) direction on the increase in the number of passengers, and the effect of oil prices was found to be limited.

Estimation of Discretionary Fuel for Airline Operations

Chang, Hyoseok The Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics 2021 한국항공운항학회지 Vol.29 No.2

Fuel costs represent one of the most substantial expenses for airlines, accounting for 20% - 36% of the airline's total operating cost. The present study discusses the so-called discretionary fuel that is additionally loaded at the discretion of airlines to cover unforeseen variations from the planned flight operations. The proper range of the discretionary fuel to be loaded for economic flight operations was estimated by applying Monte Carlo simulation technique. With this simulation model for loading discretionary fuel, airlines cannot only reduce the total amount of fuel to be consumed but also minimize the risk of unplanned flight disruptions caused by insufficient fuel on board. Airlines should be able to guarantee proper risk management processes for fuel boarding by carrying enough fuel to high-risk airports. This study would provide a practical guideline for loading proper amounts of discretionary fuel. Future researchers should be encouraged to improve this study by elaborating the weather variable.