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Improving the Water Level Prediction of Multi-Layer Perceptron with a Modified Error Function
오상훈 한국콘텐츠학회 2017 International Journal of Contents Vol.13 No.4
Of the total economic loss caused by disasters, 40% are due to floods and floods have a severe impact on human health and life. So, it is important to monitor the water level of a river and to issue a flood warning during unfavorable circumstances. In this paper, we propose a modified error function to improve a hydrological modeling using a multi-layer perceptron (MLP) neural network. When MLP’s are trained to minimize the conventional mean-squared error function, the prediction performance is poor because MLP’s are highly tunned to training data. Our goal is achieved by preventing overspecialization to training data, which is the main reason for performance degradation for rare or test data. Based on the modified error function, an MLP is trained to predict the water level with rainfall data at upper reaches. Through simulations to predict the water level of Nakdong River near a UNESCO World Heritage Site “Hahoe Village,” we verified that the prediction performance of MLP with the modified error function is superior to that with the conventional mean-squared error function, especially maximum error of 40.85cm vs. 55.51cm.
오상훈 한국콘텐츠학회 2018 International Journal of Contents Vol.14 No.4
Among many UNESCO world heritage sites in Korea, “Historic Village: Hahoe” is adjacent to Nakdong River and it is imperative to monitor the water level near the village in a bid to forecast floods and prevent disasters resulting from floods.. In this paper, we propose a recurrent neural network with multiple hidden layers to predict the water level near the village. For training purposes on the proposed model, we adopt the sixth-order error function to improve learning for rare events as well as to prevent overspecialization to abundant events. Multiple hidden layers with recurrent and crosstalk links are helpful in acquiring the time dynamics of the relationship between rainfalls and water levels. In addition, we chose hidden nodes with linear rectifier activation functions for training on multiple hidden layers. Through simulations, we verified that the proposed model precisely predicts the water level with high peaks during the rainy season and attains better performance than the conventional multi-layer perceptron.
오상훈 한국콘텐츠학회 2018 International Journal of Contents Vol.14 No.4
EEG-based brain-computer interfaces has focused on explicitly expressed intentions to assist physically impaired patients. For EEG-based-computer interfaces to function effectively, it should be able to understand users’ implicit information. Since it is hard to gather EEG signals of human brains, we do not have enough training data which are essential for proper classification performance of implicit intention. In this paper, we improve the subject independent classification of implicit intention through the generation of additional training data. In the first stage, we perform the PCA (principal component analysis) of training data in a bid to remove redundant components in the components within the input data. After the dimension reduction by PCA, we train ICA (independent component analysis) network whose outputs are statistically independent. We can get additional training data by adding Gaussian noises to ICA outputs and projecting them to input data domain. Through simulations with EEG data provided by CNSL, KAIST, we improve the classification performance from 65.05% to 66.69% with Gamma components. The proposed sample generation method can be applied to any machine learning problem with fewer samples.
Subject Independent Classification of Implicit Intention Based on EEG Signals
오상훈 한국콘텐츠학회 2016 International Journal of Contents Vol.12 No.3
Brain computer interfaces (BCI) usually have focused on classifying the explicitly-expressed intentions of humans. In contrast, implicit intentions should be considered to develop more intelligent systems. However, classifying implicit intention is more difficult than explicit intentions, and the difficulty severely increases for subject independent classification. In this paper, we address the subject independent classification of implicit intention based on electroencephalography (EEG) signals. Among many machine learning models, we use the support vector machine (SVM) with radial basis kernel functions to classify the EEG signals. The Fisher scores are evaluated after extracting the gamma, beta, alpha and theta band powers of the EEG signals from thirty electrodes. Since a more discriminant feature has a larger Fisher score value, the band powers of the EEG signals are presented to SVM based on the Fisher score. By training the SVM with 1-out of-9 validation, the best classification accuracy is approximately 65% with gamma and theta components.