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        The prognostic value of procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and cholesterol in patients with an infection and multiple organ dysfunction

        Siarhei Anatolevich Tachyla,Alexey Viktorovich Marochkov,Artur Leonidovich Lipnitski,Yulia Gennadevna Nikiforova 대한마취통증의학회 2017 Korean Journal of Anesthesiology Vol.70 No.3

        Background: To establish the prognostic value of procalcitonin, C-reactive protein and cholesterol levels for mortality in patients with an infection and multiple organ dysfunction. Methods: A prospective case-control study was performed, including 67 patients admitted to the intensive care unit with an infection and multiple organ dysfunction in whom cholesterol, procalcitonin, and C-reactive protein levels were measured on admission and during the course of treatment. Results: The associations between in-hospital mortality and procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, and cholesterol levels were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis showed that cholesterol (odds ratio [OR], 1.858; 95% CI, 1.170–2.949; P = 0.009) and C-reactive protein (OR, 4.408; 95% CI, 2.019–9.624; P < 0.001) levels were predictors of mortality. A receiver operating characteristic curve analysis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.774 and 95% CI of 0.693–0.855 (P < 0.001) for C-reactive protein, an AUC of 0.66 and 95% CI of 0.535–0.784 (P = 0.019) for procalcitonin, and an AUC of 0.654 and 95% CI of 0.593–0.715 (P < 0.001) for cholesterol as predictors of mortality. When combined with the bioscore system for mortality, these markers yielded an AUC of 0.845 and 95% CI of 0.770–0.921 (P < 0.001), with sensitivity of 89.1% and specificity of 83.1%. Conclusions: The combination of procalcitonin, C-reactive protein, and cholesterol levels in a single scoring system yielded high predictive value for mortality.

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