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        Strategies for Structural Transformation in South Asian Countries

        Clovis Freire 서울대학교 경제연구소 2013 Seoul journal of economics Vol.26 No.3

        Growth in South Asia has not resulted in structural transformation and increase of productive capacities. This paper presents a methodology to identify the opportunities for countries in South Asia to build their productive capacities and promote structural transformation through the emulation of the productive structure of more developed countries. The paper also discusses country-specific strategies that combine laissez-faire and strategic diversification approaches to facilitate the emergence of new economic activities that are more likely to increase the productive capacities in the country. In addition to its relevance to the formulation of inclusive development policies in South Asia, this paper contributes to the industrial policy literature by exploring the use of empirical data to verify the need for selective policies.

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        High food and oil prices and their impact on the achievement of MDG 1 in Asia and the Pacific

        Clovis Freire,Alberto E. Isgut 연세대학교(미래캠퍼스) 빈곤문제국제개발연구원 2011 地域發展硏究 Vol.20 No.1

        This paper estimates the impact of the high food prices of 2010 on income poverty and the achievement of MDG 1 in Asia and the Pacific. It also estimates the impacts of high price during 2011 under various scenarios for the prices of food and oil. We find that although the high food prices of 2010 have not caused an increase in poverty in the region, they slowed down the rate of poverty reduction - the estimated number of poor decreased by 24.5 million people between 2009 and 2010, compared with 43.8 million people if staple food prices had not increased above domestic rates of inflation. By detailing the methodology and assumptions used to produce our estimates, the paper also highlights the need for broader and more open discussion on methodological issues to provide policymakers and poverty data users with a better understanding of the limitations of any such exercise.

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