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- 저자 : Fatima Messhib Laftah (검색결과 1 건)
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Ahmed Sabeeh Attiya,Fatima Messhib Laftah,Adel Salam Kashcool 대한산업공학회 2021 Industrial Engineeering & Management Systems Vol.20 No.4
This research focus on the Econometrics analysis on the public debt on foreign reserves in Iraq for the period from 2003-2019. This has economic consequences that the economy will bear sooner or later. As a result of Iraq's depend-ence on a main source of financing, which is oil revenues, which are greatly affected by fluctuations in international prices. The standard analysis literature indicates that when we encounter these cases, we resort to using the ARDL method of joint integration with the slowing gaps. It is an indication of the coherence of the model, both scalar and statistical, and the optimum combination of delays was adopted, with an accuracy of (2, 0, 2) to estimate the parameters, and the quality of the model selection was inferred by the low values of (AIC), Schwarz. All model variables without exception have a significant level ranging from 1% to 5% approximately. In order to find out whether there is a long-term or short-term relationship that flows from the explanatory variables towards the dependent variable, the Bound Test was used. The calculated F value was 2.553643, meaning that it falls within the critical decision region.
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