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        미래 기후변화를 고려한 보령댐 비상도수시설 운영방안 연구

        임건묵(Lim, Gunmuk),노선희(Noh, Seonhui),손민우(Son, Minwoo),정관수(Jung, Kwansue) 한국방재학회 2021 한국방재학회논문집 Vol.21 No.3

        본 연구에서는 심화되고 있는 기후변화를 고려하여 보령댐 비상도수시설의 운영방법을 단순 Open-close release 형태에서 수자원의 효율적 이용측면에서 유리한 대응단계(관심, 주의, 경계, 심각)별 탄력운영방안에 대하여 연구하였다. 충남서부권지역의 보령시 지역을 대상으로 장래 기후변화 시나리오를 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 강수량과 유입량을 모의한 결과 결정계수 R2 값이 86.3%로 모형적합도가 적절한 것으로 확인되었다. 기후변화 시나리오 RCP 4가지와 SSP 2가지를 대상으로 유량변화를 적용한 보령댐 유역의 용수수급을 MODSIM으로 모의한 결과, 온실가스 저감정책정도에 따른 RCP시나리오 적용시 도수로의 탄력운영 적용방안보다 지속성장(친환경적 성장발전) 또는 고속성장(화석연료 의존 발전) SSP1-2.6, SSP5-8.5 시나리오 적용시 도수로 평균저수량이 39,600 m3/day, 39,900 m3/day로 적고 물부족 일수도 적게 나타났다. The Boryeong district, Chungnam western region, is well known as a chronic water-deficiency area; it is thus necessary to ensure that the operational system for the Boryeong Dam emergency facilities is sufficiently resilient to withstand the potential impacts of climate change, in particular irregular droughts with resultant low water inflows and low storage. This study was undertaken to determine the operational flexibility of the Boryeong Dam emergency diversion facilities and their ability to respond to water resources demand, even if the facilities have been operating on a simple open-close release rule, depending on dam storage levels. The precipitation and inflow in Boryeong district were forecasted according to the modelling of RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) in combination with SSP (Shared Socio-economic Pathways) scenarios. This has led to recommendations for the flexible operation of the Dam’s diversion facilities in order to ensure a stable water supply based especially on SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5; i.e., steady growth and dramatic growth scenarios were simulated. The result from these two scenarios was an average diversion rate of 39,600 m3/day and 39,900 m3/day, respectively. This was evaluated as reasonable water resource use because water deficit days were fewer, and the average diversion rate was less than the RCP scenarios.

      • 契約理論의 轉向과 信義則의 進展

        林健默 淸州大學校 1958 論文集 Vol.2 No.1

        In modern society, the social functions controlled by contract are very numerous. When England was visited by the capitalistic golden age, the motto, "from status to contract", declared by Maine in his renowned book, Ancient Law, was a concise manifestation which grasped the process in which the field of contract had been enlarged by the advancement of human civilization. A contract, as long as the important part of our social life is maintained by transactions through our free will, has an essential relation inseparable with our social life. Hence, daring the progress of the contract system, there was a reflection of the troubles of the age, the efforts to overcome them, and the principles guiding such efforts. A contract depends on free will and mutual respect of it. Where there is no free will or mutual respect, there is only command, and submission. The authority of a contract, therefore, was most emphatically recognized when individuality was acknowledged, and individual emancipation from the idea of the traditional social class came into vogue. And respect for a contract promoted the establishment of the principle of freedom of contract. This principle of freedom of contract, accompanied by progress in economic life which took shape from the growth of mechanical civilization, accelerated the promotion of the economic system based on individualistic capitalism, the extreme development of which finally led to many economic gaps in society. In olden times social status was something determined centuries before. In our times social status is more determined by material and even by Iuck. Society, however, gradually evolved as a systematic and organic mass, its authority as a ruling body being strongly recognized, and the essential relation between individual and society was vigorously felt. Wilh this, a contract among individuals was again criticized from the social standpoint...or the free will of the individual was snatched from formality to actuality and the gaps mentioned above were mitigated, the efforts on rationalization of these being attempted. That is, one of the themes of today in contract theory is the point of trying, on one hand, to liberate the free will in contract from being formal to being substantial, and on the other hand, to criticize contracts among individuals from the standpoint of society in general, in order to understand the rights and duties of individuals emerging from contracts as those of society, and to adjust the exteme opposition in the interests of the contacting parties occuring from the arbitrary and conventional principle of freedom of contract from the standpoint of the society in general. Efforts of this kind enable the traditional contract theory to undergo a change and evolotion. At the same time, in encouraging this change and evolution in the interpretation of the substantive law, it is desirable that the idea of faith and sincerety, the highest guiding idea of the law of obligatioon, should be active with the constantly new and comprehensive contents. However, while the legal relation has a claim to be, on one hand, harmonized with the moral norm such as faith, it requires, on the other hand, its formal stability, Correcting legal relations by moral norms will give the judge a relatively extensive margin of free discretion, which it is feared may be against the demand for legal stability. This double-faced demand is called by the scholars "rechtsicherheit", and "konkrete billigheit". This request for stability in legal relation founded on law and contract and concrete understanding in every individual trial based on faith and sincerety, is destined, in the end, to some modification accoring to the age and the circumstances in legal relations, Accordingly, at the time when stability of legal form was more respected, correction of legal relation based on faith was carried on very cautiously. When the social demand to get a concrete appropriateness in trials is strong, this principle will be available. From the last half of the 18th to the middle of the 19th century, French civil law and legislation influenced by it considered individual freedom and respect for personal right as the ideal of society and the supreme end of law. So, the strict exercise and performance of rights and duties set up by contract founded on individual free will, was in conformity with the purpose of the law; and the application of the faith principle was welcomed from the viewpoint of social life and law. But, since the middle of the 19th century, with the change of idea from "individual and right" basis to "social and group" basis, the faith principle has under-gone a notable variation, and has entered all fields of law relations as the highest principle and has replaced the principle of freedom of contract in the law of obligation. of course, the couses of this may vary, but undoubtedly, the most important one is that the social view based on "individual freedom and intention" gradualy lost its influence, and the social view based on "society and group" appeared. Roseoe Pound said that from the end of the last century to the beginning of the present century people had come to think more of human wants or desires than of human wills. That explains nothing but the above statement. The main points I have discused in this thesis are: 1. a review of the process in which the individual was liberated from personal bondage of feudal society and gained the right of freedom of contract based on the, principle of liberty and equality. 2. The merits of freedom of contract which overthrowing the stagnant social conditions of feudal society, formed on active society bull of individual initiative, and spurred on the progress of capitalistic civilization. 3. But, under recent economic circumstances along with the overmaturity of capitalistic civilization, the unilateral possession and centralization of property, freedom of contract has become an arbitrary freedom for superiors, and an arbitrary submisson for inferiors. It has already become impossible for freedom of contract to achieve its ariginal purpose. Thus, an inevitable movement for the recent principle of freedom of contract is limitation from all sides. 4. To grent a theoretical basis to-the baith principle esteemed as the highest norm in exercising and performing one's rights and duties and interpreting law and contract, I have tried to make a clear explanation on the new contract theory based ona group basis, compared with that based on the conventional individual basis. 5. It is demonstrated that the legal principle of faithis of such a nature that it surpasses the category of individualistic thought; and can be extracted and explained at first, only in the keynote of the theught of the group principle. 6. Finally an explanation has been given on how harmony can be made between the faith principle and legal stability.

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