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        The heartland no more: Russia’s weakness and Eurasia’s meltdown

        Andrei P. Tsygankov 한양대학교 아태지역연구센터 2012 Journal of Eurasian Studies Vol.3 No.1

        The Eurasian region continues to disintegrate, and neither Russia nor the West has been able to arrest the destabilizing dynamics. Evidence of rising instability throughout the region include the August 2008 Russia-Georgia war, terrorist attacks in the Northern Caucasus, the persistent failure of Western forces to stabilize Afghanistan, the inability of Central Asian rulers to reign in local clans and drug lords, and the paralysis of legitimately elected bodies of power in Ukraine and Moldova. The West’s attempts to secure and stabilize Eurasia after the end of the Cold War have not led to success. Russia too has greatly contributed to the Eurasian meltdown. The Soviet collapse and the subsequent retreat of Russia from the region have greatly destabilized the area. The relative recovery of the Russian economy during the post-Yeltsin decade began to revive Russia’s standing in Eurasia, yet Moscow could ill afford serious efforts to stabilize and pacify the region. Russia’s resurgence is a response to its lacking recognition as a vital power and partner of the West. If Russia chooses to dedicate itself to obstructing Western policies in Eurasia, we will see more of the collapsing dynamics in the region. Preventing this requires recognizing Russia’s role in stabilizing the region and working with Russia in developing a joint assessment of threat and establishing a collective security arrangement in Eurasia.

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        Russia’s Interests and Objectives in East Asia

        Andrei P. Tsygankov 한국학술연구원 2006 Korea Observer Vol.37 No.3

        Russia’s foreign policy interests in the world includegreater involvement in solving vital security issues, improve-ment of conditions for domestic economic modernization,and preservation of political stability. In East Asia, such astructure of interests suggests the following policy objectives:security multilateralism, weapons sales, energy deals, a non-nuclear North Korea, and an orderly process of Korean unifi-cation. A new foreign policy perspective, realities of risingenergy prices, a recovering economy, pragmatic leadership,and a relative weakening of major threats from outside createfavorable conditions for Russia’s advanced engagement with423security reasons. It advocates multilateral security institutions, andit seeks to position itself to benefit from a future Korean unification.The next section briefly describes several cultural perspectiveson Russia’s relations in the East Asian region. Section 3 offers amore detailed analysis of Russia’s perceived foreign policy inter-ests and objectives in the areas of security, economic development,and political relations. The concluding part of the paper reviewsthe current record of Russia-Asia relations and reflects on theirfuture. Taking a mid-term perspective, I explore some of theopportunities and constraints for strengthening Russia’s influencein the region.

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