지역발전지표의 변화와 서부 소수민족지역경제의 지속가능성장 -동부도시지역과의 비교를 통한 소수민족자치지역에 대한 분석을 중심으로-

송재두 ( Jae Do Song ) 한중사회과학학회 2016 한중사회과학연구 Vol.14 No.1

The economic gap between ethnic minority’s regions in the west and urban regions in the east seems to be settled, only if statistical indices such as gross regional domestic product and GDP per capita are checked. Positive outlook on the growth of ethnic minority’s regions may be reasonably adopted if we check development indices such as growing number of students, medical personnel, and recovery beds in hospitals and clinics. Upon this point, sustainability of growth of ethnic minority’s regions is checked. Whether their economy is well managed is also checked. It, however, is revealed that they lag behind urban regions in the east in economic operation. Their economy is based on low total factor productivity and operational inefficiency. They, ostensibly, got economic growth and technological progress in economic operation, and they may be believed to be able to get sustainable growth. Their achievement that comes from input accumulation is weak guaranty for the region’s long term sustainable growth. Strong economic fundamental, such as operational efficiency, that is seen in urban region is needed for their sustainable growth.

중국의 소수민족정책과 경제격차

송재두(Song, Jae Do) 영남대학교 중국연구센터 2014 중국과 중국학 Vol.23 No.-

이 논문에서는 중국의 소수민족정책이 어떠한 변화를 겪어왔는지를 살펴보고 소수민족지역과 한족위주지역간의 경제격차에 대해서 설명하였다. 몇 개의 경제지표들을 살펴본 결과 소수민족8성-내몽골, 광시, 뀌저우, 윈난, 시짱, 칭하이, 닝샤, 신장-과 한족위주지역의 경제적 격차는 중화인민공화국의 건국이후 지속적으로 벌어졌으나 서부대개발의 추진 이후로 좁아지는 양상을 보이고 있다. 서부대개발과 관계없이 소수민족지역에서 증가해 온 고정자산투자와 더불어 실업률감소, 2차 산업 생산증가, 지역 GDP의 증가, 인구증가의 정체와 같은 요인들이 소수민족지역의 한족위주지역과의 경제격차해소에 커다란 역할을 하고 있는 것으로 보인다. 243개 도시들에 대한 1991년과 2012년을 기준으로 한 1인당 GDP의 분포도의 비교는 도시들 간의 소득의 양극화현상이 이전에 비해서 최근에 들어와서는 매우 완화되었다는 해석을 보여주고 있으며 비교적 부유한 지역과 가난한 지역 간의 소득격차가 해소되고 있음을 나타내준다. 하지만 멈추지 않는 소수민족지역에서의 소요현상은 이러한 표면적인 경제지표로는 설명되지 않는 이면적인 설명이 필요하다. This paper shows the history of ethnic minority policies in China and reveals regional economic disparity between the regions of ethnic minority and those of mainstream Chinese. It compares indicators of ethnic minority’s regions and the other, concluding that the regions-Neimeng, Guangxi, Guizhou, Yunnan, Xizang, Qinghai, Ningxia and Xinjiang-had shown great regional economic disparity with relatively developed regions but have overcome the regional economic disparity since Western Development Policy. Increasing social fixed asset and tertiary industry product in the regions seem to be the factors of economic change regardless of curbed population growth. Distribution charts of per capita GDP of 243 cities in China between the year of 1991 and 2012 point out that polarized economic growth, in recent years, is hardly observed among the cities and the gap between rich and poor has been reduced. In order to explain, however, ceaseless ethnic conflict in the regions of ethnic minority, the hidden side of economic indicators should be cleared up.

Efficiency Change and Technological Progress in Bohai Gulf, Yangzi River Delta, and Pearl River Delta Areas in China, 1984~2007

Jae-Do Song(송재두) 영남대학교 중국연구센터 2010 중국과 중국학 Vol.12 No.-

1978년에 개혁개방의 정책을 표명한 이래로 중국경제는 계속적으로 매우 높은 경제성장률을 유지해왔고 또한 생산성도 이에 따라 높은 기조를 유지해온 것으로 보인다. 하지만 분석의 결과는 총요소생산성과 기술진보율이 기대한 것만큼 높게 유지되지 않았음을 보여주며, 자본생산성 또한 높지 않은 것으로 나타난다. 또한 생산성의 변화 추이를 보면 자본생산성의 개선은 총요소생산성과 기술진보율의 상승과 그 궤를 같이하지만, 효율성변화와 노동생산성은 이들과 같은 방향으로 움직이지 않는다. 어기에서 알 수 있는 것은, 중국 연해지구에 있어서 총생산의 증가율은 국내와 국외의 자본을 막론한 자본의 투입증가율을 상회하지 못하고 있지만, 막대한 자본투입에 의한 효과가 서서히 나타나고 있어서 자본생산성의 증가와 기술진보율의 증가로 이어지고 있다는 것이다.

중국 동부 지역의 오염수준과 경제성장 -삼폐(三廢)수준과 소득수준의 역U자형 관계에 대한 검증-

송재두 ( Jae Do Song ) 한중사회과학학회 2012 한중사회과학연구 Vol.10 No.2

Environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis, under which environmental quality is improved after achieving certain level of economic growth, is examined for eastern region of China in this article, and implications are drawn afterwards. Analytical result shows that the environmental Kuznets curve can explain the relationship between environmental quality and GDP per capita in the eastern region. Environmental quality, however, is deteriorating in some districts, such as Zhejiang, Fujian and Shandong, in spite of their high rate of economic growth for 20 years. Firms and factories in the districts seem not to trying to establish its antipollution policies, which mean eagerness to get technological progress and increasing returns to antipollution investment. When the strong statement of China`s central government on antipollution control is said, rigid enforcement of regulation on environmental quality will be strengthen in the districts. Firms and factories in the districts and to be in it, therefore, should adopt the technology and/or production method which can reduce pollutant.

중국 내 도시들의 환경보호노력과 시사점

송재두 ( Jae Do Song ) 한중사회과학학회 2013 한중사회과학연구 Vol.11 No.3

The problem of environmental contamination in China is a matter of great importance to Korea under the situation of geographical proximity. Because many firms and factories are located in China and it is the biggest trading partner of Korea, its environmental pollution has drawn Korea`s attention along with Chinese government`s countermeasure establishment for anti-pollution. Under the circumstances, we need to concentrate on the facts below. Firstly, in total, even though it shows environmental contamination improvement, the air condition of Beijing and Hwabei area does not show improvement. And we need a coordinated response for the contamination among Korea, China and Japan. In the case that, recently, Japan requests China`s countermeasures against fine dust, by which Korea`s atmosphere is seriously influenced, the countermeasures has to be established by the triple alliance of Korea, China and Japan. Secondly, the factories located in Beijing and Hwabei area might face on environmental improvement request from Chinese government, and they need to prepare for it. Many Korean firms and factories, especially, located in Beijing area urgently need to plan fine dust reduction measures. For the purpose of the reduction plan, Korean government as well as Chinese government have to spur the development of new technology for air pollution control. Thirdly, the amount of fine dust from autoexhaust is nothing to sneeze at. So, our automobile related companies which are located in China or exports to China should take it into account. To increase or at least hold the same market share in automobile market in China, the companies should develop new technology of reducing fine dust from autoexhaust.

수출보험의 수출촉진효과에 대한 이론과 현상에 관한 연구 -중국의 전자 및 기계류 등 하이테크산업을 중심으로-

송재두 ( Jae Do Song ) 한중사회과학학회 2010 한중사회과학연구 Vol.8 No.3

Upon a theoretical point of view, thanks to export credit insurance, an insured firm which are under risk-aversion can export more than firms which are not. In this paper, therefore, trade competitiveness indexes such as TSC and TCA on manufacturing and high-tech industry are measured to see if export credit insurance make a positive effect on the increase of foreign trade. The amount of export is also used to see the causality between the amount and export credit insurance. Granger causality test is used to check the potential relationship, and it shows that the increase of export credit insurance does not make a direct and instance influence on export growth. On the contrary, the export growth tends to cause the increase of export credit insurance service.

중국 희토류산업정책의 변화와 정책적 함의

박인섭(In Sop PARK),송재두(Jae Do SONG) 한국무역상무학회 2016 貿易商務硏究 Vol.71 No.-

China not only has the largest amount of rare earth reserves, but it also produces the most rare earth products. However, China lacks appropriate supervision andmanagement systems of its rare earth industry. The Chinese government s inappropriate mechanisms have been cause for reckless development by national rare earth providers characterized by excessive competition, environmental pollution, and smuggling. In response to the problems, China implemented regulatory measures to restructure the rare earth industry. The Chinese central government intensifies its efforts to control the total quantity of rare earth products and tackle environmental pollution. Six leading conglomerates have been selected to promote the Chinese central government’s policy. A new environmental guideline has been drawn up to reduce the discharging of wastewater and air pollution substance. Huge transition and a great influence of its policy changes are expected. In consideration of these changes, These policy changes are bound to entail huge transitions, and the policy is expected to have a great influence in the future structure of the rare earth industry. In consideration of these changes, the Korean government, in collaboration with private enterprises needs to take appropriate measures, such as overseas resources development, R&D expansion, tactical stockpiling, professional manpower training and so on.

한미 FTA 체결 이후 대미 금융서비스 무역 변화

최건아(Gun-A Choi),박인섭(In-Sop Pak),송재두(Jae-Do Song) 한국무역상무학회 2021 貿易商務硏究 Vol.89 No.-

한미 FTA를 구성하는 금융서비스의 협상은 다른 분야의 협상에 비해 상대적으로 큰 관심을 끌지 못하였다. 이는 우리나라 금융 산업이 이미 폭넓게 개방되어 있고 금융서비스의 국경 간 거래의 적용이 배제된 가운데 신금융서비스에 대한 국외법 적용 등과 같이 이를 규제·감독 할 수 있는 제도적 근거가 전무한 상태이기 때문이다. 이 연구는 한미 FTA 체결 이후 한국의 미국 금융서비스에 대한 시장점유율, 비교우위지수, 무역특화도의 변화를 시계열분석방법으로 분석하였다. 충격 반응함수, 분산분해, 그랜저인과관계분석을 통하여 대미 금융서비스에 미치는 영향을 확인하였다. 분석결과, 한미FTA 체결이 대미 금융서비스 변화에 영향을 미친 것으로는 확인되었다. 하지만 통계적으로 한국이 금융서비스를 확대하였다고 할 수 없으므로 미국시장 진출을 확대하기 위한 별도의 전략수립이 필요하다. Negotiations in the financial services sector of the Korea-US FTA did not attract so much attention as negotiations in other fields. The reason is that Korea"s financial industry was already widely opened and legal basis to regulate cross-border transactions in financial services was not prepared. Time series analysis on financial services between two countries is focused on Korea’s market share, comparative advantage, and trade specification in theUS financial market after Korea-US Free Trade Agreement. Impact response, variance decomposition and Granger causality test are used to see the influence of FTA between the two countries on market share, comparative advantage and trade specification in the US financial market. Negotiation settlement, and effectuation of FTA are generally regarded to have an effect on the above three indices, but it can not be clearly verified through statistical methods. Korea-US FTA can be the factor of market share and comparative advantage changes under rough significant level, but it can not be the factor of trade specification in the US financial market. The analytical results reveal that Korea needs appropriate strategy for advancement into the US financial market.

중국의 농경경제와 유목경제간 상호관계의 고찰 : 상호 대립과 연합의 경제학적 해석

심의섭,송재두 韓國東北亞經濟學會 2008 동북아경제연구 Vol.20 No.2

The role of nomads has been underestimated so long time in China. Even though, historically, a period of economic progress was followed by nomadic flood into China, their valuable contributions to Chinese economy have been severly cried out. In this paper, some theoretical approaches are adapted to show what made the two sides - agricultural economy and nomadic economy - oppose each other and what they got after cooperation followed by the 'flood'. The way how the nomads brought a technical progress and economic development to agricultural people (inn China) is also shown. With this theoretical and historical approach, nomadic way of economic behaviors is being proven to be no more inefficient but to be necessary to get economic progress in China.