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한귀영(Han Guiyoung) 역사비평사 2012 역사비평 Vol.- No.101
This paper pays its attention to the roles of presidential policy agenda in acquiring political support in Korea. In doing so, it compares different repertories and results of policy agenda between progressive President Roh and conservative President Lee. Those policy agenda are classified into ‘conflict agenda versus compromise agenda.’ The effect of ‘conflict agenda’ is found to be larger than that of ‘compromise agenda’ throughout the president Roh’s tenure. The high expectation on the president Roh as a ‘political and partisan head’ among supporting groups and the strong presence of opposition party are suggested as a plausible rationale for such an observation. On the contrary, an opposite way is found in the president Lee’s early period in that the effect of ‘compromise agenda’ is larger than that of ‘conflict agenda.’ The high public expectation on the president Lee as a head of state rather than a head of party and the absence of strong opposition party may provide a plausible inference for such an observation.
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대통령 국정지지, 정당지지, 그리고 경제전망의 동태적 관계에 관한 연구
조성대(Cho Sungdai),한귀영(Han Guiyoung) 한국정치학회 2010 한국정치학회보 Vol.44 No.2
이 글은 대통령 지지율에 대한 기존연구가 정당 지지율 및 경제전망과의 동태적인 관계를 고찰하지 못했음을 지적하면서 세 변수 간의 역동적인 비대칭적 관계에 대해 실험적 가설 및 경험분석을 제시함을 목적으로 한다. 경험분석에는 일반적인 다중회귀분석 외에 벡터자기회귀(VAR) 방법이 사용된다. VAR은 전통적인 다중회귀분석과 달리 변수들의 동시적 관계를 살펴볼 수 있다는 장점을 지니고 있다. 특히 VAR의 충격반응함수는 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션과 함께 주어진 독립변수의 효과를 규모와 지속도 면에서 살펴볼 수 있게 해 이 글의 목적에 가장 잘 부합하는 방법적 틀을 제공해 준다. 가설검증을 위해 한국사회여론연구소(www.ksoi.org)가 2003년 5월부터 2007년 5월까지 격주 간(biweekly) 실시한 여론조사 자료를 사용한다. 분석결과의 주요부분을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 집권당 지지율의 변화가 대통령 지지율의 변화에 미치는 효과는 강하고 일시적인 반면, 반대당 지지율은 상대적으로 약하나 장기적인 증감 효과를 나타내었다. 둘째, 대통령 지지율이 집권당지지율에 미치는 영향은 그 역의 인과관계와 비교해 상대적으로 약하지만 장기적인 효과를 보이는 반면, 반대당 지지율에 미치는 영향은 크지 않았다. 셋째, 경제평가에 있어 처벌의 효과가 보상의 효과보다 크다는 기존연구의 결과와 반대로 노무현 행정부시기에 경제에 대한 전망적 평가에서는 보상의 효과가 처벌의 효과보다 크게 나타났다. This paper aims to present an experimental hypothesis regarding the dynamic relationship among presidential popularity, partisan support, and prospective economic judgement. The empirical analysis was conducted by using the VAR(vector autoregression) method. VAR method has a strength in investigating a simultaneous relationship among variables suggested. Particularly, the impulse response function of VAR, based on Monte-Carlo simulation, gives the effects of independent variables in terms of magnitude and persistence, and thus it fits well to the purpose of this study. The biweekly survey data are provided by KSOI(Korea Society Opinion Institute), which cover from May, 2003 to May, 2007. The empirical findings are as follows. First, the effect of ruling party support on presidential approval is sharp but short, while the effect of opposition party support is week but lasting. Second, the influence of presidential approval on ruling party support is week but long-termly persistent, while its effect on opposition party support is negligible. Lastly, contrary to the conventional wisdom that public punishment of president is not less than their reward in economic performance, the public’s prospective economic judgement in Roh, Moo-Hyun administration shows a reverse pattern.
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김기만(Kim KiMan),남우석(Nam WooSeok),한귀영(Han GuiYoung),서태범(Seo TaeBeom),강용혁(Kang YongHeack) 한국태양에너지학회 2006 한국태양에너지학회 학술대회논문집 Vol.- No.-
Steam reforming of methane using Xe-arc solar simulator was studied for converting solar radiation into energy foam that one can readily utilize. The Xe-arc lamp produce a spectrum similar to that of the sun. Ni-Cr metal foam, resist high temp.(>900℃), is used to catalytically active foam absorber, and to support of reforming catalyst.. The catalyst on the surface of foam were directly irradiated with solar simulated xe-light in order to carry out the steam reforming of methane. The reactor was made of stainless steel and quartz window was located on a place of the xe-light irradiation and temperature was controlled using K-type thermocouple in contact with catalyst located inside the reactor. The result show that a possibility of solar reforming using catalytically active foam absorber is exist.
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김기만(Kim KiMan),남우석(Nam WooSeok),한귀영(Han GuiYoung),서태범(Seo TaeBeom),강용혁(Kang YongHeack) 한국태양에너지학회 2006 한국태양에너지학회 학술대회논문집 Vol.- No.-
Steam reforming of methane using Xe-arc solar simulator was studied for converting solar radiation into energy foam that one can readily utilize. The Xe-arc lamp produce a spectrum similar to that of the sun. SiC ceramic foam, resist high temp. (>900℃), is used to catalytically active foam absorber, and to support of reforming catalyst.. The catalyst on the surface of foam were directly irradiated with solar simulated xe-light in order to carry out the steam reforming of methane. The reactor was made of stainless steel and quartz window was located on a place of the xe-Iight irradiation and temperature was controlled using K-type thermocouple in contact with catalyst located inside the reactor. The result show that a possibility of solar reforming using catalytically active foam absorber is exist.
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