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선택과 환경: 개별 지역축제에 대한 지방정부의 예산규모 결정 요인 연구
조서형(Cho, Seohyung),엄태호(Eom, Taeho) 한국지방정부학회 2019 지방정부연구 Vol.22 No.4
본 연구는 지역축제 운영에 관한 선택적 요인과 재정적 환경요인이 개별 지역축제에 대한 지방정부의 1인당 총 예산에 어떠한 영향을 미치는 지를 실증적으로 분석한다. 구체적으로 본 연구에서는 개별 지역축제의 예산규모를 결정하는 요인을 2013년-2015년까지의 전국 자치단체 지역축제를 대상으로 실증 분석한다. 이를 위해 개별 지역 축제에 대한 지방정부의 1인당 총예산을 종속변수로 하고, 선택적 요인인 공사파트너십 운영형태, 재정적 환경요인인 재정능력을 주민 1인당 지방세 부담액, 1인당 지방교부세, 1인당 국고보조금, 재정자립도로 나누어 독립변수로 설정하였다. 그 외에 지방정부의 전년도 예산액, 지역축제의 특성, 65세 이상 노인인구 비율, 연도, 지역규모를 통제변수로 포함시켰다. 확률효과 모형(Random Effects Model)과 Newey-West 추정 모형으로 분석을 실시한 결과, 지역축제의 운영 형태가 공사파트너십일 경우 개별 지역축제에 대한 지방정부의 1인당 예산규모가 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 독립변수와 통제변수를 모두 포함시킨 전체 모형에서는 재정능력 중 이전재원인 1인당 지방 교부세, 1인당 국고보조금 그리고 자체재원인 재정자립도 모두 개별 지역축제에 대한 지방정부의 1인당 예산규모에 유의미한 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. This study empirically analyzes the effects of selective factors and financial environment factors on local festival s total per capita budget. Specifically, this research empirically analyzes the determinants of the budget of individual local festivals for national autonomous regional festivals from 2013 to 2015. The total per capita budget of each local festival is considered as a dependent variable. As an selective factor, the public-private partnership and the financial environment, which is financial environment factor, were set as independent variables divided into the local tax burden per capita, local allocation tax per capita, state subsidy per capita, and financial independence. In addition, the previous year s budget for the local government, characteristics of local festivals, the proportion of the elderly people aged 65 or older, the year, and the local size were included as control variables. As a result of analysis using the Random Effects Model and the Newey-West estimation model, the local government s per capita budget for individual festivals increased when the operation type of the local festival was the public-private partnership. The total model including both independent variables and control variables shows that the local allocation tax per capita, state subsidy per capita, and financial independence, both of which are financial resources, are significant for total per capita budget of each local festival in a positive direction.
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민간위탁 제도의 변화가 책임성에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 공공하수처리장 책임대행제 도입을 중심으로
조서형 ( Seohyung Cho ),최근호 ( Geunho Choi ),엄태호 ( Taeho Eom ) 중앙대학교 국가정책연구소 2016 국가정책연구 Vol.30 No.4
This study analyzes the empirical change of responsibility in public sewage treatment by focusing on the Agency`s Responsibility System which empowers consignment companies to realize responsibility management and improve service responsibility. Concretely, this paper examines the differences among three types of operators-direct management, public enterprise, private enterprise-assuming that those types of agents would have different influence on the legal responsibility and professional responsibility in the service delivery. The analysis was conducted by using the Panel Logit Model and Newey-West Model to reveal the impact of factors on the legal accountability and professional accountability. To sum up the results, there was greater improvement of responsibility in the public sewage treatment plants operated by private and public enterprises than by direct management. Also, the sewage treatment plants operated by public enterprises showed higher progress in responsibility than the sewage treatment plants operated by private enterprises.
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청원·청주 통합의 정책형성과정 분석: 정책학습을 통한 이해관계자 신념체계 변화를 중심으로
조서형 ( Seohyung Cho ),엄태호 ( Taeho Eom ) 중앙대학교 국가정책연구소 2017 국가정책연구 Vol.31 No.4
This study analyzes the policy making process on Cheongwon and Cheongju Integration by using advocacy coalition framework and policy learnig theory. The impact of internal factors such as indivisual learning are not evaluated importantly in advocacy coalition framework because non-cognitive factors including macro economic conditions or newly emerged governing coalitions cause the policy change. Therefore, this study draws on policy learning theory induced from organizational learning theory to analyze the change of governing values and deep core beliefs besides external shocks or policy-oriented learning. The result shows that the ‘Conference of Cities and Counties’ changed the Cheongwon county residents’ governing values and deep core beliefs by creating the environment apt for double-loop learning. Additionaly, the proliferation of the social network service was another factor provoking double-loop learning in the fourth integration phase. The implication was gained from the results that the governing values and deep core beliefs change when the neutral and autonomous consultative group like the ‘Conference of Cities and Counties’ works in substance.
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지방정부의 재정역량이 공사파트너십 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구: 지역축제를 중심으로
조서형 ( Seohyung Cho ),엄태호 ( Taeho Eom ) 중앙대학교 국가정책연구소 2019 국가정책연구 Vol.33 No.2
This study empirically analyzes the effect of local financial capacity on the formation of partnerships in individual local festivals held nationwide from 2013 to 2015. For this purpose, the size and characteristics of local festivals and regional characteristics were included in the analysis model in addition to the local financial capacity. Based on previous studies, this study draws out the per capita non-tax revenue, per capita expenditure settlement, financial self-reliance, per capita debt as a component of local financial capacity. The budget size, length of origins, duration of local festivals were chosen as the scale and characteristics of the local festivals. The regional characteristics consist of the proportion of elderly people over 65 years old and regional units. Also, year variables are included in the model. Panel logit analysis using the random effect model shows that the higher the per capita non-tax revenue of the local financial capacity, the higher the possibility of forming a partnership relationship in the local festival. On the other hand, it is confirmed that the probability of forming a partnership relationship between local festivals decreases as the per capita expenditure settlement and financial self-reliance increase.
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